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215 First St
B- Composite 69.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$49,000

215 First St · Greenway, AR 72430
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,173 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1925 0.32 ac lot Est $46k · 7% over ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on market NO fault of the seller. Very nice two bedroom home with one bath priced under $60,000. This home is located in Greenway, AR, and is Move in Ready! So don't wait on this one! There are two bedrooms but it could easily be converted to a three bedroom if needed. The kitchen is cozy and has ample storage and counter space. Off the kitchen is a small office area, and den, and mudroom area. The laundry is located in the carport storage room. The outside is well manicured and the yard is oversized! Lots of level yard, and space if you wanted to fence in an area for pets. This very nice home is awaiting New Owners! Don't wait! Give us a call today to see what all this home has to off

Key facts

  • Level yard
  • Mudroom area
  • Oversized yard

Tags

MOVE IN READYAMPLE STORAGEOFFICE AREAMUDROOM AREAOVERSIZED YARDLEVEL YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 1 car
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Metal/vinyl siding exterior; Inside city limits
  • Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; No area amenities listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window units; Other (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Carpet, vinyl and laminate flooring; Den / family room; Office / study

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#489 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D, schools F.
  • Rector School District (rural): math 35% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #149 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.59%
Cash-on-cash
40.35%
DSCR
2.80
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,747
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
215 First St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,173 (0%) 2mo $40,000 $34 98
4562 Highway 49 Hwy 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,170 (-0%) 23mo $45,500 $39 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.8%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$35,299
Equity at exit
$22,033
10-year hold
IRR
45.6%
Equity multiple
7.16×
Total profit
$84,514
Equity at exit
$33,955

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72430

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax est. 1.5%
$61 /mo · $735/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $429
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $495 -5% $478 +0% $461 +5% $444 +10% $427
Rent -10% $381 -5% $421 +0% $461 +5% $501 +10% $541
Rate -1.0pp $486 -0.5pp $474 base $461 +0.5pp $449 +1.0pp $436

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-21
    status Back on Market
  3. 2026-04-15
    status Under Contract
  4. 2026-02-24
    price $49,000
  5. 2025-12-12
    listed $59,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,151
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$735
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$972
− Management
−$972
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$5,057
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,214
After-tax cash flow
$4,322/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rector School District
NCES district ID
0504370
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$36,504
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7366
State rank
#149 of 238 in AR

Livability — Greenway

Score
50/100
State rank
#489
US rank
#25748

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing D Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenway, AR
Population (ZIP)
607

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,564 people
By 2030
12,834 · -5.4%
By 2040
11,498 · -15.2%
By 2050
10,325 · -23.9%
By 2075
8,228 · -39.3%
By 2100
6,675 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $49,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $59,000 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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