272 Gunning Bedford Dr · Rodney Village, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this one. Huge price reduction. This well-maintained bi-level home features a separate dining area. A partially finished basement with a 1/2 bath and egress. Large laundry area. Family room and finished bonus room. There's also a front terrace and a large rear deck. Plenty of parking spaces. Fenced-in yard. Updated HVAC system. Easy to show. Make your appointment today. Being sold as-is, where is. Inspections for informational purposes only.
Key facts
- Finished bonus room
- Large laundry area
- Front terrace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#15 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Caesar Rodney School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #9 of 26 in DE (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,565/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1500% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.26%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,676
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -7.04%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Lakeview Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+4%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $195 | 75 |
| 219 Samuel Paynter Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 2,100 (+12%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $95 | 69 |
| 60 John Collins Cir | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 2,080 (+11%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $156 | 67 |
| 311 Mimosa Ave | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,688 (-10%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 45 W Fairfield Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 2,044 (+9%) | 0mo | $399,900 | $196 | 57 |
| 109 Chalet Ct | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,856 (-1%) | 8mo | $329,999 | $178 | 55 |
| 302 Kesselring Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,010 (+7%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 288 Cambridge Rd | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,966 (+5%) | 3mo | $377,000 | $192 | 54 |
| 224 Kesselring Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,651 (-12%) | 11mo | $305,000 | $185 | 51 |
| 162 Turner Dr | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 | 2,109 (+13%) | 9mo | $352,107 | $167 | 47 |
| 183 N Fairfield Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,114 (+13%) | 1mo | $490,000 | $232 | 46 |
| 142 Carter Ln | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,068 (+10%) | 2mo | $353,000 | $171 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-13,377
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $27,332
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19904
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,565 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $514 | +0% $441 | +5% $367 | +10% $294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $238 | -5% $339 | +0% $441 | +5% $542 | +10% $643 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $572 | -0.5pp $507 | base $441 | +0.5pp $373 | +1.0pp $305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 541 Ruth Way Dover, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1761 | $3,200 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 511 Nickerjack Way Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,800 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 502 Horsey Blvd Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,900 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 629 Ruth Way Dover, DE | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1665 | $2,850 | $1.71 | 44d | 13 | 1.26mi |
| 424 Ridgely Blvd Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 205 Ridgely Blvd Dover, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 215 Royal Grant Way Dover, DE | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,500 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 300 East St Camden, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1272 | $2,695 | $2.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-21price $260,000 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Don't miss this one. Huge price reduction. This well-maintained bi-level home features a separate dining area. A partially finished basement with a 1/2 bath and egress. Large laundry area. Family room and finished bonus room. There's also a front terrace and a large rear deck. Plenty of parking spaces. Fenced-in yard. Updated HVAC system. Easy to show. Make your appointment today. Being sold as-is, where is. Inspections for informational purposes only.
-
2026-03-31$280,000 Active 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Don't miss this one. Huge price reduction. This well-maintained bi-level home features a separate dining area. A partially finished basement with a 1/2 bath and egress. Large laundry area. Family room and finished bonus room. There's also a front terrace and a large rear deck. Plenty of parking spaces. Fenced-in yard. Updated HVAC system. Easy to show. Make your appointment today. Being sold as-is, where is. Inspections for informational purposes only.
-
2024-11-19historical $1,650
-
2024-10-31$1,650
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 5.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,783
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,368
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,463
- − Management
- −$2,463
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $1,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$255
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,034/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caesar Rodney School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000180
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,187
- Composite
- 33.4/100
- National rank
- #5475
- State rank
- #9 of 26 in DE
Livability — Rodney Village
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rodney Village, DE
- County
- Kent County · 82,184 people
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,818
- Household income
- $66,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1500.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 35% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.6879
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+15657.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $260,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-19 Rental Removed $1,650 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-10-31 Listed for Rent $1,650 BRIGHTMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,368 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…