235 Cedar Brook Dr · Elyria, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2021
- Listed 76 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported at 924 (owner source)
- Financial info: Property has a land lease of $500
Exterior
- Parking: Parking lot
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Construction: Built by owner (year built source: Owner)
- Exterior features: Parking lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: First-floor living with main-level bedrooms; Main-level laundry
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 4.0% in Elyria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#243 in OH, #3,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- Elyria City Schools (urban): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #586 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Westwood Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,217 of 1,584 statewide, top 78%, 489 students, 77% FRL); Westwood Middle School (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #587 of 654 statewide, top 90%, 489 students, 76% FRL); Elyria High School (math 20% / reading 47%, grade F, #598 of 781 statewide, top 77%, 1,639 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 3804% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.31%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $28,644
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Cedar Brook Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $47,500 | $51 | 99 |
| 110 Larkstone Pl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 4mo | $39,900 | $43 | 94 |
| 155 Cedar Brook Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $38 | 88 |
| 135 Fox Chase | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (+3%) | 9mo | $10,000 | $11 | 72 |
| 135 Cedar Brook Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 810 (-12%) | 7mo | $21,000 | $26 | 60 |
| 131 Hickory Cir | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (+3%) | 8mo | $24,000 | $25 | 59 |
| 116 Hickory Cir | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+6%) | 8mo | $29,900 | $31 | 56 |
| 335 Ashwood Dr | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 975 (+6%) | 18mo | $17,000 | $17 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $33,325
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 63.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.56×
- Total profit
- $95,010
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44035
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 359
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $600 | -5% $584 | +0% $569 | +5% $553 | +10% $538 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $481 | -5% $525 | +0% $569 | +5% $613 | +10% $657 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $592 | -0.5pp $580 | base $569 | +0.5pp $557 | +1.0pp $546 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 Cedar Brook Dr Elyria, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1891 Turner Blvd Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1891 Turner Blvd Unit H Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1875 Turner Blvd Unit D Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1875 Turner Blvd Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $840 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1877 Turner Blvd Elyria, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $1,150
-
2026-03-26$1,150
-
2026-03-25$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,356
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,068
- − Management
- −$1,068
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $6,500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,560
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs or maintenance. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its value are painting the exterior siding and landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a small patio or deck — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding outdoor living space.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a small patio or deck — Can increase both resale and rental value by adding outdoor living space. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elyria City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904394
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,992
- Composite
- 24.45/100
- National rank
- #7670
- State rank
- #586 of 656 in OH
Livability — Elyria
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #3869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elyria, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 62,179
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,179
- Household income
- $56,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.09%
- Current HPI
- 199.7354
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.74%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-97.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Rental Removed $1,150 YESMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed for Rent $1,150 YESMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $44,900 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…