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13654 Mecca St
B- Composite 68.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

13654 Mecca St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1955 3,485 sqft lot $69/sqft · 53% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors, don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!! This solid Detroit brick bungalow is ideal for investors to expand their portfolio. Tenant is paying $1,150 a month, MTM lease. Conveniently located with easy access from I-96 and M-39 freeways. Schedule your showing today!!! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. B. A. T. V. A. I. All measurements are estimated.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1955

Tags

DETROIT BRICK BUNGALOWEASY ACCESS FROM I-96EASY ACCESS FROM M-39 FREEWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $79k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
14.34%
Cash-on-cash
28.76%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,748
List price
$79,000
Delta
52.66%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9982 Littlefield St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,152 (0%) 8mo $47,000 $41 76
13737 Wadsworth St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,060 (-8%) 9mo $45,000 $42 74
11431 Marlowe St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,172 (+2%) 6mo $48,000 $41 68
11366 Terry St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,209 (+5%) 7mo $89,000 $74 57
12096 Meyers Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+8%) 0mo $30,000 $24 57
12026 Manor Arc 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+4%) 8mo $65,000 $54 56
12096 Lauder St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-9%) 8mo $55,000 $53 51
11406 Strathmoor St 0.38mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,294 (+12%) 1mo $76,000 $59 50
12667 Sorrento St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,309 (+14%) 0mo $65,000 $50 48
11437 Manor St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,006 (-13%) 5mo $53,900 $54 46
12047 Coyle St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,052 (-9%) 9mo $60,000 $57 44
9576 Hubbell St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+10%) 6mo $134,900 $106 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.9%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$24,457
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
35.0%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$79,904
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
385
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $694/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$530

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13717 Keal St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 799 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.29mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 43d 1 0.52mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 16d 1 0.53mi
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.59mi
12014 Terry St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1361 $1,200 $0.88 43d 1 0.61mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 0.68mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.68mi
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 43d 1 0.68mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 43d 1 0.69mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 43d 1 0.72mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.74mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 0.76mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 16d 1 0.77mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 24d 1 0.77mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 43d 1 0.79mi
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 43d 1 0.80mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 16d 1 0.86mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.88mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 24d 1 0.88mi
9917 Sussex St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 43d 1 0.88mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 16d 1 0.92mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.93mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 16d 1 0.93mi
10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 0.93mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 43d 1 0.94mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 1d 1 0.96mi
11345 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,050 $1.50 12d 1 0.99mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 43d 1 1.02mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 14d 1 1.03mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 43d 1 1.07mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 43d 1 1.08mi
12121 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,373 $1.57 21d 1 1.11mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 1.12mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 1.27mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 17d 1 1.28mi
9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 17d 1 1.28mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 16d 1 1.28mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 16d 1 1.32mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 4d 1 1.32mi
9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 4d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 127 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 126 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 122 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-03-26
    price $79,000 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Attention investors, don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!! This solid Detroit brick bungalow is ideal for investors to expand their portfolio. Tenant is paying $1,150 a month, MTM lease. Conveniently located with easy access from I-96 and M-39 freeways. Schedule your showing today!!! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. B. A. T. V. A. I. All measurements are estimated.

  14. 2026-03-25
    price $79,000 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Attention investors, don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!! This solid Detroit brick bungalow is ideal for investors to expand their portfolio. Tenant is paying $1,150 a month, MTM lease. Conveniently located with easy access from I-96 and M-39 freeways. Schedule your showing today!!! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. B. A. T. V. A. I. All measurements are estimated.

  15. 2026-02-03
    listed $80,000 Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Attention investors, don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!! This solid Detroit brick bungalow is ideal for investors to expand their portfolio. Tenant is paying $1,150 a month, MTM lease. Conveniently located with easy access from I-96 and M-39 freeways. Schedule your showing today!!! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. B. A. T. V. A. I. All measurements are estimated.

  16. 2026-02-02
    listed $80,000 Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Attention investors, don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!! This solid Detroit brick bungalow is ideal for investors to expand their portfolio. Tenant is paying $1,150 a month, MTM lease. Conveniently located with easy access from I-96 and M-39 freeways. Schedule your showing today!!! PLEASE DO NOT DISTURB TENANTS. B. A. T. V. A. I. All measurements are estimated.

  17. 2026-01-18
    historical
  18. 2026-01-18
    historical
  19. 2025-07-31
    listed $80,000 Active
  20. 2025-07-31
    listed $80,000 Active
  21. 2017-10-05
    soldstatus $48,500
  22. 2012-08-30
    soldstatus $5,400
  23. 2012-08-30
    soldstatus $5,400
  24. 2012-06-15
    listed $5,400
  25. 2012-06-15
    listed $5,400
  26. 1999-01-27
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$694 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$955 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$261/yr (+$22/mo · 37.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,723
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$694
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$5,395
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,295
After-tax cash flow
$5,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-31 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,500 Public Records
  • 2012-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,400 REALCOMP
  • 2012-08-30 Sold (MLS) $5,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-06-15 Listed $5,400 REALCOMP
  • 2012-06-15 Listed $5,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $694 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…