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336 Estonia Dr
D Composite 43.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0

$190,000

336 Estonia Dr · New Lebanon, OH 45345
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,102 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1962 6,098 sqft lot Est $186k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!

Key facts

  • Single-story layout
  • Fenced yard
  • Spacious lot

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTSINGLE-STORY LAYOUTWELL-MAINTAINED PROPERTYFENCED YARDSTORAGE SHEDWATER SOFTENER SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (28.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#450 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Lebanon Local (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #448 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $190k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $136,627 (28.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.32%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,238
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
336 Estonia Dr 0.00mi 3/1.5 1,102 (0%) 1mo $190,000 $172 97
260 Yorkwood Dr 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,053 (-4%) 4mo $180,000 $171 85
107 Glenada Ct 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,075 (-2%) 3mo $185,000 $172 72
719 S Church St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,034 (-6%) 1mo $160,000 $155 68
279 Lawson Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,075 (-2%) 11mo $206,000 $192 68
224 Drina Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-2%) 5mo $182,000 $169 61
418 Vanessa St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,182 (+7%) 10mo $200,000 $169 59
448 Gregory Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,182 (+7%) 5mo $185,000 $157 57
301 Lawson Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,245 (+13%) 3mo $205,000 $165 56
425 Gregory Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,026 (-7%) 10mo $184,000 $179 56
419 Rosetta St 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,243 (+13%) 3mo $185,500 $149 56
109 E Main St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,238 (+12%) 7mo $207,000 $167 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$94,079
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$284,348
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45345

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$-147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,552
Max offer price $164,017
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-40 -5% $-93 +0% $-147 +5% $-201 +10% $-255
Rent -10% $-255 -5% $-201 +0% $-147 +5% $-93 +10% $-39
Rate -1.0pp $-51 -0.5pp $-99 base $-147 +0.5pp $-196 +1.0pp $-246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 Clinchfield Ct New Lebanon, OH 2.0 2.0 1362 $1,600 $1.17 3d 1 0.34mi
53 Gloria Ave Unit 53 New Lebanon, OH 2.0 1.0 834 $1,000 $1.20 3d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-18
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-13
    listed $190,000 Active
  3. 2017-06-22
    soldstatus $76,000
  4. 2017-06-20
    soldstatus $76,000 Sold 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!

  5. 2017-06-20
    soldstatus $76,000 Closed 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!

  6. 2017-05-12
    historical Active/Pending 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!

  7. 2017-05-03
    listed $77,000 Active 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!

  8. 2015-12-31
    historical
  9. 2015-11-07
    status Active
  10. 2015-09-29
    historical Active/Pending
  11. 2015-09-09
    price $69,900
  12. 2015-08-26
    price $72,000
  13. 2015-08-05
    listed $75,000 Active
  14. 2013-12-27
    soldstatus $43,000 Closed
  15. 2013-12-27
    soldstatus $43,000
  16. 2013-11-25
    historical
  17. 2013-08-01
    listed $39,900
  18. 2008-08-04
    soldstatus $92,000
  19. 2001-05-02
    soldstatus $83,500
  20. 1996-02-29
    soldstatus $70,000
  21. 1990-07-30
    soldstatus $52,000
  22. 1982-04-01
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,811 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,387 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$577/yr (+$48/mo · 31.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,395
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,811
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$5,159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,238
After-tax cash flow
$-527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Lebanon Local
NCES district ID
3904871
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,363
Composite
41.88/100
National rank
#3369
State rank
#448 of 656 in OH

Livability — New Lebanon

Score
70/100
State rank
#450
US rank
#7342

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Lebanon, OH
County
Montgomery · 506,435 people
City population
5,923
Metro
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Population (ZIP)
5,923
Household income
$77,279
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
8.9

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
Foreign-born
0% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.56%
Current HPI
370.29
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-18 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $190,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2017-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2017-05-12 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2017-05-03 Listed $77,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-12-31 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2015-11-07 Relisted Dayton MLS
  • 2015-09-29 Contingent Dayton MLS
  • 2015-09-09 Price Changed $69,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-08-26 Price Changed $72,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2015-08-05 Listed $75,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2013-12-27 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2013-12-27 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2013-11-25 Listing Removed Dayton MLS
  • 2013-08-01 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2008-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
  • 1996-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1990-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 1982-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,811 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…