336 Estonia Dr · New Lebanon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!
Key facts
- Single-story layout
- Fenced yard
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-147 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (28.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $137k (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#450 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- New Lebanon Local (town): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #448 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $190k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.32%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $186,238
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 336 Estonia Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (0%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $172 | 97 |
| 260 Yorkwood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-4%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $171 | 85 |
| 107 Glenada Ct | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (-2%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $172 | 72 |
| 719 S Church St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,034 (-6%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $155 | 68 |
| 279 Lawson Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (-2%) | 11mo | $206,000 | $192 | 68 |
| 224 Drina Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-2%) | 5mo | $182,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 418 Vanessa St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,182 (+7%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $169 | 59 |
| 448 Gregory Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,182 (+7%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $157 | 57 |
| 301 Lawson Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,245 (+13%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $165 | 56 |
| 425 Gregory Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,026 (-7%) | 10mo | $184,000 | $179 | 56 |
| 419 Rosetta St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,243 (+13%) | 3mo | $185,500 | $149 | 56 |
| 109 E Main St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (+12%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $167 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $94,079
- Equity at exit
- $171,167
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $284,348
- Equity at exit
- $369,128
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45345
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,811/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $-147
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-40 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-201 | +10% $-255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-255 | -5% $-201 | +0% $-147 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-39 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-51 | -0.5pp $-99 | base $-147 | +0.5pp $-196 | +1.0pp $-246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Clinchfield Ct New Lebanon, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 53 Gloria Ave Unit 53 New Lebanon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-13$190,000 Active
-
2017-06-22soldstatus $76,000
-
2017-06-20soldstatus $76,000 Sold 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!
-
2017-06-20soldstatus $76,000 Closed 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!
-
2017-05-12historical Active/Pending 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!
-
2017-05-03$77,000 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Waiting for you! This Three Bedroom, Bath and a Half Brick Ranch Home offers New Flooring, Ceramic Tile, Fresh Paint, Eat-in Kitchen, Spacious Yard with Privacy Fence, Conveniently Located. .. .Come See for Yourself!
-
2015-12-31historical
-
2015-11-07status Active
-
2015-09-29historical Active/Pending
-
2015-09-09price $69,900
-
2015-08-26price $72,000
-
2015-08-05$75,000 Active
-
2013-12-27soldstatus $43,000 Closed
-
2013-12-27soldstatus $43,000
-
2013-11-25historical
-
2013-08-01$39,900
-
2008-08-04soldstatus $92,000
-
2001-05-02soldstatus $83,500
-
1996-02-29soldstatus $70,000
-
1990-07-30soldstatus $52,000
-
1982-04-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,811 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,387 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- +$577/yr (+$48/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,811
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$5,159
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $-527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Lebanon Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904871
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,363
- Composite
- 41.88/100
- National rank
- #3369
- State rank
- #448 of 656 in OH
Livability — New Lebanon
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #450
- US rank
- #7342
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Lebanon, OH
- County
- Montgomery · 506,435 people
- City population
- 5,923
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,923
- Household income
- $77,279
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.9
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.56%
- Current HPI
- 370.29
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+400.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $190,000 Dayton MLS
- 2017-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Dayton MLS
- 2017-06-20 Sold (MLS) $76,000 Dayton MLS
- 2017-05-12 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2017-05-03 Listed $77,000 Dayton MLS
- 2015-12-31 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2015-11-07 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2015-09-29 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2015-09-09 Price Changed $69,900 Dayton MLS
- 2015-08-26 Price Changed $72,000 Dayton MLS
- 2015-08-05 Listed $75,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-12-27 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-12-27 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Dayton MLS
- 2013-11-25 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2013-08-01 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS
- 2008-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2001-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 1996-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1982-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,811 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…