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419 William St 10-Plex
C+ Composite 60.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,900

419 William St · Elmira, NY 14901
100 bd · None ba · 8,896 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 343 Days on market
Built 1932 3,665 sqft lot $10/sqft · 61% below area Est $173k · 48% under ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 10 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special in Elmira! This 10-unit property is ready for someone with vision and hustle. Zoned mixed-use, it’s a rare find with huge potential for both residential and commercial income. Yes, it needs some love but the numbers make sense, and the return on investment could be a game changer. Whether you’re flipping, holding, or redeveloping, this one’s worth a look.

Key facts

  • Zoned mixed use
  • 10 unit property
  • 3,665 sq ft lot

Tags

10 UNIT PROPERTYZONED MIXED USE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 10 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($103k/yr) — positive. Per door: $862/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 121.4% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 343 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 343 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
13.28%
Cap rate
121.36%
Cash-on-cash
410.94%
DSCR
19.28
GRM
0.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,278
List price
$89,900
Delta
-48.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
24.77×
Total profit
$598,276
Equity at exit
$80,989
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
53.86×
Total profit
$1,330,668
Equity at exit
$174,656

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14901

Home prices YoY
15.9%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,937 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$301 /mo · $3,615/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,507
Net cashflow
$8,620

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,026
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 23%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8,671 -5% $8,646 +0% $8,620 +5% $8,595 +10% $8,569
Rent -10% $7,677 -5% $8,149 +0% $8,620 +5% $9,092 +10% $9,563
Rate -1.0pp $8,665 -0.5pp $8,643 base $8,620 +0.5pp $8,597 +1.0pp $8,573

10-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (10 units) $11,937

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,900 Active 343 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 342 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 341 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 340 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 339 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 337 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 336 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 333 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 332 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 331 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 328 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 327 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 326 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 325 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 324 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 323 DOM
  17. 2025-08-29
    price $89,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Investor special in Elmira! This 10-unit property is ready for someone with vision and hustle. Zoned mixed-use, it’s a rare find with huge potential for both residential and commercial income. Yes, it needs some love but the numbers make sense, and the return on investment could be a game changer. Whether you’re flipping, holding, or redeveloping, this one’s worth a look.

  18. 2025-07-11
    listed $100,000 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Investor special in Elmira! This 10-unit property is ready for someone with vision and hustle. Zoned mixed-use, it’s a rare find with huge potential for both residential and commercial income. Yes, it needs some love but the numbers make sense, and the return on investment could be a game changer. Whether you’re flipping, holding, or redeveloping, this one’s worth a look.

  19. 2008-12-23
    historical
  20. 2008-08-05
    listed $122,000
  21. 2007-02-27
    soldstatus $138,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,615 · $301/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,615 · $301/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$143,244
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$3,615
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,460
− Management
−$11,460
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$108,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$26,066
After-tax cash flow
$77,375/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
14,430

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 32.34%
Current HPI
236.2674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-11 Listed $100,000 UNYREIS
  • 2008-12-23 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2008-08-05 Listed $122,000 UNYREIS
  • 2007-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $138,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,615 · -15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…