2820 S Pack S · Lake Charles, LA 70611

$79,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market

Built 1979 0.41 ac lot $69/sqft · 16% below area Est $95k · 16% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.9/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable home located at 2820 S Pack Rd. This cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers an open floorplan that creates a comfortable living space. Whether you are a first time homebuyer, small family or an investor be sure to take a look.

Key facts

• 0.41 acre lot
• Built 1979
• Listed 49 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-family house; One story
• Exterior features: Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 85 x 209 x 85 x 209 (0.41 acres)

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: No fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($274/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
• Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
• Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 322 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 14% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.12%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.38%
• DSCR: 2.08
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $94,540
• List price: $79,000
• Delta: -16.44%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2814 S Pack Rd S	0.04mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,150 (0%)	4mo	$80,000	$70	90
2958 Nanna St	0.72mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,216 (+6%)	2mo	$75,000	$62	50
1442 Cathy St	0.68mi	2/1.0	1,286 (+12%)	23mo	$98,960	$77	30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.50×
• Total profit: $-11,114
• Equity at exit: $11,779

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-6,849
• Equity at exit: $6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70611

• Active inventory: 322
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,170 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$414
• Tax from tax record: −$28 /mo · $331/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$246
• Net cashflow: $23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141

Max offer price $79,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,750
• Closing costs: $2,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $79,000 Active 50 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $79,000 Active 49 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $79,000 Active 46 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $79,000 Active 44 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $79,000 Active 40 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 39 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 38 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,000 Active 35 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,000 Active 33 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,000 Active 32 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,000 Active 31 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,000 Active 30 DOM
17. 2026-04-30
    listed $79,000 Active 247-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $331 · $28/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $434 · $36/mo
• Expected delta: +$103/yr (+$9/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,038
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,425
• − Property taxes: −$331
• − Insurance: −$5,514
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,123
• − Management: −$1,123
• − Depreciation: −$2,298
• Taxable loss: −$777
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$186
• After-tax cash flow: $460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calcasieu Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200330
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -39.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -33.00%
• Median HH income: $44,700
• Composite: 31.45/100
• National rank: #5979
• State rank: #29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lake Charles

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #95
• US rank: #9820

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lake Charles, LA
• County: Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• Population (ZIP): 22,124
• Household income: $101,844
• Rent vs Own: 13.9% rent · 86.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 183.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 212,179 people
• By 2030: 218,199 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 228,486 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 236,208 · +11.3%
• By 2075: 251,696 · +18.6%
• By 2100: 247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 10% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -84.82%
• Current HPI: 115.0052
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Listed $79,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $331 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.