717 Mark St · Deer Park, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this charming home in the heart of Deer Park Gardens, inviting layout perfect for comfortable everyday living. The living area flows into a functional kitchen and dining space, creating an easy setting for meals and relaxed evenings at home. This property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, providing flexibility for families, guests, or a dedicated home office. The central heating and cooling, brick exterior, and slab foundation add to the home’s durability and value. Sitting on a 6,825 sqft lot, the backyard offers plenty of room to garden, play, or create your ideal outdoor retreat. An attached garage provides convenient parking and storage. Located in an established neighb
Key facts
- 6,825 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1959
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1959; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (18x18)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (21x14); Bedroom on the first floor (12x13); Bedroom on the first floor (9x10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Primary bedroom with private bath; Tub with shower; Kitchen and dining combined; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (8.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Deer Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#244 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Deer Park ISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #170 of 826 in TX (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: San Jacinto El (math 40% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,269 of 4,322 statewide, top 30%, 801 students, 52% FRL); Deer Park J H (math 60% / reading 55%, grade B, #206 of 1,662 statewide, top 13%, 863 students, 40% FRL); Deer Park H S (math 57% / reading 59%, grade C, #320 of 1,632 statewide, top 20%, 4,026 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.15%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,324
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -3.53%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 718 Alyse St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (+6%) | 12mo | $212,400 | $178 | 78 |
| 614 Alyse St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,193 (+6%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $231 | 74 |
| 822 Alyse St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (+11%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $144 | 71 |
| 305 Helen Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,099 (-3%) | 2mo | $139,900 | $127 | 64 |
| 1121 E 13th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,198 (+6%) | 9mo | $209,900 | $175 | 64 |
| 825 Grove St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,215 (+8%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $164 | 60 |
| 313 Ellen Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-3%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 430 E 1st St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-3%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 221 E 2nd St | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,214 (+8%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $144 | 49 |
| 129 E 6th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+11%) | 9mo | $205,770 | $165 | 45 |
| 211 E 4th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-15%) | 2mo | $174,999 | $182 | 40 |
| 830 Elm St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (-12%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $187 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-40,033
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-48,057
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77536
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$424 /mo · $5,092/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $13 | -5% $-44 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-246 | -5% $-173 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-28 | +10% $45 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $0 | -0.5pp $-50 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-152 | +1.0pp $-205 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 Luella Ave Deer Park, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,781 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $200,000 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Pending 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-04-30historical $209,000 974-char remark
-
2020-12-02soldstatus
-
2020-12-02soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,092 · $424/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,092 · $424/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$5,092
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,769
- − Management
- −$1,769
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$4,535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,088
- After-tax cash flow
- $-117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deer Park ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,227
- Composite
- 43.3/100
- National rank
- #3039
- State rank
- #170 of 826 in TX
Livability — Deer Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #5835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Deer Park, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 33,174
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,174
- Household income
- $102,045
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 583.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.30%
- Current HPI
- 253.1973
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-30 Price Changed $200,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $209,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $209,000 HARMLS
- 2020-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-12-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,092 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…