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611 E Federal St
D Composite 40.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

611 E Federal St · Allentown, PA 18103
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,236 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1965 8,100 sqft lot $214/sqft · 32% above area Est $364k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Multiple offers received. Please present best and highest by end of day Monday (18May2026). Located in Salisbury Township, this 1965-built ranch balances mid-century charm with significant growth potential. The main floor offers 1,236 square feet of comfortable living space, anchored by original hardwood floors that have been professionally refinished to a beautiful, modern glow. This level features three well-appointed bedrooms and a full bathroom, all arranged in a practical, easy-to-navigate layout. The home’s footprint nearly doubles in the walkout basement, which provides almost 1,000 square feet of additional, mostly finished space. It is a versatile canvas just waiting for the

Key facts

  • 8,100 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Garage with door opener; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Built-in garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power for heating and appliances
  • Home design: Single-story home; R4 zoning; Block foundation; Below-grade finished area in basement; Above-grade finished living area
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick exterior; Asphalt and fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Lot dimensions approximately 67.46 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Resilient
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level; One half bathroom on the lower level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Radiant heating; Zoned heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Partially finished walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-354 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (23.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
  • Salisbury Township SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #307 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,712 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.73%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,749
List price
$265,000
Delta
-27.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
602 E Juniata St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,302 (+5%) 3mo $319,000 $245 79
716 E Barner St 0.27mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,234 (-0%) 8mo $230,000 $186 75
726 Barner St 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,161 (-6%) 3mo $245,000 $211 74
313 E Juniata St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,288 (+4%) 3mo $330,000 $256 66
1340 Marlow St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (+1%) 8mo $150,000 $120 63
1602 S Albert 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+6%) 2mo $399,999 $307 61
316 E Susquehanna St #318 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+9%) 8mo $340,000 $253 59
1145 Lehigh Ave 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,176 (-5%) 6mo $277,000 $236 57
1004 E Susquehanna St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-4%) 8mo $265,000 $224 56
14 E Paoli St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-5%) 7mo $280,000 $238 53
1138 Loxley Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,123 (-9%) 4mo $310,000 $276 52
1230 Salisbury Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-13%) 8mo $310,000 $287 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-57,125
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-41,467
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18103

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,957 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax from tax record
$400 /mo · $4,802/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$411
Net cashflow
$-354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,405
Max offer price $202,440
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,500 $2.29 14d 1 0.25mi
1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 920 $1,750 $1.90 21d 1 0.54mi
1701 S Albert St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,450 $1.48 44d 1 0.57mi
210 E Emmaus Ave #1 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 825 $1,500 $1.82 44d 1 0.60mi
1012 Constitution Dr Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 23d 1 0.62mi
1848 S Wood St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 19d 1 0.79mi
146 W Susquehanna St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,995 $1.66 14d 1 0.80mi
717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,745 $1.84 3d 1 0.98mi
2402 S 2nd St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 3d 1 1.01mi
101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 972 $1,795 $1.85 3d 1 1.04mi
101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 972 $1,795 $1.85 44d 1 1.04mi
2307 S 5th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1296 $2,300 $1.77 14d 1 1.12mi
503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 3d 1 1.13mi
503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 14d 1 1.13mi
503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 23d 1 1.13mi
503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 14d 1 1.13mi
503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 14d 1 1.13mi
503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 14d 1 1.13mi
519 Vine St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 3d 1 1.15mi
333 River Dr Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $2,025 $2.33 3d 13 1.17mi
2013 S 6th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1080 $2,300 $2.13 14d 1 1.24mi
520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $2,293 $2.47 3d 13 1.25mi
230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,300 $1.63 23d 1 1.26mi
773 E Rock Rd Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1146 $1,050 $0.92 21d 1 1.38mi
303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 977 $1,550 $1.59 44d 1 1.38mi
702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,400 $1.56 3d 1 1.43mi
2074 Baker Dr Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1462 $2,195 $1.50 44d 1 1.49mi
830 W Susquehanna St #814 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,625 $1.35 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $265,000 Active 904-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,802 · $400/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,802 · $400/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,485
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$4,802
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,879
− Management
−$1,879
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$8,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,149
After-tax cash flow
$-2,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salisbury Township SD
NCES district ID
4220730
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$69,808
Composite
36.3/100
National rank
#4696
State rank
#307 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
48,746
Household income
$72,895
Rent vs Own
36.9% rent · 63.1% own
Severe rent burden
1792.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -358.28%
Current HPI
298.1512
Rent YoY
▲ 7.05%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $265,000 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,802 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…