611 E Federal St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Multiple offers received. Please present best and highest by end of day Monday (18May2026). Located in Salisbury Township, this 1965-built ranch balances mid-century charm with significant growth potential. The main floor offers 1,236 square feet of comfortable living space, anchored by original hardwood floors that have been professionally refinished to a beautiful, modern glow. This level features three well-appointed bedrooms and a full bathroom, all arranged in a practical, easy-to-navigate layout. The home’s footprint nearly doubles in the walkout basement, which provides almost 1,000 square feet of additional, mostly finished space. It is a versatile canvas just waiting for the
Key facts
- 8,100 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Garage with door opener; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Built-in garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power for heating and appliances
- Home design: Single-story home; R4 zoning; Block foundation; Below-grade finished area in basement; Above-grade finished living area
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick exterior; Asphalt and fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Year built not provided
- Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Lot dimensions approximately 67.46 x 120
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Resilient
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level; One half bathroom on the lower level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Radiant heating; Zoned heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Attic; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Partially finished walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-354 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (23.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $196k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Salisbury Township SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #307 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.73%
- DSCR
- 0.75
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,749
- List price
- $265,000
- Delta
- -27.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 E Juniata St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (+5%) | 3mo | $319,000 | $245 | 79 |
| 716 E Barner St | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,234 (-0%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $186 | 75 |
| 726 Barner St | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (-6%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $211 | 74 |
| 313 E Juniata St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+4%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $256 | 66 |
| 1340 Marlow St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+1%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 1602 S Albert | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+6%) | 2mo | $399,999 | $307 | 61 |
| 316 E Susquehanna St #318 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+9%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $253 | 59 |
| 1145 Lehigh Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (-5%) | 6mo | $277,000 | $236 | 57 |
| 1004 E Susquehanna St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-4%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $224 | 56 |
| 14 E Paoli St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-5%) | 7mo | $280,000 | $238 | 53 |
| 1138 Loxley Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,123 (-9%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $276 | 52 |
| 1230 Salisbury Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-13%) | 8mo | $310,000 | $287 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-57,125
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-41,467
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18103
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,957 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$400 /mo · $4,802/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$411
- Net cashflow
- $-354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1701 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 210 E Emmaus Ave #1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,500 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1012 Constitution Dr Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1848 S Wood St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 146 W Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,745 | $1.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2402 S 2nd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2307 S 5th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 519 Vine St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 333 River Dr Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,025 | $2.33 | 3d | 13 | 1.17mi |
| 2013 S 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,300 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,293 | $2.47 | 3d | 13 | 1.25mi |
| 230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 773 E Rock Rd Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2074 Baker Dr Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1462 | $2,195 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 830 W Susquehanna St #814 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,625 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-15$265,000 Active 904-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,802 · $400/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,802 · $400/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$4,802
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,879
- − Management
- −$1,879
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$8,952
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,149
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salisbury Township SD
- NCES district ID
- 4220730
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,808
- Composite
- 36.3/100
- National rank
- #4696
- State rank
- #307 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,746
- Household income
- $72,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1792.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -358.28%
- Current HPI
- 298.1512
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.05%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $265,000 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2026): $4,802 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…