619 E 10th St N · Newton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Remodeled 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow with a full basement and an old 2 car garage. The garage is in poor condition. The house includes a near new steel roof, freshly painted slate siding, some updated windows, and a breaker box. Stove and refrigerator included. There is also an extra lot included. This house has been used as a rental for many years.
Key facts
- Extra lot
- Breaker box
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential zoning (R)
- Construction: Metal roof; See remarks for construction materials
- Exterior features: Chain link partial fencing; Patio (open)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($420/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $87k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $87k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.1% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#169 in IA, #3,069 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,248
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -28.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1108 N 6th Ave E | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (+9%) | 1mo | $134,500 | $187 | 76 |
| 600 E 13th St N | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (0%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $159 | 75 |
| 1102 N 6th Ave E | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 14mo | $134,000 | $186 | 69 |
| 123 E 8th St S | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 702 (+6%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $185 | 62 |
| 314 E 14th St N | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $206 | 61 |
| 917 E 10th St N | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 684 (+4%) | 19mo | $162,500 | $238 | 58 |
| 207 E 16th St N | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $222 | 54 |
| 413 E 11th St S | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (+2%) | 19mo | $163,000 | $243 | 50 |
| 217 E 14th St N | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 20mo | $102,500 | $142 | 49 |
| 301 E 17th St N | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 13mo | $149,000 | $207 | 49 |
| 1004 1st St N | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 742 (+12%) | 5mo | $169,000 | $228 | 44 |
| 308 E 17th St N | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+9%) | 20mo | $150,500 | $209 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-13,133
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-8,509
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50208
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $875 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $89 | -5% $62 | +0% $35 | +5% $8 | +10% $-19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-34 | -5% $0 | +0% $35 | +5% $70 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $83 | -0.5pp $59 | base $35 | +0.5pp $10 | +1.0pp $-15 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726 E 8th St N Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $895 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 605 E 7 1/2 St N Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1026 E 12th St N Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $625 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 427 N 2nd Ave E Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $599 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 126 E 5th St S Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $599 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 320 W 3rd St N Unit 207 Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $1,050 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 723 E 6th St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 602 E 2nd St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1800 W 4th St N Newton, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $840 | $1.06 | 15d | 7 | 1.04mi |
| 706 S 2nd Ave W Unit 706 Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $625 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 351-char remark
-
2026-04-28$94,900 Active 351-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,424 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,457 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$33/yr (+$3/mo · 2.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$1,424
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$840
- − Management
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable loss
- −$1,159
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,447
- Composite
- 51.15/100
- National rank
- #1762
- State rank
- #245 of 289 in IA
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #3069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newton, IA
- County
- Jasper County · 20,595 people
- City population
- 20,595
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,595
- Household income
- $62,306
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 536.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.48%
- Current HPI
- 269.6454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $94,900 DMMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,424 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…