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2955 Willis Foreman Rd
B Composite 72.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2955 Willis Foreman Rd · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30815
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1966 3.13 ac lot $80/sqft · 36% below area Est $235k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to 2955 Willis Foreman Road in Hephzibah! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,884 Sq ft. heated square feet and sits on a peaceful 3.13 acre lot. This is a perfect Investment Opportunity or First Time Buyer option! Property being sold AS-IS. Refurbished Ceiling and Roof. Conveniently located near Hephzibah, Augusta, Fort Gordon, shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers space, updates, and value all in one. Don't miss your opportunity to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Refurbished roof
  • 3.13 acre lot
  • Refurbished ceiling

Tags

REFURBISHED CEILINGREFURBISHED ROOF3.13 ACRE LOTINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $747 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Blythe Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 292 students, 98% FRL); Hephzibah Middle School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 517 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 359 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.27%
Cash-on-cash
21.34%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,113
List price
$150,000
Delta
-36.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3043 Willis Foreman Rd 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,000 (+6%) 14mo $345,000 $173 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$16,972
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$51,722
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30815

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
359
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,137 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$747

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,191
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3013 Heron Ct Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,785 $1.21 23d 1 0.85mi
3881 Crest Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 14d 1 1.47mi
3883 Crest Dr Hephzibah, GA 3.0 2.0 1380 $3,600 $2.61 14d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 507-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    historical
  3. 2026-05-04
    listed $150,000 Active
  4. 2026-05-04
    listed $150,000 Active 507-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,104 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,380 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 25.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,639
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,104
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,051
− Management
−$2,051
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$6,917
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,660
After-tax cash flow
$7,302/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
44,109
Household income
$70,202
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
867.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.74%
Current HPI
162.4074
Rent YoY
▼ -0.71%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,104 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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