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2841 W Amelia St
C+ Composite 64.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

2841 W Amelia St · Orlando, FL 32805
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1958 6,098 sqft lot Est $180k · 28% under ↓ 41% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3-bedroom 1 bath home for sale AS IS. Large front and back yard perfect for privacy and storage. Please note: all carpet and kitchen appliances have been removed. This home is ready for renovations to make it a perfect rental or first home. Easy access to the expressway, shopping and dining.

Key facts

  • Front and back yard
  • Shopping and dining
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

FRONT AND BACK YARDEASY ACCESS TO EXPRESSWAYSHOPPING AND DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential, R-1A zoning; Living area reported as 864 (public records); Building area total reported as 1,192; Universal property identifier on file; Property not in a CDD; Not homesteaded
  • Financial info: Unfurnished; No lease restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; South-facing
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a lot of about 0 to less than 1/4 acre
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Concrete floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,712
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3001 W Amelia St 0.08mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $168 96
3524 Amigos Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (+12%) 11mo $202,000 $208 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-9,083
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,610
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32805

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,419 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $313 -5% $268 +0% $223 +5% $178 +10% $133
Rent -10% $111 -5% $167 +0% $223 +5% $279 +10% $335
Rate -1.0pp $288 -0.5pp $256 base $223 +0.5pp $189 +1.0pp $155

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 W Concord St Orlando, FL 3.0 1.0 864 $844 $0.98 25d 1 0.12mi
2208 W Central Blvd Unit 2208 B Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,195 $1.99 25d 1 0.60mi
936 Pinedale Ave Unit A Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 950 $1,499 $1.58 23d 1 0.62mi
936 Pinedale Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 950 $1,499 $1.58 4d 1 0.62mi
2023 W Pine St Unit 4 Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,195 $1.66 25d 1 0.78mi
1100 N John Young Pkwy Orlando, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 977 $2,569 $2.63 3d 12 0.86mi
3750 W D Judge Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $1,612 $2.00 9d 1 0.92mi
3025 Long St Unit A Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 678 $1,650 $2.43 25d 1 0.92mi
516 Sunset Dr Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,395 $2.33 9d 1 1.00mi
1322 Arlington St Orlando, FL 3.0 1.0 846 $1,750 $2.07 25d 1 1.09mi
4333 Cynthia St Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1039 $1,813 $1.74 23d 1 1.14mi
3205 Orange Center Blvd Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $1,336 $2.23 25d 1 1.15mi
4431 Barley St Orlando, FL 4.0 1.0 1026 $864 $0.84 25d 1 1.31mi
1045 Polk St Unit 1049B Orlando, FL 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,650 $1.55 25d 1 1.31mi
1045 W Washington St Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 715 $1,095 $1.53 25d 1 1.32mi
1032 W Jefferson St Unit 5 Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 810 $940 $1.16 12d 1 1.34mi
1032 W Jefferson St Unit 5 Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 810 $940 $1.16 5d 1 1.34mi
1216 Lawne Blvd Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 25d 1 1.35mi
408 N Westmoreland Dr Orlando, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 550 $1,595 $2.90 25d 1 1.37mi
1011 Dewitt Dr Unit 1013 Dewitt A Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 625 $1,195 $1.91 12d 1 1.39mi
1011 Dewitt Dr Apt B Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 650 $995 $1.53 23d 1 1.39mi
1016 Alba Dr Unit 1016 Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 1008 $2,100 $2.08 4d 1 1.41mi
909 W Livingston St Unit 2 Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 550 $1,295 $2.35 12d 1 1.43mi
200 Fanfair Ave Orlando, FL 3.0 1.0 941 $1,730 $1.84 9d 1 1.45mi
817 Bentley St Unit A Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 730 $1,300 $1.78 25d 1 1.47mi
812 W Livingston St Unit B Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 650 $1,175 $1.81 4d 1 1.48mi
4610 Barley St Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $1,699 $2.11 25d 1 1.48mi
811 Hills St Orlando, FL 2.0 1.0 792 $1,399 $1.77 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    status $130,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $130,000 Pending 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $130,000 Active
  19. 2024-07-22
    status Pending
  20. 2024-07-16
    status Active
  21. 2024-06-26
    status Pending
  22. 2024-06-18
    listed $165,000 Active
  23. 2024-06-05
    historical
  24. 2024-03-25
    price $190,000
  25. 2024-02-13
    price $195,000
  26. 2023-10-18
    listed $220,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,029
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,362
− Management
−$1,362
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$154
After-tax cash flow
$2,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Orlando

Score
86/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#360

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orlando, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
City population
964,969
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,294
Household income
$40,515
Rent vs Own
56.8% rent · 43.2% own
Severe rent burden
1597.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 13% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 9% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.19%
Current HPI
429.3242
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-22 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-16 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-26 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-18 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-05 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-25 Price Changed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-13 Price Changed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-18 Listed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $159 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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