1711 Sterling Water Dr · Sienna, TX 77459

$368,211

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,242 sqft · Other public records · 118 Days on market

Built 2024 4,988 sqft lot $164/sqft · at area comps Est $362k · at est. $147/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.8/30.0
• ARV discount +6.7/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.2/10.0
• Appreciation +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

Key facts

• Covered patio
• $147 HOA
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• COVERED PATIO
• ENERGY SERIES READY HOME
• DOE ZERO ENERGY READY
• ENERGY STAR CERTIFIED
• INDOOR AIRPLUS QUALIFIED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $368k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-302 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $315k (14.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (7.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $315k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.3% in Sienna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $92k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $314,818 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.92% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.31%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.52%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $361,678
• List price: $368,211
• Delta: 1.81%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-67,583
• Equity at exit: $77,224

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.01×
• Total profit: $-101,828
• Equity at exit: $71,529

Cash invested: $103,099 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77459

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.1%
• Active inventory: 1215
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,404 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,931
• Tax from tax record: −$760 /mo · $9,122/yr
• Insurance: −$153
• HOA: −$147
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$715
• Net cashflow: $-302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,787

Max offer price $314,818

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-94	-5% $-198	+0% $-302	+5% $-406	+10% $-511
Rent	-10% $-571	-5% $-437	+0% $-302	+5% $-168	+10% $-33
Rate	-1.0pp $-117	-0.5pp $-209	base $-302	+0.5pp $-398	+1.0pp $-495

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $92,053
• Closing costs: $11,046
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1714 Forest Mist Dr Missouri City, TX	3.0	3.0	1979	$3,000	$1.52	44d	1	0.03mi
8719 Fox Trail Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.5	2143	$6,000	$2.80	22d	1	0.96mi
2142 Ironwood Pass Dr Missouri City, TX	4.0	3.0	2140	$6,000	$2.80	1d	1	1.08mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $147 · $1,764/yr

Listing history 50 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $368,211 Active 118 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   pricedays on market $368,211 Active 117 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $449,211 Active 116 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $449,211 Active 115 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $449,211 Active 113 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $449,211 Active 109 DOM
7. 2026-06-07
   days on market $449,211 Active 107 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   days on market $449,211 Active 104 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $449,211 Active 103 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $449,211 Active 102 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $449,211 Active 101 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $449,211 Active 100 DOM
13. 2026-05-19
    price $368,211 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

14. 2026-05-16
    price $466,211 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

15. 2026-05-15
    price $453,211 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

16. 2026-05-07
    price $449,211 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

17. 2026-05-05
    price $449,211 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

18. 2026-05-05
    price $422,211 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

19. 2026-04-07
    price $420,892 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

20. 2026-03-26
    price $420,892 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

21. 2026-03-13
    price $421,816 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

22. 2026-03-12
    price $421,816 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

23. 2026-02-21
    price $441,816 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

24. 2026-02-20
    historical

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

25. 2026-02-20
    listed $460,219 Active 960-char remark

    Show marketing remark (960 chars)

    NEW CONSTRUCTION by Beazer Homes, America’s #1 Energy Efficient New Home Builder! Welcome home to 1711 Sterling Water Drive, located in the Sienna community and zoned to Alyssa Ferguson Elementary, Thornton Middle, and Almeta Crawford High. This southeast-facing Prosperity duet offers 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and 2,286 sq. ft. of thoughtfully designed living space. Highlights include a spacious covered patio for outdoor entertaining, a unique primary closet with direct laundry access, and elegant interiors featuring Choice Kitchen B with island sink, Choice Primary Bath B with shower and tub, quartz countertops, two-toned cabinets, and Mercato Bianco tile throughout the main living areas. Built as an Energy Series READY home, it is DOE Zero Energy Ready, ENERGY STAR® certified, and Indoor airPLUS qualified, ensuring comfort, efficiency, and healthier indoor air. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity! Call now to schedule your tour.

26. 2026-02-13
    price $440,716
27. 2026-02-12
    price $441,816 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

28. 2026-02-10
    price $440,816 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

29. 2026-02-06
    price $440,219

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

30. 2026-02-06
    price $440,716 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

31. 2026-02-04
    price $440,370 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

32. 2026-02-03
    price $440,219 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

33. 2026-01-23
    price $430,219 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

34. 2026-01-22
    price $460,219
35. 2026-01-21
    historical
36. 2026-01-21
    listed $459,219 Active
37. 2026-01-15
    price $460,219 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

38. 2025-12-29
    price $459,219
39. 2025-12-23
    price $459,219 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

40. 2025-12-19
    price $460,219
41. 2025-12-15
    price $460,219 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

42. 2025-12-10
    status Active 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

43. 2025-12-10
    historical 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

44. 2025-12-02
    status Active 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

45. 2025-12-02
    historical 469-char remark

    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    A study off the foyer welcomes you into the two-story Prosperity duet home. The kitchen features a large island and walk-in pantry, flowing into the dining area and great room with 11-foot ceilings and tall windows that showcase the covered patio. The private primary suite includes soaring ceilings and a luxurious bath with oversized shower or soaking tub and shower. A mudroom leads to the 2-car garage, and upstairs, a loft and secondary bedrooms complete the home.

46. 2025-12-01
    price $459,219
47. 2025-11-20
    price $466,219
48. 2025-11-14
    price $459,219
49. 2025-10-30
    price $466,219
50. 2025-09-04
    price $459,219

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $9,122 · $760/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $9,122 · $760/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $40,849
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,626
• − Property taxes: −$9,122
• − Insurance: −$1,841
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,268
• − Management: −$3,268
• − HOA: −$1,764
• − Depreciation: −$10,712
• Taxable loss: −$9,750
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,340
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,287/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Fort Bend ISD
• NCES district ID: 4819650
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $82,360
• Composite: 44.61/100
• National rank: #2779
• State rank: #140 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sienna

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Sienna, TX
• County: Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 84,221
• Household income: $129,151
• Rent vs Own: 14.8% rent · 85.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1004.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,004,526 people
• By 2030: 1,153,104 · +14.8%
• By 2040: 1,453,718 · +44.7%
• By 2050: 1,753,781 · +74.6%
• By 2075: 2,455,772 · +144.5%
• By 2100: 2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.67%
• Current HPI: 212.3573
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.15%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-19.4% since first listed

98 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Price Changed $368,211 Zillow
• 2026-05-16 Price Changed $466,211 Zillow
• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $453,211 Zillow
• 2026-05-07 Price Changed $449,211 HARMLS
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $449,211 Zillow
• 2026-05-05 Price Changed $422,211 Zillow
• 2026-04-07 Price Changed $420,892 HARMLS
• 2026-03-26 Price Changed $420,892 Zillow
• 2026-03-13 Price Changed $421,816 Zillow
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $421,816 HARMLS
• 2026-02-21 Price Changed $441,816 HARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-02-20 Listed $460,219 HARMLS
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $440,716 HARMLS
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $441,816 Zillow
• 2026-02-10 Price Changed $440,816 Zillow
• 2026-02-06 Price Changed $440,219 HARMLS
• 2026-02-06 Price Changed $440,716 Zillow
• 2026-02-04 Price Changed $440,370 Zillow
• 2026-02-03 Price Changed $440,219 Zillow
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $430,219 Zillow
• 2026-01-22 Price Changed $460,219 HARMLS
• 2026-01-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2026-01-21 Listed $459,219 HARMLS
• 2026-01-15 Price Changed $460,219 Zillow
• 2025-12-29 Price Changed $459,219 HARMLS
• 2025-12-23 Price Changed $459,219 Zillow
• 2025-12-19 Price Changed $460,219 HARMLS
• 2025-12-15 Price Changed $460,219 Zillow
• 2025-12-10 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-10 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Relisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-02 Delisted — Zillow
• 2025-12-01 Price Changed $459,219 HARMLS
• 2025-11-20 Price Changed $466,219 HARMLS
• 2025-11-14 Price Changed $459,219 HARMLS
• 2025-10-30 Price Changed $466,219 HARMLS
• 2025-09-04 Price Changed $459,219 HARMLS
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $459,219 Zillow
• 2025-08-26 Price Changed $439,219 HARMLS
• 2025-08-22 Price Changed $439,219 Zillow
• 2025-08-11 Price Changed $439,346 HARMLS
• 2025-08-08 Price Changed $439,346 Zillow
• 2025-07-14 Price Changed $436,346 HARMLS
• 2025-07-08 Price Changed $425,346 HARMLS
• 2025-06-18 Price Changed $436,346 Zillow
• 2025-06-07 Price Changed $446,347 Zillow
• 2025-06-06 Price Changed $423,002 Zillow
• 2025-06-02 Price Changed $436,346 HARMLS
• 2025-05-30 Price Changed $436,346 Zillow
• 2025-05-22 Price Changed $446,346 HARMLS
• 2025-05-21 Price Changed $446,346 Zillow
• 2025-05-17 Price Changed $444,346 Zillow
• 2025-05-03 Price Changed $440,346 Zillow
• 2025-05-02 Price Changed $440,346 HARMLS
• 2025-05-02 Price Changed $427,226 Zillow
• 2025-04-25 Price Changed $424,226 Zillow
• 2025-04-22 Price Changed $411,569 HARMLS
• 2025-04-18 Price Changed $411,569 Zillow
• 2025-04-17 Price Changed $402,358 HARMLS
• 2025-04-17 Price Changed $402,358 Zillow
• 2025-04-16 Price Changed $404,068 Zillow
• 2025-04-16 Price Changed $401,068 Zillow
• 2025-04-12 Price Changed $399,952 HARMLS
• 2025-04-12 Price Changed $399,952 Zillow
• 2025-04-04 Price Changed $400,412 HARMLS
• 2025-04-03 Price Changed $400,412 Zillow
• 2025-03-27 Price Changed $396,784 Zillow
• 2025-03-27 Price Changed $416,784 Zillow
• 2025-03-26 Price Changed $416,937 Zillow
• 2025-03-26 Price Changed $418,444 Zillow
• 2025-03-18 Price Changed $419,132 HARMLS
• 2025-03-14 Price Changed $418,582 Zillow
• 2025-03-13 Listed $420,422 Zillow
• 2025-03-11 Price Changed $420,972 HARMLS
• 2025-02-25 Price Changed $431,084 HARMLS
• 2025-02-24 Price Changed $421,084 HARMLS
• 2025-02-13 Price Changed $456,172 HARMLS
• 2025-02-06 Price Changed $446,172 HARMLS
• 2025-01-23 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-01-23 Listed $417,172 HARMLS
• 2025-01-17 Price Changed $417,172 HARMLS
• 2025-01-08 Price Changed $427,172 HARMLS
• 2024-12-05 Price Changed $420,172 HARMLS
• 2024-11-06 Price Changed $392,063 HARMLS
• 2024-09-06 Price Changed $382,063 HARMLS
• 2024-09-06 Price Changed $362,960 HARMLS
• 2024-09-04 Price Changed $382,063 HARMLS
• 2024-08-31 Price Changed $382,770 HARMLS
• 2024-08-30 Price Changed $447,328 HARMLS
• 2024-08-30 Price Changed $382,770 HARMLS
• 2024-08-12 Price Changed $447,328 HARMLS
• 2024-08-07 Price Changed $447,348 HARMLS
• 2024-08-01 Price Changed $446,991 HARMLS
• 2024-07-17 Price Changed $420,991 HARMLS
• 2024-06-26 Price Changed $420,969 HARMLS
• 2024-06-06 Price Changed $441,969 HARMLS
• 2024-06-05 Listed $456,969 HARMLS

Property tax history

+807.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,122 · +807.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.