2317 Woodland Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$64,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 bedroom vinyl shotgun. Great investment opportunity. Start your rental portfolio on the cheap! Subject to Seller's Addendum. Qualified buyers only. All offers must include certified check for the good faith deposit, proof of funds or pre-approval letter and articles of incorporation if buyer is a company. FNMA Incentive-Purchase & close between now and 4/30/10 and Buyer may request to 3.5% towards closing costs &/or new appliances.
Key facts
- 3,023 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Wilson Ave to 25th St to Woodland Ave
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family shotgun-style home; One story; Built in 1905; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built 1905; Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,009
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.07 acres (27.5 x 110)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor primary bedroom; First-floor laundry; 2 closets; No basement; Total of 4 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.07%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,549
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2307 Woodland Ave | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 940 (-7%) | 7mo | $17,000 | $18 | 77 |
| 2108 Bolling Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (+0%) | 7mo | $52,000 | $51 | 76 |
| 2130 W Gaulbert Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 982 (-3%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $61 | 75 |
| 2306 Standard Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-11%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $42 | 73 |
| 1712 Saint Louis Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (+6%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $42 | 65 |
| 2615 Greenwood Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (-2%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $72 | 62 |
| 2645 Grand Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 926 (-8%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $67 | 59 |
| 1320 S 17th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,003 (-1%) | 3mo | $118,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 3107 Dumesnil St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,035 (+3%) | 6mo | $32,000 | $31 | 53 |
| 1714 Bolling Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,068 (+6%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 1331 S 28th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+14%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $52 | 49 |
| 1412 Beech St | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 | 1,127 (+12%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $80 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $70,179
- Equity at exit
- $58,553
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.88×
- Total profit
- $198,059
- Equity at exit
- $126,271
Cash invested: $18,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40210
- Home prices YoY
- 12.1%
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $433/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $456
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,249
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2223 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,175 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1410 Standard Village Cir Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1333 S 22nd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,200 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1854 W Ormsby Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $800 | $0.73 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2614 Virginia Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $925 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1842 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2807 Dumesnil St Unit 101 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1710 Saint Louis Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $740 | $0.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1792 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $950 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2400 Burwell Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $895 | $0.92 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1439 Beech St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $820 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1418 Beech St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $980 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1705 1/2 Hale Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 10d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1714 W Hill St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,045 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1148 S 17th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1305 S 17th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1847 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $895 | $0.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1708 W Gaulbert Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $975 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2513 Date St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 3d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2710 W Kentucky St Apt 2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1816 Gregg Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 773 | $1,100 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1616 Gallagher St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $940 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2706 Wyandotte Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,295 | $1.71 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $745 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,995 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,995 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,995 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,995 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,995 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,995 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,995 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,995 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,995 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,995 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,995 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,995 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,995 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-09$64,995 Active
-
2018-08-01soldstatus $106,250
-
2017-06-24$25,900 Active
-
2017-06-23historical
-
2010-03-26soldstatus $5,600 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
2 bedroom vinyl shotgun. Great investment opportunity. Start your rental portfolio on the cheap! Subject to Seller's Addendum. Qualified buyers only. All offers must include certified check for the good faith deposit, proof of funds or pre-approval letter and articles of incorporation if buyer is a company. FNMA Incentive-Purchase & close between now and 4/30/10 and Buyer may request to 3.5% towards closing costs &/or new appliances.
-
2010-01-07$6,500 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
2 bedroom vinyl shotgun. Great investment opportunity. Start your rental portfolio on the cheap! Subject to Seller's Addendum. Qualified buyers only. All offers must include certified check for the good faith deposit, proof of funds or pre-approval letter and articles of incorporation if buyer is a company. FNMA Incentive-Purchase & close between now and 4/30/10 and Buyer may request to 3.5% towards closing costs &/or new appliances.
-
2006-03-03soldstatus $51,500
-
2005-10-06soldstatus $51,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $433 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $559 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$126/yr (+$11/mo · 29.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$433
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,045
- − Management
- −$1,045
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,518
- Household income
- $35,347
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 84% White 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.45%
- Current HPI
- 264.0146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.05%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+26.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $64,995 Metro Search MLS
- 2018-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $106,250 Public Records
- 2017-06-24 Listed $25,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2017-06-23 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2010-03-26 Sold (MLS) $5,600 Metro Search MLS
- 2010-01-07 Listed $6,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 2005-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $433 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…