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2421 Galaxie Dr SW
C Composite 57.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

2421 Galaxie Dr SW · Birmingham, AL 35211
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 825 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1961 $121/sqft · 155% above area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1961
  • Listed 128 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.69%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,284
List price
$100,000
Delta
91.26%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2311 Rambow Ave SW 0.39mi 2/1.0 818 (-1%) 7mo $27,500 $34 75
2012 Rambow Ave SW 0.22mi 2/1.0 864 (+5%) 9mo $20,000 $23 74
2113 SW Rambow Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 838 (+2%) 14mo $26,000 $31 72
2213 Rambow Ave SW 0.34mi 2/1.0 800 (-3%) 14mo $92,000 $115 68
2432 Ishkooda Rd 0.12mi 2/1.0 875 (+6%) 21mo $45,000 $51 67
2001 Henry Crumpton Dr 0.44mi 2/1.0 752 (-9%) 11mo $30,000 $40 56
1649 Maple Ave SW 0.60mi 2/1.0 832 (+1%) 23mo $51,000 $61 51
1916 Francis Ave SW 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 770 (-7%) 1mo $34,500 $45 51
2400 Lawn Ave SW 0.60mi 2/1.0 782 (-5%) 15mo $69,000 $88 51
117 E SW Ann Dr 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (+14%) 6mo $65,000 $69 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-3,665
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,330
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,015/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $824
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $306 -5% $278 +0% $249 +5% $221 +10% $193
Rent -10% $159 -5% $204 +0% $249 +5% $294 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $300 -0.5pp $275 base $249 +0.5pp $224 +1.0pp $197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2432 Ishkooda Rd SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,150 $1.07 44d 1 0.11mi
2113 Rambow Ave SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 838 $1,250 $1.49 44d 1 0.29mi
1845 Henry Crumpton Dr Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1000 $895 $0.90 4d 1 0.48mi
249 Gloria Rd SW Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 624 $800 $1.28 44d 1 0.55mi
224 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,050 $1.02 24d 1 0.55mi
1544 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,130 $1.19 44d 1 0.92mi
1537 18th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1049 $1,130 $1.08 44d 1 0.94mi
2300 31st St SW Unit ENSLEY2316 A Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,000 $1.33 4d 1 0.98mi
2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1056 $950 $0.90 24d 1 0.98mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 12d 1 1.01mi
1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 22d 1 1.01mi
3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $925 $0.85 44d 1 1.04mi
2805 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 792 $900 $1.14 44d 1 1.12mi
2804 32nd Way SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 840 $900 $1.07 44d 1 1.15mi
1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 978 $1,195 $1.22 4d 1 1.22mi
1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,275 $1.21 44d 1 1.27mi
1252 18th Pl SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 17d 1 1.27mi
251 London Pkwy Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $1,620 $1.36 2d 27 1.29mi
80 W Oxmoor Rd Birmingham, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1074 $2,237 $2.08 2d 19 1.38mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 123 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 120 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-05-07
    price $110,000 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    .

  15. 2026-03-26
    price $114,900 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    .

  16. 2026-03-04
    price $119,900 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    .

  17. 2026-02-10
    listed $124,900 Active 1-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1 chars)

    .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,015 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,015 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,672
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,015
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,094
− Management
−$1,094
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,459
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$350
After-tax cash flow
$2,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $124,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,015 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…