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3634 Walther Dr
D+ Composite 47.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$359,900

3634 Walther Dr · Gulf Shores, AL 36542
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,778 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 2005 9,713 sqft lot Est $332k · 8% over $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a great home in a prime location, look no further! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick home has been very well maintained, and recently had a total yard refresh! Home features a great layout including both a breakfast nook, and a separate dining space. Located right down the street from shopping, grocery, and restaurants while both the beach and the wharf are also just a short drive away. This home is also located within the Gulf Shores city school district. Don't miss out on this opportunity for a great home with a fabulous location central to everything our area has to offer! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Total yard refresh
  • Prime location

Tags

PRIME LOCATIONTOTAL YARD REFRESHBREAKFAST NOOKSEPARATE DINING SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership: Whole/Full; Zoning: Single Family Residence
  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $250 (includes grounds maintenance); No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached single-car garage with automatic door (garage approx. 21 x 19.6)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer with grinder pump; Electric service by Baldwin EMC; Gulf Shores Utilities
  • Home design: One-story single family residence; Resale property
  • Construction: Built with brick and vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered rear patio and porch; Patio; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator with ice maker
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level with walk-in closet; Bedroom 2 (approx. 10 x 12.1); Bedroom 3 (approx. 9.1 x 12.1)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with double vanity, soaking tub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; En-suite primary bathroom; High ceilings; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Breakfast area on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (9.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $327k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.2% in Gulf Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#61 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Zoned schools: Gulf Shores Elementary School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 1,062 students, 44% FRL); Gulf Shores Middle School (math 34% / reading 62%, grade C-, #29 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 589 students, 48% FRL); Gulf Shores High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #22 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 799 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,269/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $326,908 (9.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.37%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$332,486
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
630 Pinehurst Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,774 (-0%) 2mo $385,000 $217 79
618 Pinehurst Pt 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,741 (-2%) 1mo $424,500 $244 78
3663 Stonegate Cir 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,973 (+11%) 8mo $358,000 $181 71
614 Saint Andrews Dr 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,762 (-1%) 13mo $405,000 $230 64
373 Cotton Bay Ct 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,590 (-11%) 2mo $340,000 $214 60
3660 Ancient Oaks Cir 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,974 (+11%) 4mo $370,000 $187 57
3606 Ancient Oaks Cir 0.38mi 3/2.0 2,028 (+14%) 3mo $360,000 $178 56
3640 Ancient Oaks Cir 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,967 (+11%) 8mo $340,000 $173 54
619 Saint Andrews Dr 0.48mi 3/3.0 1,987 (+12%) 2mo $410,000 $206 52
3624 Ancient Oaks Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,982 (+12%) 12mo $351,000 $177 52
3638 Ancient Oaks Cir 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,965 (+10%) 11mo $319,000 $162 51
3604 Ancient Oak Cir 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,043 (+15%) 9mo $325,000 $159 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-32,699
Equity at exit
$53,662
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$10,952
Equity at exit
$31,118

Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36542

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
1215
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,269 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,887
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,885/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$687
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,804
Max offer price $359,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $571 -5% $469 +0% $367 +5% $265 +10% $163
Rent -10% $109 -5% $238 +0% $367 +5% $496 +10% $625
Rate -1.0pp $548 -0.5pp $459 base $367 +0.5pp $274 +1.0pp $179

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$89,975
Closing costs
$10,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
609 Saint Andrews Dr Gulf Shores, AL 3.0 3.0 2064 $5,500 $2.66 22d 1 0.55mi
5652 Dee St Unit A Gulf Shores, AL 2.0 2.0 2240 $1,500 $0.67 22d 1 1.12mi
4500 Gulf Shores Pkwy Gulf Shores, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1032 $1,983 $1.92 15d 10 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $359,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $359,900 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $359,900 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $359,900 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $359,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $359,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $359,900 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $359,900 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $359,900 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 647-char remark
  11. 2026-06-09
    listed $359,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,885 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,885 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,229
− Mortgage interest
−$20,160
− Property taxes
−$1,885
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,138
− Management
−$3,138
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$10,470
Taxable loss
−$1,614
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$387
After-tax cash flow
$4,794/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Gulf Shores

Score
69/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#8945

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime C+ Employment C Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulf Shores, AL
County
Baldwin County · 181,514 people
City population
18,906
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,906
Household income
$79,639
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
522.0

Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,264 people
By 2030
270,315 · +8.9%
By 2040
312,967 · +26.1%
By 2050
352,262 · +41.9%
By 2075
438,841 · +76.8%
By 2100
487,736 · +96.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -153.95%
Current HPI
257.6494
Rent YoY
▲ 3.71%
Metro
Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $359,900 BCAR
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $359,000 BCAR
  • 2023-05-24 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 2022-01-25 Delisted BCAR
  • 2022-01-17 Listed $299,900 BCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…