3634 Walther Dr · Gulf Shores, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a great home in a prime location, look no further! This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom brick home has been very well maintained, and recently had a total yard refresh! Home features a great layout including both a breakfast nook, and a separate dining space. Located right down the street from shopping, grocery, and restaurants while both the beach and the wharf are also just a short drive away. This home is also located within the Gulf Shores city school district. Don't miss out on this opportunity for a great home with a fabulous location central to everything our area has to offer! Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Total yard refresh
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Whole/Full; Zoning: Single Family Residence
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $250 (includes grounds maintenance); No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached single-car garage with automatic door (garage approx. 21 x 19.6)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer with grinder pump; Electric service by Baldwin EMC; Gulf Shores Utilities
- Home design: One-story single family residence; Resale property
- Construction: Built with brick and vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered rear patio and porch; Patio; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator with ice maker
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level with walk-in closet; Bedroom 2 (approx. 10 x 12.1); Bedroom 3 (approx. 9.1 x 12.1)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with double vanity, soaking tub and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; En-suite primary bathroom; High ceilings; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Breakfast area on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $327k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.2% in Gulf Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#61 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Zoned schools: Gulf Shores Elementary School (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B-, #63 of 627 statewide, top 10%, 1,062 students, 44% FRL); Gulf Shores Middle School (math 34% / reading 62%, grade C-, #29 of 257 statewide, top 12%, 589 students, 48% FRL); Gulf Shores High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #22 of 305 statewide, top 8%, 799 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,269/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 522% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,486
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630 Pinehurst Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,774 (-0%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $217 | 79 |
| 618 Pinehurst Pt | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,741 (-2%) | 1mo | $424,500 | $244 | 78 |
| 3663 Stonegate Cir | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,973 (+11%) | 8mo | $358,000 | $181 | 71 |
| 614 Saint Andrews Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (-1%) | 13mo | $405,000 | $230 | 64 |
| 373 Cotton Bay Ct | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (-11%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $214 | 60 |
| 3660 Ancient Oaks Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,974 (+11%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $187 | 57 |
| 3606 Ancient Oaks Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 2,028 (+14%) | 3mo | $360,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 3640 Ancient Oaks Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,967 (+11%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $173 | 54 |
| 619 Saint Andrews Dr | 0.48mi | 3/3.0 | 1,987 (+12%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $206 | 52 |
| 3624 Ancient Oaks Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,982 (+12%) | 12mo | $351,000 | $177 | 52 |
| 3638 Ancient Oaks Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,965 (+10%) | 11mo | $319,000 | $162 | 51 |
| 3604 Ancient Oak Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 2,043 (+15%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $159 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-32,699
- Equity at exit
- $53,662
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $10,952
- Equity at exit
- $31,118
Cash invested: $100,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36542
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 1215
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,269 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,887
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$687
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $571 | -5% $469 | +0% $367 | +5% $265 | +10% $163 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $238 | +0% $367 | +5% $496 | +10% $625 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $459 | base $367 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,975
- Closing costs
- $10,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 609 Saint Andrews Dr Gulf Shores, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2064 | $5,500 | $2.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5652 Dee St Unit A Gulf Shores, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2240 | $1,500 | $0.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4500 Gulf Shores Pkwy Gulf Shores, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1032 | $1,983 | $1.92 | 15d | 10 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $359,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $359,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $359,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $359,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 647-char remark
-
2026-06-09$359,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,160
- − Property taxes
- −$1,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,138
- − Management
- −$3,138
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$10,470
- Taxable loss
- −$1,614
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Gulf Shores
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #8945
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulf Shores, AL
- County
- Baldwin County · 181,514 people
- City population
- 18,906
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,906
- Household income
- $79,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.95%
- Current HPI
- 257.6494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.71%
- Metro
- Daphne-Fairhope-Foley, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+20.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $359,900 BCAR
- 2026-06-08 Listed $359,000 BCAR
- 2023-05-24 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2022-01-25 Delisted — BCAR
- 2022-01-17 Listed $299,900 BCAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…