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484 Yellow Skin Rd
B Composite 74.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

484 Yellow Skin Rd · Autryville, NC 28318
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,246 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1978 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CASH BUYERS, INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, CONTRACTORS, FIX AND FLIPPERS OR BUYERS READY TO DO SWEAT EQUITY COME GRAB THIS FIXER UPPER BEFORE IT'S GONE!!! This 3 Bd 2 ba ranch home is screaming to be repaired and updated. Featuring 1253 sq ft built in 1978 with both a living room and separate family room, master with walk in closet and en suite, eat in kitchen, carport, detached garage, shed , all on a corner 1 acre lot with NO HOA. Country living with easy access to get to shopping. Apx 35 min to Ft Bragg. Plus the cheapest taxes ever! Hurry up and come see this home bringing your imagination and see the potential it has.

Key facts

  • Country living
  • En suite
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETEN SUITEEAT IN KITCHENCORNER LOTNO HOACOUNTRY LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size: 1.0 acre; Road frontage: county road (asphalt), publicly maintained
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway with open parking (3 spaces); Total parking for 4 vehicles
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Septic connected
  • Home design: Single-story house; Property condition: fixer
  • Construction: Brick, vinyl siding, and wood siding exterior; Metal roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Built as a house (one level)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Garage(s); Storage; No fencing indicated

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen/dining room combination; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#592 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sampson County Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #114 of 178 in NC (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Roseboro-Salemburg Middle (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #360 of 475 statewide, top 77%, 406 students, 99% FRL); Lakewood High (math 72% / reading 42%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 479 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Sampson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
  • Sampson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
19.27%
Cash-on-cash
46.34%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.6%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$57,592
Equity at exit
$30,430
10-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
7.51×
Total profit
$136,636
Equity at exit
$44,481

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28318

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,642 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $737/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$811

Break-even live

Break-even rent $615
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $853 -5% $832 +0% $811 +5% $790 +10% $768
Rent -10% $681 -5% $746 +0% $811 +5% $876 +10% $941
Rate -1.0pp $849 -0.5pp $830 base $811 +0.5pp $791 +1.0pp $772

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 132 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 131 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 130 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 129 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 128 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 127 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    price $75,000 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    CASH BUYERS, INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, CONTRACTORS, FIX AND FLIPPERS OR BUYERS READY TO DO SWEAT EQUITY COME GRAB THIS FIXER UPPER BEFORE IT'S GONE!!! This 3 Bd 2 ba ranch home is screaming to be repaired and updated. Featuring 1253 sq ft built in 1978 with both a living room and separate family room, master with walk in closet and en suite, eat in kitchen, carport, detached garage, shed , all on a corner 1 acre lot with NO HOA. Country living with easy access to get to shopping. Apx 35 min to Ft Bragg. Plus the cheapest taxes ever! Hurry up and come see this home bringing your imagination and see the potential it has.

  18. 2026-04-29
    price $75,000
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    CASH BUYERS, INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, CONTRACTORS, FIX AND FLIPPERS OR BUYERS READY TO DO SWEAT EQUITY COME GRAB THIS FIXER UPPER BEFORE IT'S GONE!!! This 3 Bd 2 ba ranch home is screaming to be repaired and updated. Featuring 1253 sq ft built in 1978 with both a living room and separate family room, master with walk in closet and en suite, eat in kitchen, carport, detached garage, shed , all on a corner 1 acre lot with NO HOA. Country living with easy access to get to shopping. Apx 35 min to Ft Bragg. Plus the cheapest taxes ever! Hurry up and come see this home bringing your imagination and see the potential it has.

  19. 2026-03-19
    listed $80,000 Active 621-char remark
    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    CASH BUYERS, INVESTORS, FLIPPERS, CONTRACTORS, FIX AND FLIPPERS OR BUYERS READY TO DO SWEAT EQUITY COME GRAB THIS FIXER UPPER BEFORE IT'S GONE!!! This 3 Bd 2 ba ranch home is screaming to be repaired and updated. Featuring 1253 sq ft built in 1978 with both a living room and separate family room, master with walk in closet and en suite, eat in kitchen, carport, detached garage, shed , all on a corner 1 acre lot with NO HOA. Country living with easy access to get to shopping. Apx 35 min to Ft Bragg. Plus the cheapest taxes ever! Hurry up and come see this home bringing your imagination and see the potential it has.

  20. 2026-03-07
    status Active
  21. 2026-02-27
    status Pending
  22. 2026-02-17
    price $80,000
  23. 2026-01-21
    status Active
  24. 2026-01-20
    historical
  25. 2026-01-14
    listed $90,000 Active
  26. 2022-07-21
    soldstatus $67,000
  27. 2017-02-24
    soldstatus $19,000 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    -Alot of potential! Cute ranch style home situated on approximately 1 acre of land. Featuring a detached storage building. -Autryville A must see property with approximately 1 acre of land, storage building and more.

  28. 2016-08-23
    listed $29,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    -Alot of potential! Cute ranch style home situated on approximately 1 acre of land. Featuring a detached storage building. -Autryville A must see property with approximately 1 acre of land, storage building and more.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$737 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$737 · $61/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,699
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$737
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,576
− Management
−$1,576
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$9,053
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,173
After-tax cash flow
$7,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sampson County Schools
NCES district ID
3704140
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,391
Composite
33.71/100
National rank
#5379
State rank
#114 of 178 in NC

Livability — Autryville

Score
57/100
State rank
#592
US rank
#21630

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,303

Population outlook (Sampson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,499 people
By 2030
62,970 · -0.8%
By 2040
61,609 · -3.0%
By 2050
60,462 · -4.8%
By 2075
60,108 · -5.3%
By 2100
62,120 · -2.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sampson

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.8% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+16.7 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.21%
Current HPI
263.6889
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $75,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $75,000 TMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-07 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $80,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $90,000 TMLS
  • 2022-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2017-02-24 Sold (MLS) $19,000 LPRMLS
  • 2016-08-23 Listed $29,900 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $737 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…