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207 S Main St
B+ Composite 75.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

207 S Main St · Derry, PA 17099
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,624 sqft · Other public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Classic craftsmanship, generous living space, and room to build equity come together at this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in the heart of Yeagertown. Conveniently located just minutes from Lewistown, approximately 30 minutes from State College and Penn State, and about an hour from Harrisburg, this property offers an affordable opportunity for buyers seeking character, space, and long-term potential. Inside, you’ll find many of the features that make older homes so desirable, including beautifully preserved natural woodwork, original pine trim, classic banisters, solid wood doors, and built-in cabinetry that showcase the quality of a bygone era. The main level offers spacious living and g

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (1 space); One total garage/parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable internet available
  • Home design: Detached property; Finished above-grade living area reported; Below-grade finished and unfinished area present
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built year reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Ceiling fans; Window air-conditioning units; 60+ gallon hot water tank
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Family room adjacent to the kitchen; 9'+ ceilings; Plaster walls; One fireplace with mantel

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.5% in Derry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#952 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.68%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.3%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$63,854
Equity at exit
$71,565
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
5.17×
Total profit
$163,362
Equity at exit
$117,559

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17099

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,141/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,228
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $689 -5% $649 +0% $610 +5% $570 +10% $530
Rent -10% $452 -5% $531 +0% $610 +5% $689 +10% $768
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $645 base $610 +0.5pp $573 +1.0pp $537

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 4th Ave Burnham, PA 3.0 2.0 1960 $2,000 $1.02 44d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 693-char remark
  14. 2026-06-03
    listed $139,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,141 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,176 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$35/yr (+$3/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,141
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$5,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,299
After-tax cash flow
$6,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mifflin County SD
NCES district ID
4215290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,718
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5755
State rank
#380 of 539 in PA

Livability — Derry

Score
67/100
State rank
#952
US rank
#10435

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yeagertown, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,122

Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,611 people
By 2030
43,212 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,197 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,813 · -17.5%
By 2075
28,833 · -35.4%
By 2100
20,296 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.08%
Current HPI
240.0488
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $139,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,141 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…