15804 Terrace Dr Unit 1W · Oak Forest, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
COZY AND CONVENIENT! 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH CONDO CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ON THE 1ST FLOOR IN OAK TERRACE~HARDWOOD FLOORS THROUGHOUT~CARPETED BEDROOM~GALLEY KITCHEN WITH UPDATED WHITE CABINETS (2016)~SEPARATE DINING SPACE~SLIDING GLASS PATIO DOOR W/ FOOT LOCK REPLACED IN 2018~COIN LAUNDRY IN BUILDING~STORAGE UNIT IN ATTIC~ACCESS TO POOL AND CLUBHOUSE~LOCATED NEAR SHOPPING & SCHOOLS
Key facts
- Coin laundry
- Galley kitchen
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Part of a 6-unit building; Living area is an estimate; Subdivision: Oak Terrace
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $204; Association covers water, insurance, clubhouse, pool, exterior maintenance, lawn care, trash (scavenger), and snow removal; Community amenities include coin laundry, pool, and clubhouse; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with limits (max pet weight ~20 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single-unit condo; Entry level 1
- Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Common lot/grounds; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level); Additional rooms listed as Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4
- Flooring: Hardwood floors in living areas, dining room, and kitchen; Carpet in the master bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Wall air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Four total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($398/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.5% in Oak Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#28 in IL, #501 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Scarlet Oak Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 225 students, 0% FRL); Arbor Park Middle School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #501 of 665 statewide, top 77%, 486 students, 0% FRL); Oak Forest High School (math 26% / reading 26%, grade F, #244 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 1,370 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-17,188
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-11,656
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60452
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $75 | +0% $33 | +5% $-8 | +10% $-50 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-73 | -5% $-20 | +0% $33 | +5% $86 | +10% $140 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $94 | -0.5pp $64 | base $33 | +0.5pp $2 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14700 Central Ave Oak Forest, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,125 | $1.45 | 26d | 6 | 1.42mi |
| 15701 Lamon Ave Unit 15701-05 Oak Forest, IL | — | 1.0 | 500 | $1,345 | $2.69 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 378-char remark
-
2026-06-15$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$1,453
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$349
- After-tax cash flow
- $747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1-bedroom, 1-bath condo is in good condition with updated kitchen cabinets and well-maintained landscaping. It has potential for further value increases with minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace sliding glass door — New sliding glass door can improve functionality and curb appeal
- Both Replace HVAC units — Upgrading HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace sliding glass door — New sliding glass door can improve functionality and curb appeal ↑
- Both Replace HVAC units — Upgrading HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Oak Forest
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 26,739
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,739
- Household income
- $93,076
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 299.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Black 8% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.62%
- Current HPI
- 205.0118
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…