1965 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 118-D1 · Palm City, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained residence in the desirable Pine Ridge at Martin Downs community. This light and bright unit offers a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle with a functional layout ideal for full-time living or a seasonal retreat. Enjoy a spacious living and dining area that opens to a screened patio, perfect for relaxing or enjoying Florida breezes. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and counter space, while the bedrooms are generously sized with plenty of storage. Pine Ridge is a gated, pet-friendly community featuring a resort-style pool, clubhouse, tennis courts, and beautifully landscaped grounds, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, golf, and easy access to I-95 and the Turnpike. A great opportunity to enjoy Martin Downs living at an affordable price.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Pine ridge community
- Clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (14.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $171k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in Palm City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#140 in FL, #2,113 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 446 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $200k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.32%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $213,769
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -6.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-51,163
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -55.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.50×
- Total profit
- $-83,924
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34990
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 446
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,140 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$511
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-202
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116- B1 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2703 SW Matheson Ave Unit 116-G2 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1605 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F2 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2868 SW Shinnecock Hills Ct Palm City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1451 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1544 SW Silver Pine Way Unit F-104 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,500 | $2.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1485 SW Silver Pine Way Unit 107 B-2 Palm City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,650 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3375 SW Mapp Rd Unit 204 Palm City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $2,300 | $2.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3662 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3405 SW Feroe Ave Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,800 | $2.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1634 SW Crossing Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $2,200 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2819 SW Cornell Ave Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $2,150 | $2.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3579 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3599 SW Sunset Trace Cir Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $2,200 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3505 SW Quail Meadow Trl Unit A Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $2,500 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 664 SW 35th St Apt 3 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,775 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 664 SW 35th St Unit 6 Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1868 SW Palm City Rd Apt 202 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $2,900 | $2.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 544 SW 35th St Palm City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1950 SW Palm City Rd Unit 4-4205 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 938 | $2,400 | $2.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1950 SW Palm City Rd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $3,150 | $3.05 | 23d | 3 | 1.40mi |
| 3641 SW Coquina Cove Way Palm City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 987 | $2,312 | $2.34 | 14d | 11 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $511 · $6,132/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-02status $199,900 Pending 154 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 153 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 152 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Active Under Contract 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained residence in the desirable Pine Ridge at Martin Downs community. This light and bright unit offers a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle with a functional layout ideal for full-time living or a seasonal retreat. Enjoy a spacious living and dining area that opens to a screened patio, perfect for relaxing or enjoying Florida breezes. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and counter space, while the bedrooms are generously sized with plenty of storage. Pine Ridge is a gated, pet-friendly community featuring a resort-style pool, clubhouse, tennis courts, and beautifully landscaped grounds, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, golf, and easy access to I-95 and the Turnpike. A great opportunity to enjoy Martin Downs living at an affordable price.
-
2026-03-31price $199,900 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained residence in the desirable Pine Ridge at Martin Downs community. This light and bright unit offers a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle with a functional layout ideal for full-time living or a seasonal retreat. Enjoy a spacious living and dining area that opens to a screened patio, perfect for relaxing or enjoying Florida breezes. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and counter space, while the bedrooms are generously sized with plenty of storage. Pine Ridge is a gated, pet-friendly community featuring a resort-style pool, clubhouse, tennis courts, and beautifully landscaped grounds, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, golf, and easy access to I-95 and the Turnpike. A great opportunity to enjoy Martin Downs living at an affordable price.
-
2025-12-29$215,000 Active 796-char remark
Show marketing remark (796 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained residence in the desirable Pine Ridge at Martin Downs community. This light and bright unit offers a comfortable, low-maintenance lifestyle with a functional layout ideal for full-time living or a seasonal retreat. Enjoy a spacious living and dining area that opens to a screened patio, perfect for relaxing or enjoying Florida breezes. The kitchen provides ample cabinetry and counter space, while the bedrooms are generously sized with plenty of storage. Pine Ridge is a gated, pet-friendly community featuring a resort-style pool, clubhouse, tennis courts, and beautifully landscaped grounds, all conveniently located near shopping, dining, golf, and easy access to I-95 and the Turnpike. A great opportunity to enjoy Martin Downs living at an affordable price.
-
2016-01-11price $61,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
FIRST FLOOR, CORNER CONDO WITH WASHER AND DRYER (UTILITY ROOM) IN LAST PHASE OF PINE RIDGE. GATED COMMUNITY. TILED EAT-IN KITCHEN. GREAT POOL AREA. CLUBHOUSE, TENNIS. ELEC STORM SHUTTERS ON SCREEN PATIO. GOOD BUY! NO TRUCKS ALLOWED. VACANT. EASY SHOW. AS IS W/ RIGHT TO INSPECT.
-
2016-01-11price $85,000
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
FIRST FLOOR, CORNER CONDO WITH WASHER AND DRYER (UTILITY ROOM) IN LAST PHASE OF PINE RIDGE. GATED COMMUNITY. TILED EAT-IN KITCHEN. GREAT POOL AREA. CLUBHOUSE, TENNIS. ELEC STORM SHUTTERS ON SCREEN PATIO. GOOD BUY! NO TRUCKS ALLOWED. VACANT. EASY SHOW. AS IS W/ RIGHT TO INSPECT.
-
2014-06-16soldstatus $85,000
-
2014-06-16price $88,315
-
2014-03-11$88,315
-
2011-11-10price $64,900 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
FIRST FLOOR, CORNER CONDO WITH WASHER AND DRYER (UTILITY ROOM) IN LAST PHASE OF PINE RIDGE. GATED COMMUNITY. TILED EAT-IN KITCHEN. GREAT POOL AREA. CLUBHOUSE, TENNIS. ELEC STORM SHUTTERS ON SCREEN PATIO. GOOD BUY! NO TRUCKS ALLOWED. VACANT. EASY SHOW. AS IS W/ RIGHT TO INSPECT.
-
2011-11-10soldstatus $61,000 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
FIRST FLOOR, CORNER CONDO WITH WASHER AND DRYER (UTILITY ROOM) IN LAST PHASE OF PINE RIDGE. GATED COMMUNITY. TILED EAT-IN KITCHEN. GREAT POOL AREA. CLUBHOUSE, TENNIS. ELEC STORM SHUTTERS ON SCREEN PATIO. GOOD BUY! NO TRUCKS ALLOWED. VACANT. EASY SHOW. AS IS W/ RIGHT TO INSPECT.
-
2011-07-19$64,900 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
FIRST FLOOR, CORNER CONDO WITH WASHER AND DRYER (UTILITY ROOM) IN LAST PHASE OF PINE RIDGE. GATED COMMUNITY. TILED EAT-IN KITCHEN. GREAT POOL AREA. CLUBHOUSE, TENNIS. ELEC STORM SHUTTERS ON SCREEN PATIO. GOOD BUY! NO TRUCKS ALLOWED. VACANT. EASY SHOW. AS IS W/ RIGHT TO INSPECT.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,683
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,055
- − Management
- −$2,055
- − HOA
- −$6,132
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$5,569
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This moderate-rehab property requires exterior and interior updates to improve its condition and value. Fresh paint and new siding would significantly enhance its curb appeal and structural integrity.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and stained
- Moderate Interior walls — Paint chipped and worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace exterior siding — New siding improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and structural integrity
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Weathered and stained | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Interior walls · Paint chipped and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $6,000–30,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace exterior siding — New siding improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm City
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #2113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm City, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 30,592
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,592
- Household income
- $129,560
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 249.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.81%
- Current HPI
- 328.9662
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+208.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — MCRTC
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $199,900 MCRTC
- 2025-12-29 Listed $215,000 MCRTC
- 2016-01-11 Price Changed $85,000 MCRTC
- 2016-01-11 Price Changed $61,000 MCRTC
- 2014-06-16 Price Changed $88,315 MCRTC
- 2014-06-16 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MCRTC
- 2014-03-11 Listed $88,315 MCRTC
- 2011-11-10 Sold (MLS) $61,000 MCRTC
- 2011-11-10 Price Changed $64,900 MCRTC
- 2011-07-19 Listed $64,900 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…