859 North Ave · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step back in time and imagine the possibilities in this charming antique home! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and filled with timeless character, this property is the perfect opportunity to restore, renovate, or create your dream home. One of the standout features is the huge enclosed front porch—an ideal space for relaxing with a morning coffee, entertaining guests, or enjoying the charm of this historic home year-round. Inside, you’ll find three fireplaces, two spacious living areas (or use one as a formal dining room), and an upstairs flex space that could easily serve as an additional bedroom, office, playroom, or hobby space. Conveniently located just 6 minutes from Riverside Drive and 9 minutes from Vineville Avenue, this home offers both historic charm and incredible potential. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next flip or a buyer with a vision, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special.
Key facts
- Three fireplaces
- Upstairs flex space
- Historic charm
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residential house; Built in 1918; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Originally built in 1918
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Wood siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (other type); Has cooling (other type)
- Interior features: One-and-a-half story layout; Public records list living area as 1,980; Bonus room; No basement; Three fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $863 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $125k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.66%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,164
- List price
- $124,800
- Delta
- -28.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 North Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,823 (-8%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $44 | 68 |
| 865 Nottingham Dr | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,121 (+7%) | 5mo | $208,400 | $98 | 65 |
| 1164 S Jackson Springs Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 2,042 (+3%) | 7mo | $328,000 | $161 | 65 |
| 902 Summit Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (-10%) | 22mo | $174,000 | $97 | 61 |
| 847 Nottingham Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,821 (-8%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $66 | 60 |
| 532 Woolfolk St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,932 (-2%) | 7mo | $52,500 | $27 | 59 |
| 952 North Ave | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (-15%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $92 | 47 |
| 545 Cowan St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,860 (-6%) | 20mo | $149,900 | $81 | 45 |
| 861 Nottingham Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 2,264 (+14%) | 16mo | $299,000 | $132 | 45 |
| 1192 S Jackson Springs Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (-12%) | 15mo | $355,000 | $204 | 45 |
| 976 Glenridge Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,205 (+11%) | 20mo | $216,000 | $98 | 34 |
| 982 Smith St | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-13%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $26 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,097
- Equity at exit
- $18,608
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $36,976
- Equity at exit
- $10,790
Cash invested: $34,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31211
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$654
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $469 | -5% $433 | +0% $398 | +5% $363 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $339 | +0% $398 | +5% $457 | +10% $516 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $430 | base $398 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $333 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,200
- Closing costs
- $3,744
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 870 Laurel Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2205 | $1,300 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1105 Boulevard Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1592 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1126 Boulevard Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1228 | $1,260 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 879 Nottingham Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2147 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 850 Parkview Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 490 Hall St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 147 Orange St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,695 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 892 Applewood St Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $850 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 854 Trinity Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $875 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 484 1st St #300 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,625 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 391 Madison St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,350 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 462 Cherry St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $3,000 | $3.03 | 14d | 25 | 1.32mi |
| 1933 Deerwood Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,650 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 370 Cherry St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 476 3rd St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,850 | $1.96 | 14d | 8 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,800 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,800 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,800 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,800 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,800 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,800 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,800 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,800 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,800 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,800 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,800 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,800 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,800 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,800 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,800 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$124,800 Active 968-char remark
Show marketing remark (968 chars)
Step back in time and imagine the possibilities in this charming antique home! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and filled with timeless character, this property is the perfect opportunity to restore, renovate, or create your dream home. One of the standout features is the huge enclosed front porch—an ideal space for relaxing with a morning coffee, entertaining guests, or enjoying the charm of this historic home year-round. Inside, you’ll find three fireplaces, two spacious living areas (or use one as a formal dining room), and an upstairs flex space that could easily serve as an additional bedroom, office, playroom, or hobby space. Conveniently located just 6 minutes from Riverside Drive and 9 minutes from Vineville Avenue, this home offers both historic charm and incredible potential. Whether you’re an investor looking for your next flip or a buyer with a vision, this property is ready to be transformed into something truly special.
-
2026-05-12$124,800 New 950-char remark
-
2026-01-16soldstatus $60,000
-
2003-02-13soldstatus $4,000
-
2001-07-30soldstatus $140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $975 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$173/yr (+$14/mo · 17.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,991
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$3,631
- Taxable income
- $2,908
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$698
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,868
- Household income
- $49,202
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1075.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.58%
- Current HPI
- 174.0861
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-10.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $124,800 CGMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $124,800 GAMLS
- 2026-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2003-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $4,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $975 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…