252 Port Republic Rd · Waynesboro, VA 22980

$125,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,359 sqft · Other public records · 16 Days on market

Built 1920 6,098 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

100 year family home, never been transferred. Home is livable but really needs updating. huge back yard that extends down to Shiloh av. for Extra parking, You also could build a detached garage, Nice Front country porch. Property sold "AS IS" we are coming to the end of fixing the deed. can live in and restore at the same time.

Key facts

• 6,098 sq ft lot
• Built 1920
• Listed 16 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $889 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
• Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 3.3% in Waynesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#155 in VA, #4,902 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, commute F.
• Waynesboro City Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #108 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 138 units permitted in Waynesboro city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waynesboro County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.72% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.47%
• DSCR: 2.36
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.36×
• Total profit: $47,736
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 40.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.75×
• Total profit: $166,299
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 22980

• Rents YoY: 8.9%
• Active inventory: 302
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,155 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$106 /mo · $1,278/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$453
• Net cashflow: $889

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,030

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $959	-5% $924	+0% $889	+5% $853	+10% $818
Rent	-10% $718	-5% $804	+0% $889	+5% $974	+10% $1,059
Rate	-1.0pp $952	-0.5pp $920	base $889	+0.5pp $856	+1.0pp $823

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
113 Oakshire Ct Waynesboro, VA	4.0	3.5	1851	$2,285	$1.23	44d	1	0.92mi
236 Willowshire Ct Waynesboro, VA	3.0	3.0	1851	$2,100	$1.13	44d	1	0.97mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2024-04-15
   status Pending
2. 2024-04-08
   status Active
3. 2023-07-07
   status Pending
4. 2023-07-07
   price $125,000
5. 2023-06-28
   listed $110,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,278 · $106/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,278 · $106/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,864
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$1,278
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,069
• − Management: −$2,069
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $9,185
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,204
• After-tax cash flow: $8,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Waynesboro City Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5103930
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -36.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $43,171
• Composite: 38.73/100
• National rank: #4131
• State rank: #108 of 131 in VA

Livability — Waynesboro

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #155
• US rank: #4902

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Waynesboro, VA
• County: Waynesboro City · 32,965 people
• City population: 32,965
• Metro: Staunton, VA
• Population (ZIP): 32,965
• Household income: $63,943
• Rent vs Own: 31.2% rent · 68.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 858.0

Population outlook (Waynesboro County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,329 people
• By 2030: 22,567 · +1.1%
• By 2040: 22,947 · +2.8%
• By 2050: 23,061 · +3.3%
• By 2075: 22,739 · +1.8%
• By 2100: 21,058 · -5.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Waynesboro

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.5% · R 52.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -5.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+5.1 2016: R+11.4 2012: R+10.9 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -216.72%
• Current HPI: 183.3216
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.88%
• Metro: Staunton, VA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

+13.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2024-04-15 Pending — CVRMLS
• 2024-04-08 Relisted — CVRMLS
• 2023-07-07 Pending — CVRMLS
• 2023-07-07 Price Changed $125,000 CVRMLS
• 2023-06-28 Listed $110,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,278 · +49.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.