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23 Cortlandt Manor Rd
D- Composite 35.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.0/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$695,000

23 Cortlandt Manor Rd · Katonah, NY 10536
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,758 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1967 2.04 ac lot Est $865k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion

Key facts

  • 2.04 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with storage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; NYSEG electric service; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; Finished walk-out basement; Unfinished attic
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: In-ground private pool; Covered patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Granite countertops
  • Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Granite counters; Built-in storage; Wet bar; Covered patio and porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $695k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (46.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $448k (35.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $371k (46.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#323 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Somers Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #95 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Primrose School (527 students, 10% FRL); Somers Middle School (math 43% / reading 69%, grade B-, #205 of 729 statewide, top 29%, 569 students, 9% FRL); Somers Senior High School (math 92% / reading 87%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 980 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($685k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Recommended offer $371,378 (46.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
2.95%
Cash-on-cash
-11.96%
DSCR
0.47
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$864,936
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Frances Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,828 (+4%) 1mo $900,000 $492 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-38.2%
Equity multiple
-0.21×
Total profit
$-235,627
Equity at exit
$103,627
10-year hold
IRR
-56.3%
Equity multiple
-0.86×
Total profit
$-362,225
Equity at exit
$60,091

Cash invested: $194,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10536

Home prices YoY
-26.6%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,484 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,645
Tax from tax record
$1,547 /mo · $18,569/yr
Insurance
$290
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$942
Net cashflow
$-1,939

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,939
Max offer price $371,378
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,546 -5% $-1,742 +0% $-1,939 +5% $-2,136 +10% $-2,332
Rent -10% $-2,293 -5% $-2,116 +0% $-1,939 +5% $-1,762 +10% $-1,585
Rate -1.0pp $-1,589 -0.5pp $-1,762 base $-1,939 +0.5pp $-2,119 +1.0pp $-2,302

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$173,750
Closing costs
$20,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2654 Route 35 Katonah, NY 4.0 2.0 1430 $3,500 $2.45 19d 1 0.59mi
21 Young Rd Katonah, NY 3.0 2.5 2182 $6,000 $2.75 3d 1 0.90mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $695,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $695,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $695,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $695,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $695,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $695,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $695,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $695,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $695,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $695,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $695,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $695,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $695,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-29
    listed $695,000 Active
  15. 2026-05-27
    historical $695,000
  16. 2014-01-27
    price $679,500 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion

  17. 2009-06-10
    soldstatus $707,500
  18. 2009-01-17
    historical
  19. 2008-12-04
    listed
  20. 2008-12-03
    historical
  21. 2008-09-24
    listed
  22. 2004-10-27
    soldstatus $701,000
  23. 2004-07-13
    soldstatus $701,000 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion

  24. 2004-04-09
    historical 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion

  25. 2004-03-17
    listed $701,000 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion

  26. 1981-04-08
    soldstatus $125,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$18,569 · $1,547/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,569 · $1,547/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,813
− Mortgage interest
−$38,931
− Property taxes
−$18,569
− Insurance
−$3,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,305
− Management
−$4,305
− Depreciation
−$20,218
Taxable loss
−$35,990
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,638
After-tax cash flow
$-14,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Somers Central School District
NCES district ID
3627180
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$111,661
Composite
64.82/100
National rank
#516
State rank
#95 of 590 in NY

Livability — Katonah

Score
73/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#5317

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,010

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,028,035 people
By 2030
1,051,636 · +2.3%
By 2040
1,098,520 · +6.9%
By 2050
1,136,044 · +10.5%
By 2075
1,196,925 · +16.4%
By 2100
1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

2024 margin
Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
2008→2024 swing
-1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.30%
Current HPI
240.9829
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+453.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $695,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $695,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-27 Price Changed $679,500 HGMLS
  • 2009-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $707,500 Public Records
  • 2009-01-17 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2008-12-04 Listed HGMLS
  • 2008-12-03 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2008-09-24 Listed HGMLS
  • 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $701,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-13 Sold (MLS) $701,000 HGMLS
  • 2004-04-09 Delisted HGMLS
  • 2004-03-17 Listed $701,000 HGMLS
  • 1981-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $18,569 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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