23 Cortlandt Manor Rd · Katonah, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Cash flow +4.0/30.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$695,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion
Key facts
- 2.04 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with storage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; NYSEG electric service; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; Finished walk-out basement; Unfinished attic
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: In-ground private pool; Covered patio; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Granite countertops
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Granite counters; Built-in storage; Wet bar; Covered patio and porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookup; Laundry located in basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $695k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-23k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $371k (46.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $448k (35.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $371k (46.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#323 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Somers Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #95 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Primrose School (527 students, 10% FRL); Somers Middle School (math 43% / reading 69%, grade B-, #205 of 729 statewide, top 29%, 569 students, 9% FRL); Somers Senior High School (math 92% / reading 87%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 980 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($685k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.96%
- DSCR
- 0.47
- GRM
- 12.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $864,936
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Frances Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,828 (+4%) | 1mo | $900,000 | $492 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.21×
- Total profit
- $-235,627
- Equity at exit
- $103,627
- IRR
- -56.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.86×
- Total profit
- $-362,225
- Equity at exit
- $60,091
Cash invested: $194,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10536
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,484 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,645
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,547 /mo · $18,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$290
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$942
- Net cashflow
- $-1,939
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,546 | -5% $-1,742 | +0% $-1,939 | +5% $-2,136 | +10% $-2,332 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,293 | -5% $-2,116 | +0% $-1,939 | +5% $-1,762 | +10% $-1,585 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,589 | -0.5pp $-1,762 | base $-1,939 | +0.5pp $-2,119 | +1.0pp $-2,302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $173,750
- Closing costs
- $20,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2654 Route 35 Katonah, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $3,500 | $2.45 | 19d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 21 Young Rd Katonah, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2182 | $6,000 | $2.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $695,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $695,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $695,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $695,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $695,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $695,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $695,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $695,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $695,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $695,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $695,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $695,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $695,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-29$695,000 Active
-
2026-05-27historical $695,000
-
2014-01-27price $679,500 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion
-
2009-06-10soldstatus $707,500
-
2009-01-17historical
-
2008-12-04
-
2008-12-03historical
-
2008-09-24
-
2004-10-27soldstatus $701,000
-
2004-07-13soldstatus $701,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion
-
2004-04-09historical 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion
-
2004-03-17$701,000 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Oversized 2 Car Garage W Space Above For Potential Rm, Lovely Level Land, Wonderful Family Home, Bright And Well Maintained. .Minutes To Katonah For Shopping And Commute. Taxes Reflect Star Exemtion
-
1981-04-08soldstatus $125,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $18,569 · $1,547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,569 · $1,547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$38,931
- − Property taxes
- −$18,569
- − Insurance
- −$3,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,305
- − Management
- −$4,305
- − Depreciation
- −$20,218
- Taxable loss
- −$35,990
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,638
- After-tax cash flow
- $-14,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somers Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627180
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,661
- Composite
- 64.82/100
- National rank
- #516
- State rank
- #95 of 590 in NY
Livability — Katonah
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #323
- US rank
- #5317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,010
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.30%
- Current HPI
- 240.9829
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+453.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $695,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $695,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-01-27 Price Changed $679,500 HGMLS
- 2009-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $707,500 Public Records
- 2009-01-17 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-12-04 Listed — HGMLS
- 2008-12-03 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2008-09-24 Listed — HGMLS
- 2004-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $701,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-13 Sold (MLS) $701,000 HGMLS
- 2004-04-09 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2004-03-17 Listed $701,000 HGMLS
- 1981-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $18,569 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…