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4260 Tree Line Dr #125
B Composite 71.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,999

4260 Tree Line Dr #125 · North Branch, MI 48461
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured · 612 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our North Branch community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! --------------------------------------------------------------------- The Barton Three Bedroom - Two Full Bath - Monthly Payment Starting at $1,382 a month! $3999 Down Payment + Live FREE for 1 Month Move into this stunning three-bedroom, two-bath home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. Modern Open floorplan Large Kitchen with island seating, pantry, and dining room area. Energy Star Frigidaire kitchen appliance package 42 Inch Kitchen Cabinets The kitchen features canned lighting throughout and the dining area Smooth Finish Drywall throughout 2×6 Wall Construction Master bathroom w/ walk-in closet Large Mudroom / Laundry room w/ utility sink Modern wood-look flooring 8' Flat ceilings throughout Energy efficient Central air-conditioning RWC 10 Limited Structural Warranty 8×10 Private Storage Shed on your site. Private two-car driveway * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthl

Key facts

  • Built 2024
  • Listed 612 days

Tags

MODERN OPEN FLOORPLANLARGE KITCHEN WITH ISLANDENERGY STAR FRIGIDAIRE KITCHEN42 INCH KITCHEN CABINETSSMOOTH FINISH DRYWALLLARGE MUDROOM / LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#393 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • North Branch Area Schools (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #163 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 152 units permitted in Lapeer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lapeer County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 612 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $82,719 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 612 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.52%
Cash-on-cash
22.25%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$15,870
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$53,929
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48461

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$117 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$488

Break-even live

Break-even rent $822
Max offer price $93,999
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6800 Lydia Blvd North Branch, MI 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,440 $0.99 1d 2 0.10mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,999 Active 612 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,999 Active 611 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $93,999 Active 610 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,999 Active 609 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,999 Active 607 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,999 Active 606 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,999 Active 603 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,999 Active 602 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $93,999 Active 601 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $93,999 Active 598 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,999 Active 597 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,999 Active 596 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,999 Active 595 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,999 Active 594 DOM
  15. 2024-10-15
    listed $93,999 Active 1515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1515 chars)

    Tour a home in our community on your own time, without an agent, using our self guided tours! Tours available 7 days a week from 6am-9pm, just book a time slot and see it for yourself. Go to our website, navigate to our North Branch community page and look for the UTour button on the side of the page! --------------------------------------------------------------------- The Barton Three Bedroom - Two Full Bath - Monthly Payment Starting at $1,382 a month! $3999 Down Payment + Live FREE for 1 Month Move into this stunning three-bedroom, two-bath home with all the finishing touches already in place. The entire house is adorned with beautifully finished drywall, giving it a polished and sleek appearance. Modern Open floorplan Large Kitchen with island seating, pantry, and dining room area. Energy Star Frigidaire kitchen appliance package 42 Inch Kitchen Cabinets The kitchen features canned lighting throughout and the dining area Smooth Finish Drywall throughout 2×6 Wall Construction Master bathroom w/ walk-in closet Large Mudroom / Laundry room w/ utility sink Modern wood-look flooring 8' Flat ceilings throughout Energy efficient Central air-conditioning RWC 10 Limited Structural Warranty 8×10 Private Storage Shed on your site. Private two-car driveway * Financing is offered through First Choice MH LLC, a licensed mortgage loan originator in the State of Michigan. Main office 600 W. 22nd Street Suite 101 Oak Brook, IL 60523. NMLS# 1241272. Equal Housing Lender. Estimated monthl

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,280
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,382
− Management
−$1,382
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$4,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,112
After-tax cash flow
$4,743/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases through cosmetic upgrades and smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property's visual appeal and can attract more buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and can increase property's market value.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Adding a small patio or deck — Can increase outdoor living space and add value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances property's visual appeal and can attract more buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and can increase property's market value.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Adding a small patio or deck — Can increase outdoor living space and add value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Branch Area Schools
NCES district ID
2625680
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,914
Composite
37.22/100
National rank
#4465
State rank
#163 of 540 in MI

Livability — North Branch

Score
67/100
State rank
#393
US rank
#10591

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Branch, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,256

Population outlook (Lapeer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,826 people
By 2030
89,535 · -0.3%
By 2040
86,695 · -3.5%
By 2050
80,566 · -10.3%
By 2075
65,783 · -26.8%
By 2100
46,584 · -48.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lapeer

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.8) · D 29.5% · R 69.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-36.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -39.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.8 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+11.5 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.79%
Current HPI
230.1752
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2024-10-15 Listed $93,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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