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3025 Quail Holw
D- Composite 39.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

3025 Quail Holw · The Meadows, FL 34235
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 786 sqft · Condo public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1994

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well maintained condo in quiet Quail Hollow within the Meadows. This bottom floor unit has 786 square foot of thoughtful living space, including a large porch that overlooks the lovely wooded golf course, a brand new ac 2025, and is being offered partially furnished if the buyer wishes. This property is a would be a perfect investment or Florida vacation home. Don & acirc; & euro; & trade; t miss out on this one!

Key facts

  • Partially furnished
  • Wooded golf course
  • Large porch

Tags

LARGE PORCHWOODED GOLF COURSEPARTIALLY FURNISHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (0.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#465 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $185k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,089 (0.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.51%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-29,655
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$6,961
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34235

Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,841 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,150/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$380
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$-152

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,033
Max offer price $158,132
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-47 -5% $-99 +0% $-152 +5% $-204 +10% $-256
Rent -10% $-297 -5% $-224 +0% $-152 +5% $-79 +10% $-6
Rate -1.0pp $-58 -0.5pp $-105 base $-152 +0.5pp $-199 +1.0pp $-248

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $184,900 Active
  2. 2012-07-05
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,150 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,150 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,091
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,150
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,767
− Management
−$1,767
− HOA
−$4,560
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable loss
−$4,814
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,155
After-tax cash flow
$-663/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — The Meadows

Score
69/100
State rank
#465
US rank
#8393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
The Meadows, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
15,114
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,146
Household income
$78,958
Rent vs Own
23.5% rent · 76.5% own
Severe rent burden
512.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 18% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -307.37%
Current HPI
253.3964
Rent YoY
▲ 9.68%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $184,900 FSBO.com
  • 2012-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,150 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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