6033 Spencer Dr · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Market 6033 Spencer Drive of the Windsor Landing Subdivision in Jonesboro, Arkansas within the Brookland School District. Situated on a . 20 +/- acre level, privacy fenced lot is a 2019 built traditional style home. The exterior is wrapped in brick and vinyl, topped with 2024 architectural shingles, and accented by shutters, gutters, landscaping, french drain, backyard patio, and 2 car garage with storage closet. The interior holds 1,666 sf of well laid out living space over a split and open concept floor plan. The living room offers a tray ceiling and access to the patio. The eat-in kitchen features tiled backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinet and countertop space. The Master wing includes an en-suite with walk-in closet, dual vanities, jetted tub, and walk-in shower. Three spare bedrooms, spare bathroom with shower/tub combo, and laundry room complete the layout. Priced to sell and move-in ready. Conveniently located near Arkansas State University, NEA Baptist Hospital, and favorite local amenities with easy access to Highway 49 N. Call today to make this house your home or next addition to your rental portfolio.
Key facts
- Privacy fenced lot
- Backyard patio
- Tiled backsplash
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Brookland School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #47 of 238 in AR (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $183k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.48%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $241,397
- List price
- $229,900
- Delta
- -4.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6033 Spencer Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,666 (0%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $138 | 100 |
| 4561 Plymouth | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,685 (+1%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $145 | 85 |
| 4563 Edinburgh St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,571 (-6%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $150 | 80 |
| 6032 Whitecliff Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (+9%) | 1mo | $253,800 | $140 | 77 |
| 6025 Whitecliff Dr | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 | 1,819 (+9%) | 2mo | $262,000 | $144 | 75 |
| 6054 Whitecliff Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,760 (+6%) | 4mo | $274,900 | $156 | 72 |
| 2319 Manchester Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,744 (+5%) | 11mo | $219,000 | $126 | 70 |
| 6048 Whitecliff Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (-5%) | 12mo | $263,100 | $165 | 68 |
| 2200 Sheffield | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,786 (+7%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 2316 Sheffield Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,531 (-8%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $124 | 61 |
| 2213 Sheffield Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,472 (-12%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $136 | 59 |
| 5909 Megan Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $188,000 | $131 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $124,494
- Equity at exit
- $197,453
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $357,631
- Equity at exit
- $415,939
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72405
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,911 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $908/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $198 | +0% $133 | +5% $68 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $57 | +0% $133 | +5% $208 | +10% $284 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $249 | -0.5pp $191 | base $133 | +0.5pp $73 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-10status Under Contract 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
Welcome to Market 6033 Spencer Drive of the Windsor Landing Subdivision in Jonesboro, Arkansas within the Brookland School District. Situated on a . 20 +/- acre level, privacy fenced lot is a 2019 built traditional style home. The exterior is wrapped in brick and vinyl, topped with 2024 architectural shingles, and accented by shutters, gutters, landscaping, french drain, backyard patio, and 2 car garage with storage closet. The interior holds 1,666 sf of well laid out living space over a split and open concept floor plan. The living room offers a tray ceiling and access to the patio. The eat-in kitchen features tiled backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinet and countertop space. The Master wing includes an en-suite with walk-in closet, dual vanities, jetted tub, and walk-in shower. Three spare bedrooms, spare bathroom with shower/tub combo, and laundry room complete the layout. Priced to sell and move-in ready. Conveniently located near Arkansas State University, NEA Baptist Hospital, and favorite local amenities with easy access to Highway 49 N. Call today to make this house your home or next addition to your rental portfolio.
-
2026-05-04price $229,900 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
Welcome to Market 6033 Spencer Drive of the Windsor Landing Subdivision in Jonesboro, Arkansas within the Brookland School District. Situated on a . 20 +/- acre level, privacy fenced lot is a 2019 built traditional style home. The exterior is wrapped in brick and vinyl, topped with 2024 architectural shingles, and accented by shutters, gutters, landscaping, french drain, backyard patio, and 2 car garage with storage closet. The interior holds 1,666 sf of well laid out living space over a split and open concept floor plan. The living room offers a tray ceiling and access to the patio. The eat-in kitchen features tiled backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinet and countertop space. The Master wing includes an en-suite with walk-in closet, dual vanities, jetted tub, and walk-in shower. Three spare bedrooms, spare bathroom with shower/tub combo, and laundry room complete the layout. Priced to sell and move-in ready. Conveniently located near Arkansas State University, NEA Baptist Hospital, and favorite local amenities with easy access to Highway 49 N. Call today to make this house your home or next addition to your rental portfolio.
-
2026-05-03price $229,900
-
2026-04-17$234,900 New Listing 1162-char remark
Show marketing remark (1162 chars)
Welcome to Market 6033 Spencer Drive of the Windsor Landing Subdivision in Jonesboro, Arkansas within the Brookland School District. Situated on a . 20 +/- acre level, privacy fenced lot is a 2019 built traditional style home. The exterior is wrapped in brick and vinyl, topped with 2024 architectural shingles, and accented by shutters, gutters, landscaping, french drain, backyard patio, and 2 car garage with storage closet. The interior holds 1,666 sf of well laid out living space over a split and open concept floor plan. The living room offers a tray ceiling and access to the patio. The eat-in kitchen features tiled backsplash, stainless steel appliances, and ample cabinet and countertop space. The Master wing includes an en-suite with walk-in closet, dual vanities, jetted tub, and walk-in shower. Three spare bedrooms, spare bathroom with shower/tub combo, and laundry room complete the layout. Priced to sell and move-in ready. Conveniently located near Arkansas State University, NEA Baptist Hospital, and favorite local amenities with easy access to Highway 49 N. Call today to make this house your home or next addition to your rental portfolio.
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2026-02-28historical
-
2026-02-27status Under Contract
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2026-02-17price $234,900
-
2026-02-16price $234,900
-
2025-11-27price $244,900
-
2025-11-26price $244,900
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2025-09-28$249,000 Active
-
2025-09-27$249,000 New Listing
-
2025-09-11historical
-
2025-07-08price $254,900
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2025-07-08price $254,900
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2025-05-18$259,900 Active
-
2025-05-18$259,900 New Listing
-
2025-02-24price $269,000
-
2025-01-17$274,900 Active
-
2020-05-22soldstatus $183,000
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2020-05-22soldstatus $183,000
-
2019-05-16$183,000
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2019-05-16$183,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,471 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$563/yr (+$47/mo · 62.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$908
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,835
- − Management
- −$1,835
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$2,357
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$566
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brookland School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,226
- Composite
- 36.4/100
- National rank
- #4678
- State rank
- #47 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,675
- Household income
- $92,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 443.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.42%
- Current HPI
- 277.37
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+25.6% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $229,900 CARMLS
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $229,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $234,900 CARMLS
- 2026-02-28 Delisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2026-02-27 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $234,900 CARMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $234,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-11-27 Price Changed $244,900 CARMLS
- 2025-11-26 Price Changed $244,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-09-28 Listed $249,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $249,000 CARMLS
- 2025-09-11 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $254,900 CARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $254,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-05-18 Listed $259,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-05-18 Listed $259,900 CARMLS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $269,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2025-01-17 Listed $274,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $183,000 CARMLS
- 2020-05-22 Sold (MLS) $183,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2019-05-16 Listed $183,000 CARMLS
- 2019-05-16 Listed $183,000 NEABOR MLS
Property tax history
+32.7%/yrLatest (2025): $908 · -9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…