Multi-family
892 4th St E · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Completely rebuilt from the studs up, this stunning St. Paul duplex offers the rare opportunity to own a like-new investment property or convert it into a spacious single-family home! Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath with modern finishes throughout. Enjoy all-new kitchens, bathrooms, flooring, appliances, windows, and doors with absolutely no carpet. Major mechanical and structural updates include new high-efficiency furnaces, water heaters, ductwork, insulation, sheetrock, electrical systems from the outside meter throughout the home, all new plumbing and water lines including the water service from the street, plus all new waste and vent stacks from the main clean-out through
Key facts
- New kitchens
- New doors
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total residential units; Unit A: 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 876 total area; Unit B: 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 729 total area
- Financial info: Other annual assessment: $572.02; Tax year 2026 annual tax: $4,587.98 (taxes with assessments $5,160)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential income property; Duplex up-and-down configuration; Not owner-occupied
- Construction: Above-grade finished area 1,604 square feet; Below-grade area 876 square feet; Total building area 2,480 square feet; Foundation is block
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.113 acres (40 x 124)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchens present in each unit
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 bedrooms; Up/down duplex with two 2-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Partial basement; Block foundation; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Natural gas fuel
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $340k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,608/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.31%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $38,572
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $204,820
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55106
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,608 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$409 /mo · $4,906/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$968
- Net cashflow
- $1,250
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $4,608 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,304 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,304 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,608 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 Sibley St Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1358 | $3,269 | $2.41 | 10d | 10 | 1.40mi |
| 180 E Kellogg Blvd St Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1436 | $4,595 | $3.20 | 1d | 22 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $365,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $365,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $365,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $365,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $365,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $365,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $365,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $365,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $365,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $365,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $365,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$365,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,906 · $409/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,906 · $409/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$4,906
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,424
- − Management
- −$4,424
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable income
- $10,005
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,401
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,708
- Household income
- $70,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2046.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 34% White 32% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 27% Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.48%
- Current HPI
- 288.7205
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.26%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $365,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,906 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…