840 E Orange St · Hoopeston, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME. ROOF, SIDING AND WINDOWS ARE NEWER. DETACHED GARAGE.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Vinyl siding
- Remodeled bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-262/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $61k (5.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $62k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $61k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,152 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hoopeston Area CUSD 11 (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #559 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Maple Elem School (311 students, 0% FRL); Hoopeston Area Middle School (math 5% / reading 11%, grade F, #608 of 665 statewide, top 92%, 249 students, 0% FRL); Hoopeston Area High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 338 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
- Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.44%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,200
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 625 E Elm St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+2%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $88 | 84 |
| 819 E Chestnut St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-6%) | 9mo | $37,000 | $49 | 80 |
| 818 S Market St | 0.49mi | 2/0.5 | 875 (+9%) | 6mo | $27,500 | $31 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $5,703
- Equity at exit
- $28,389
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $23,311
- Equity at exit
- $43,110
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60942
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $621 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,733/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$130
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $15 | -5% $-3 | +0% $-22 | +5% $-40 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-71 | -5% $-46 | +0% $-22 | +5% $3 | +10% $27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $11 | -0.5pp $-5 | base $-22 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-56 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 E Seminary Ave Unit 13 Hoopeston, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $675 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 504 E Honeywell Ave Unit 1 Hoopeston, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $699 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 824 E Wyman Ave Unit 5 Hoopeston, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $525 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 824 E Wyman Ave Hoopeston, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $550 | $0.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-01-29status Pending
-
2026-01-26$65,000 Active
-
2018-02-01soldstatus $50,000 73-char remark
Show marketing remark (73 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME. ROOF, SIDING AND WINDOWS ARE NEWER. DETACHED GARAGE.
-
2018-02-01soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (73 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME. ROOF, SIDING AND WINDOWS ARE NEWER. DETACHED GARAGE.
-
2018-01-19$50,000 73-char remark
Show marketing remark (73 chars)
NICE 2 BEDROOM HOME. ROOF, SIDING AND WINDOWS ARE NEWER. DETACHED GARAGE.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,733 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,733 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $7,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,733
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$596
- − Management
- −$596
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable loss
- −$1,330
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $58/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hoopeston Area CUSD 11
- NCES district ID
- 1719660
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,897
- Composite
- 10.39/100
- National rank
- #9786
- State rank
- #559 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hoopeston
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1152
- US rank
- #21789
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hoopeston, IL
- City population
- 5,635
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,635
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,775 people
- By 2030
- 69,235 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 62,360 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 55,539 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 40,606 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 26,985 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Current HPI
- 193.4089
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+30.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-29 Pending — CIBR
- 2026-01-26 Listed $65,000 CIBR
- 2018-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-01 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CIBR
- 2018-01-19 Listed $50,000 CIBR
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,733 · -19.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…