914 N Midland Blvd #18 · Nampa, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Why settle for an older home when you can enjoy the benefits of brand-new construction? Don't miss this rare opportunity to own a Brand-New home in a quiet, well-maintained * 55+ community * . Thoughtfully designed with modern finishes and everyday comfort in mind, this home is truly move-in ready from day one. The bright, open-concept floor plan is filled with natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The stylish kitchen features soft-close cabinetry, a full tile backsplash, generous counter space, and plenty of storage. Spacious bedrooms offer comfort and privacy, while the primary suite includes built-in storage and a beautifully appointed en-suite bath with dual vanities
Key facts
- Full tile backsplash
- Dual vanities
- Soft-close cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in an Over-55 (senior) community / mobile home park
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport (1 covered space, 1 carport space, total 1 parking space)
- Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected
- Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on rented lot; New construction (built 2025)
- Construction: Built in 2025; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Paved road access; Located in a mobile home park (Over-55 community)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Freestanding oven/range; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (approx. 14 x 12); Second bedroom on main level (approx. 13 x 10 or 13 x 13 noted); Third bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 10)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: Bath in master bedroom; Split bedroom layout; Pantry; Kitchen island
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level (approx. 9 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (26.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.2% in Nampa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#47 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Nampa School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #82 of 92 in ID (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Willow Creek Elementary (math 37% / reading 45%, grade F, #221 of 357 statewide, top 62%, 586 students, 56% FRL); Lone Star Middle School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #82 of 109 statewide, top 76%, 739 students, 45% FRL); Nampa Senior High School (math 14% / reading 48%, grade F, #124 of 169 statewide, top 73%, 1,482 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,620 units permitted in Canyon County in 2024 (196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Canyon County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.88%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,280
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1715 W Flamingo Ave #64 #64 | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (0%) | 8mo | $89,000 | $155 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-37,544
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,893
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83651
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,315 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $-205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-81 | -5% $-143 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-267 | +10% $-329 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-309 | -5% $-257 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-101 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-114 | -0.5pp $-159 | base $-205 | +0.5pp $-252 | +1.0pp $-299 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1011 W Willow Ave Nampa, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 4d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1275 Caldwell Blvd Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9848 W Sand Hill Dr Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $1,488 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2410 W Vanderbilt Ln Nampa, ID | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,955 | $1.90 | 4d | 30 | 1.31mi |
| 504 5th St S Nampa, ID | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,225 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $180,000
-
2025-12-03price $179,500
-
2025-10-14price $189,500
-
2025-09-04$194,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$5,664
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,102/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nampa School District
- NCES district ID
- 1602340
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,576
- Composite
- 27.18/100
- National rank
- #7022
- State rank
- #82 of 92 in ID
Livability — Nampa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #6250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nampa, ID
- County
- Canyon County · 235,358 people
- City population
- 142,249
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,121
- Household income
- $69,914
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 723.0
Population outlook (Canyon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 269,596 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 311,081 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 350,809 · +41.0%
- By 2075
- 441,884 · +77.6%
- By 2100
- 505,641 · +103.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Canyon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.4% · R 72.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -46.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.6 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.40%
- Current HPI
- 335.6717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.41%
- Metro
- Boise City, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
-7.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $180,000 IMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $179,500 IMLS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $189,500 IMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $194,500 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…