1943 Hunt Brothers Rd · Lake Wales, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom mobile home on almost 1 acre, surrounded by peaceful orange groves for added privacy and a true country feel. The home needs TLC, making it a perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking for a project. Property includes two storage sheds, offering plenty of space for tools, equipment, or hobby use. No HOA and plenty of room to spread out. With some work, this could become a great rental, winter retreat, or primary residence.
Key facts
- 40ft deep well
- 2 sheds
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property zoned RC; Property type: Manufactured Home; Single wide body type; Unfurnished
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt road access
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One story; South-facing
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built on 1.03-acre lot (approx. 100 x 439)
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Shed(s); Cleared, level and paved lot; Located in county
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window unit cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Florida room; Inside utility
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Laundry outside; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 500 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $125k implies a 375% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.60%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,266
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $28,759
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33898
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Active inventory
- 500
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,436 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 918 S Scenic Hwy Lake Wales, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,500 | $2.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 920 Columbia Ave Lake Wales, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 479-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,999 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,999 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$179,999 Active
-
1991-02-01soldstatus $26,300
-
1984-03-01soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,063 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,063 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,063
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$516
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Wales
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #535
- US rank
- #10036
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 91,336
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,527
- Household income
- $57,224
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 148.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.62%
- Current HPI
- 340.6056
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+718.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $179,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,300 Public Records
- 1984-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,063 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…