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227 Southmoor Cir
D+ Composite 47.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

227 Southmoor Cir · Oxford, AL 36203
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 140 Days on market
Built 1989 0.46 ac lot $190/sqft · 69% above area Est $216k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled in 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. Located just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! *Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet*

Key facts

  • Split foyer home
  • Completely remodeled
  • Minutes from i-20

Tags

SPLIT FOYER HOMECOMPLETELY REMODELEDMINUTES FROM I-20

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($250/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (24.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AL, #3,446 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 112 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,386 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.48%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$215,587
List price
$185,000
Delta
-14.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-32,340
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-40,834
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36203

Home prices YoY
-20.4%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $492/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,377
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 121 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 120 DOM
  18. 2026-04-02
    price $175,000 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled in 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. Located just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! *Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet*

  19. 2026-01-30
    listed $185,000 New 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled around 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home just needs a little bit of love and affection to bounce back to its glory. The downstairs carpets have been completely removed, BUT seller is offering $10,000 in seller paid repairs which means you can choose the color of your choice! This is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. This home is just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! * Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet

  20. 2026-01-30
    listed $185,000 Active 662-char remark
    Show marketing remark (662 chars)

    Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled around 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home just needs a little bit of love and affection to bounce back to its glory. The downstairs carpets have been completely removed, BUT seller is offering $10,000 in seller paid repairs which means you can choose the color of your choice! This is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. This home is just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! * Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet

  21. 2019-11-20
    soldstatus $139,900
  22. 2019-11-15
    soldstatus $139,900 Sold
  23. 2019-10-18
    historical Contingent
  24. 2019-08-27
    listed $139,900 Active
  25. 2019-08-20
    historical $139,900
  26. 2018-08-04
    price $41,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$492 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$759 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$267/yr (+$22/mo · 54.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,846
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$492
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,348
− Management
−$1,348
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,010
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$723
After-tax cash flow
$973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oxford City
NCES district ID
0102635
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$48,971
Composite
35.11/100
National rank
#5017
State rank
#22 of 129 in AL

Livability — Oxford

Score
76/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#3446

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oxford, AL
County
Calhoun County · 71,763 people
City population
18,919
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,919
Household income
$69,485
Rent vs Own
26.5% rent · 73.5% own
Severe rent burden
404.0

Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,905 people
By 2030
77,160 · -2.2%
By 2040
72,937 · -7.6%
By 2050
68,279 · -13.5%
By 2075
57,884 · -26.6%
By 2100
47,220 · -40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Talladega

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.24%
Current HPI
211.005
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+326.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $185,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-10-18 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-08-27 Listed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-08-20 Coming Soon $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-08-04 Price Changed $41,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $492 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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