227 Southmoor Cir · Oxford, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled in 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. Located just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! *Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet*
Key facts
- Split foyer home
- Completely remodeled
- Minutes from i-20
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($250/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (24.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.8% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#13 in AL, #3,446 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Oxford City (urban): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 129 in AL (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 112 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.48%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,587
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -14.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-32,340
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-40,834
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36203
- Home prices YoY
- -20.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $492/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $185,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-04-02price $175,000 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (416 chars)
Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled in 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. Located just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! *Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet*
-
2026-01-30$185,000 New 416-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled around 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home just needs a little bit of love and affection to bounce back to its glory. The downstairs carpets have been completely removed, BUT seller is offering $10,000 in seller paid repairs which means you can choose the color of your choice! This is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. This home is just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! * Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet
-
2026-01-30$185,000 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
Welcome HOME! This split foyer home located in Oxford offers space for everyone. This home was completely remodeled around 2019, including the roof and water heater. This home just needs a little bit of love and affection to bounce back to its glory. The downstairs carpets have been completely removed, BUT seller is offering $10,000 in seller paid repairs which means you can choose the color of your choice! This is your opportunity to take something and make it truly yours. This home is just minutes from I-20 and the Oxford exchange. Do not wait, schedule your private viewing appointment TODAY! * Some photos are AI enhanced to show rooms with new carpet
-
2019-11-20soldstatus $139,900
-
2019-11-15soldstatus $139,900 Sold
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2019-10-18historical Contingent
-
2019-08-27$139,900 Active
-
2019-08-20historical $139,900
-
2018-08-04price $41,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$267/yr (+$22/mo · 54.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,846
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$492
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,348
- − Management
- −$1,348
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$723
- After-tax cash flow
- $973/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oxford City
- NCES district ID
- 0102635
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,971
- Composite
- 35.11/100
- National rank
- #5017
- State rank
- #22 of 129 in AL
Livability — Oxford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #3446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oxford, AL
- County
- Calhoun County · 71,763 people
- City population
- 18,919
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,919
- Household income
- $69,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,905 people
- By 2030
- 77,160 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 72,937 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 68,279 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 57,884 · -26.6%
- By 2100
- 47,220 · -40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Talladega
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.24%
- Current HPI
- 211.005
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+326.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $185,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2019-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
- 2019-11-15 Sold (MLS) $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-10-18 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-08-27 Listed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-08-20 Coming Soon $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-08-04 Price Changed $41,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $492 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…