N3525 Trieloff Rd #11 · Lake Ripley, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-maintained manufactured home offering three bedrooms and two full bathrooms in a friendly community setting. This home has a great layout with a split bedroom design and a generous 1,152 square feet of living space. Step outside to enjoy a spacious lot, complete with a shed for extra storage and two parking spaces. This home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Appliances are included. Monthly lot lease is $740. Schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- Split bedroom design
- Extra storage
- Two parking spaces
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#336 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Atkinson School District (town): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #161 of 342 in WI (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.87%
- DSCR
- 2.82
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,497
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 11.85%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $31,147
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $81,874
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53538
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $715 | -5% $691 | +0% $667 | +5% $642 | +10% $618 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $552 | -5% $609 | +0% $667 | +5% $724 | +10% $781 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $702 | -0.5pp $684 | base $667 | +0.5pp $648 | +1.0pp $630 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-08price $69,900 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained manufactured home offering three bedrooms and two full bathrooms in a friendly community setting. This home has a great layout with a split bedroom design and a generous 1,152 square feet of living space. Step outside to enjoy a spacious lot, complete with a shed for extra storage and two parking spaces. This home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Appliances are included. Monthly lot lease is $740. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-03-04price $79,900 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained manufactured home offering three bedrooms and two full bathrooms in a friendly community setting. This home has a great layout with a split bedroom design and a generous 1,152 square feet of living space. Step outside to enjoy a spacious lot, complete with a shed for extra storage and two parking spaces. This home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Appliances are included. Monthly lot lease is $740. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-02-10price $82,500 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained manufactured home offering three bedrooms and two full bathrooms in a friendly community setting. This home has a great layout with a split bedroom design and a generous 1,152 square feet of living space. Step outside to enjoy a spacious lot, complete with a shed for extra storage and two parking spaces. This home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Appliances are included. Monthly lot lease is $740. Schedule your tour today!
-
2026-01-21$85,000 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained manufactured home offering three bedrooms and two full bathrooms in a friendly community setting. This home has a great layout with a split bedroom design and a generous 1,152 square feet of living space. Step outside to enjoy a spacious lot, complete with a shed for extra storage and two parking spaces. This home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Appliances are included. Monthly lot lease is $740. Schedule your tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $7,321
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,757
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This well-maintained manufactured home is in good condition and ready for its next chapter. Minor updates to the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Resale Replace gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and prevent water damage.
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms, enhancing both resale and rental value.
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and improve the home's overall appearance.
- Both Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and the home's curb appeal, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Resale Replace gutters — Clean gutters improve the home's appearance and prevent water damage. ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Upgraded appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the bathrooms, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more inviting and improve the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and the home's curb appeal, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Atkinson School District
- NCES district ID
- 5504740
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,072
- Composite
- 34.13/100
- National rank
- #5288
- State rank
- #161 of 342 in WI
Livability — Lake Ripley
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #8603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,604
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,617 people
- By 2030
- 86,818 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 85,552 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 81,765 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 68,937 · -20.4%
- By 2100
- 55,854 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.1% · R 57.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+16.2 2012: R+7.6 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.91%
- Current HPI
- 194.0276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-17.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $69,900 SCWMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $79,900 SCWMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $82,500 SCWMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $85,000 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…