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4116 Morrison Ct 🔨 Auction
B+ Composite 76.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$7,500

4116 Morrison Ct · Baltimore, MD 21226
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 832 sqft · Townhouse public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1920 871 sqft lot ↓ 58% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group Website Bidding Platform. Bidding begins 5/18/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/20/2026 @ 12:20 PM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Curtis Bay neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy nearby attractions and facilities such as the Curtis Bay Park. The property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the major artery, Pennington Ave, connecting to other regions in the city.

Key facts

  • Curtis bay area
  • 2 story townhouse
  • Curtis bay park

Tags

2 STORY TOWNHOUSECURTIS BAY AREACURTIS BAY PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $7,500 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $68,610 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($474 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (62%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 13.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $6,825 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.26%
Cash-on-cash
39.16%
DSCR
2.74
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,610
List price
$7,500
Delta
-89.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4221 Morrison Ct 0.06mi 2/1.5 832 (0%) 1mo $25,000 $30 94
4101 Morrison Ct 0.03mi 2/1.0 832 (0%) 6mo $32,500 $39 94
4206 Grace Ct 0.04mi 2/1.0 832 (0%) 6mo $60,500 $73 93
1607 Cereal St 0.43mi 2/1.0 840 (+1%) 6mo $70,000 $83 73
3832 Saint Margaret St 0.51mi 2/1.0 810 (-3%) 2mo $90,000 $111 70
1522 Plum St 0.08mi 2/1.0 728 (-12%) 10mo $65,000 $89 68
3750 Saint Margaret St 0.52mi 2/1.0 784 (-6%) 1mo $140,000 $179 65
3708 10th St 0.58mi 2/1.0 810 (-3%) 6mo $88,500 $109 64
3727 Saint Margaret St 0.51mi 2/1.0 784 (-6%) 6mo $65,000 $83 62
3816 10th St 0.57mi 2/1.0 864 (+4%) 9mo $126,800 $147 59
3825 10th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 810 (-3%) 10mo $110,000 $136 57
3608 Saint Victor St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+4%) 11mo $150,000 $174 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
4.49×
Total profit
$67,123
Equity at exit
$50,961
10-year hold
IRR
46.8%
Equity multiple
9.59×
Total profit
$165,102
Equity at exit
$100,067

Cash invested: $19,211 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21226

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,394 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$360
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,029/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $600
Max offer price $68,610
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,152
Closing costs
$2,058
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1628 Plum St Apt B (CB) Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 23d 1 0.05mi
1353 Cambria St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 2.0 986 $1,600 $1.62 17d 1 0.33mi
1305 E Patapsco Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 930 $1,650 $1.77 4d 1 0.40mi
1049 E Patapsco Ave Unit a Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 748 $1,257 $1.68 43d 1 0.52mi
3826 10th St Unit Entire House Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,400 $2.16 23d 1 0.57mi
837 E Jeffrey St Apt 1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 1116 $900 $0.81 17d 1 0.68mi
837 E Jeffrey St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 1116 $900 $0.81 43d 1 0.68mi
807 Stoll St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 658 $1,000 $1.52 43d 1 0.71mi
3840 8th St Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1088 $1,606 $1.48 4d 1 0.79mi
5215 Wasena Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,650 $1.60 43d 1 0.85mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,275 $1.15 43d 1 0.94mi
4206 Audrey Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 3.0 1104 $1,950 $1.77 23d 1 0.94mi
5227 Patrick Henry Dr Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 736 $1,326 $1.80 21d 1 0.94mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 20d 1 0.97mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 23d 1 0.97mi
507 Washburn Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $2,500 $2.44 4d 1 0.97mi
3528 6th St Brooklyn, MD 2.0 2.5 1060 $1,500 $1.42 17d 1 1.00mi
520 Baltic Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 43d 1 1.09mi
1 Ballman Ct Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 43d 1 1.11mi
4400 4th St Unit BASEMENT Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 925 $1,350 $1.46 43d 1 1.13mi
4207 3rd St Unit 3 Brooklyn, MD 2.0 1.0 850 $1,595 $1.88 4d 1 1.20mi
3513 Horton Ave Brooklyn, MD 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,600 $1.57 17d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,500 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,500 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,500 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,500 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,500 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,500 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,500 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,500 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $7,500 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $7,500 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $7,500 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $7,500 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $7,500 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    price $7,500 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group Website Bidding Platform. Bidding begins 5/18/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/20/2026 @ 12:20 PM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Curtis Bay neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy nearby attractions and facilities such as the Curtis Bay Park. The property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the major artery, Pennington Ave, connecting to other regions in the city.

  15. 2026-03-27
    price $15,000 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group Website Bidding Platform. Bidding begins 5/18/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/20/2026 @ 12:20 PM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Curtis Bay neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy nearby attractions and facilities such as the Curtis Bay Park. The property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the major artery, Pennington Ave, connecting to other regions in the city.

  16. 2026-03-18
    listed $20,000 Active 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group Website Bidding Platform. Bidding begins 5/18/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 5/20/2026 @ 12:20 PM. List Price is Suggested Opening Bid. Deposit: $5,000. This two-story townhouse is located in the Curtis Bay neighborhood of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy nearby attractions and facilities such as the Curtis Bay Park. The property is vacant. The area provides easy access to the major artery, Pennington Ave, connecting to other regions in the city.

  17. 2026-03-05
    historical
  18. 2025-10-15
    price $39,000
  19. 2025-09-04
    price $39,250
  20. 2025-07-17
    price $39,500
  21. 2025-02-07
    status Active
  22. 2025-01-14
    status Pending
  23. 2025-01-08
    price $40,000
  24. 2024-09-19
    price $42,500
  25. 2024-09-11
    price $45,000
  26. 2024-07-29
    price $47,500
  27. 2024-03-28
    price $50,000
  28. 2023-12-07
    price $60,000
  29. 2023-11-03
    listed $65,000 Active
  30. 2023-11-03
    historical
  31. 2022-03-16
    soldstatus $106,000
  32. 2021-08-30
    soldstatus $109,500
  33. 2020-01-03
    historical
  34. 2019-11-06
    price $24,900
  35. 2019-10-27
    listed $34,500 Active
  36. 2011-10-04
    soldstatus $102,000
  37. 2011-04-04
    historical Expired
  38. 2011-04-04
    historical
  39. 2010-10-05
    listed Active
  40. 2010-10-04
    listed $42,500
  41. 1987-12-08
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,726
− Mortgage interest
−$3,843
− Property taxes
−$1,029
− Insurance
−$343
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,338
− Management
−$1,338
− Depreciation
−$1,996
Taxable income
$6,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,641
After-tax cash flow
$5,883/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
City population
588,727
Population (ZIP)
6,593

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.75%
Current HPI
318.79
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-58.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $7,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $39,250 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $39,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-07 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-08 Price Changed $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-09-11 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-29 Price Changed $47,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-28 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-12-07 Price Changed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-03 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-11-03 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $109,500 Public Records
  • 2020-01-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-06 Price Changed $24,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-27 Listed $34,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2011-04-04 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-04-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-10-05 Listed MRIS
  • 2010-10-04 Listed $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1987-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,895 · +30.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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