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70017 Hirson Ct
C- Composite 53.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$268,500

70017 Hirson Ct · Madisonville, LA 70447
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,757 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 2015 6,568 sqft lot $153/sqft · 13% below area Est $308k · 13% under $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the desirable Villages of Bocage in Madisonville, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, ample pantry storage, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual meals or gathering with guests. The utility room and mudroom are located just off the garage, helping keep the home clean after outdoor activities. The spacious primary bedroom offers a private retreat with an en suite bath featuring a soaking tub, separate shower, and a large walk-in closet. A covered patio overlooks the fully fenced, backyard--perfect for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. The backyard gate opens to the community greenspace, great for pets or extra room to play! Additional benefits include eligibility for 100% financing or CAFA down-payment assistance loans, and flood insurance is not required. Conveniently located near dining and shopping, with a short drive to Covington, Hammond, and the Causeway, this home is a great option for commuting or Southeastern students.

Key facts

  • Ample pantry storage
  • Utility room
  • Covered patio

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESAMPLE PANTRY STORAGEBREAKFAST BARUTILITY ROOMMUDROOMCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.7% in Madisonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in LA, #2,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,280 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.46%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$307,621
List price
$268,500
Delta
-12.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69261 Taverny Ct 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,732 (-1%) 0mo $286,000 $165 94
70048 Hirson Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,689 (-4%) 0mo $267,000 $158 91
69484 Taverny Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,747 (-1%) 4mo $280,000 $160 90
69628 Taverny Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,715 (-2%) 4mo $272,000 $159 82
28507 Rosedust Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,683 (-4%) 2mo $238,000 $141 80
10136 Cesson Ct 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,615 (-8%) 3mo $271,000 $168 74
41958 Snowball Cir 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-8%) 3mo $229,000 $142 66
28307 Loiret Ct 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,689 (-4%) 6mo $255,000 $151 65
41911 Snowball Cir 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-8%) 4mo $230,000 $142 64
39 Hester St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,797 (+2%) 5mo $325,000 $181 63
41173 Snowball Cir 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,585 (-10%) 0mo $215,000 $136 60
28621 Venette Ct 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,939 (+10%) 3mo $310,000 $160 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-29,739
Equity at exit
$40,034
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-8,293
Equity at exit
$23,215

Cash invested: $75,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70447

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Active inventory
249
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,453 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,408
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,137/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$515
Net cashflow
$217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,178
Max offer price $268,500
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $369 -5% $293 +0% $217 +5% $141 +10% $65
Rent -10% $23 -5% $120 +0% $217 +5% $314 +10% $411
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $285 base $217 +0.5pp $147 +1.0pp $77

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,125
Closing costs
$8,055
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
69332 Taverny Ct Madisonville, LA 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,250 $1.12 45d 1 0.10mi
400 Walter Ln Madisonville, LA 3.0 2.5 2217 $2,400 $1.08 24d 1 1.15mi
116 Fayedaye Dr Madisonville, LA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,100 $1.45 22d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $268,500 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $268,500 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $268,500 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $268,500 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $268,500 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $268,500 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $268,500 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $268,500 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $268,500 Active 126 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $268,500 Active 125 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $268,500 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $268,500 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $268,500 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $268,500 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-02-09
    price $268,500 1159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1164 chars)

    Located in the desirable Villages of Bocage in Madisonville, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, ample pantry storage, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual meals or gathering with guests. The utility room and mudroom are located just off the garage, helping keep the home clean after outdoor activities. The spacious primary bedroom offers a private retreat with an en suite bath featuring a soaking tub, separate shower, and a large walk-in closet. A covered patio overlooks the fully fenced, backyard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. The backyard gate opens to the community greenspace, great for pets or extra room to play! Additional benefits include eligibility for 100% financing or CAFA down-payment assistance loans, and flood insurance is not required. Conveniently located near dining and shopping, with a short drive to Covington, Hammond, and the Causeway, this home is a great option for commuting or Southeastern students.

  16. 2026-02-09
    price $268,500 1164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1164 chars)

    Located in the desirable Villages of Bocage in Madisonville, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, ample pantry storage, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual meals or gathering with guests. The utility room and mudroom are located just off the garage, helping keep the home clean after outdoor activities. The spacious primary bedroom offers a private retreat with an en suite bath featuring a soaking tub, separate shower, and a large walk-in closet. A covered patio overlooks the fully fenced, backyard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. The backyard gate opens to the community greenspace, great for pets or extra room to play! Additional benefits include eligibility for 100% financing or CAFA down-payment assistance loans, and flood insurance is not required. Conveniently located near dining and shopping, with a short drive to Covington, Hammond, and the Causeway, this home is a great option for commuting or Southeastern students.

  17. 2026-02-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1164 chars)

    Located in the desirable Villages of Bocage in Madisonville, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, ample pantry storage, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual meals or gathering with guests. The utility room and mudroom are located just off the garage, helping keep the home clean after outdoor activities. The spacious primary bedroom offers a private retreat with an en suite bath featuring a soaking tub, separate shower, and a large walk-in closet. A covered patio overlooks the fully fenced, backyard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. The backyard gate opens to the community greenspace, great for pets or extra room to play! Additional benefits include eligibility for 100% financing or CAFA down-payment assistance loans, and flood insurance is not required. Conveniently located near dining and shopping, with a short drive to Covington, Hammond, and the Causeway, this home is a great option for commuting or Southeastern students.

  18. 2026-02-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1164 chars)

    Located in the desirable Villages of Bocage in Madisonville, this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is truly move-in ready. Step into a bright, open living space designed for comfortable everyday living and effortless entertaining. The kitchen features stainless steel appliances, ample pantry storage, and a breakfast bar ideal for casual meals or gathering with guests. The utility room and mudroom are located just off the garage, helping keep the home clean after outdoor activities. The spacious primary bedroom offers a private retreat with an en suite bath featuring a soaking tub, separate shower, and a large walk-in closet. A covered patio overlooks the fully fenced, backyard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment, entertaining, or quiet relaxation. The backyard gate opens to the community greenspace, great for pets or extra room to play! Additional benefits include eligibility for 100% financing or CAFA down-payment assistance loans, and flood insurance is not required. Conveniently located near dining and shopping, with a short drive to Covington, Hammond, and the Causeway, this home is a great option for commuting or Southeastern students.

  19. 2015-01-29
    soldstatus $189,900
  20. 2014-08-26
    listed $189,900
  21. 2014-08-26
    listed $189,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,137 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,137 · $178/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,436
− Mortgage interest
−$15,040
− Property taxes
−$2,137
− Insurance
−$1,342
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,355
− Management
−$2,355
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$7,811
Taxable loss
−$1,880
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$451
After-tax cash flow
$3,054/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Tammany Parish
NCES district ID
2201650
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -26.00%
Median HH income
$61,752
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3098
State rank
#11 of 98 in LA

Livability — Madisonville

Score
79/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#2302

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
City population
17,897
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
17,897
Household income
$122,574
Rent vs Own
4.0% rent · 96.0% own
Severe rent burden
47.0

Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,725 people
By 2030
304,175 · +6.1%
By 2040
336,203 · +17.3%
By 2050
364,590 · +27.2%
By 2075
433,362 · +51.1%
By 2100
470,333 · +64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 19% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.07%
Current HPI
174.0804
Rent YoY
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $268,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $268,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $275,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $275,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2015-01-29 Sold (MLS) $189,900 GSREIN
  • 2014-08-26 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2014-08-26 Listed $189,900 GSREIN

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,137 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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