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2112 N Washington Ave
C+ Composite 63.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

2112 N Washington Ave · Odessa, TX 79761
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1949 8,712 sqft lot $78/sqft · 165% above area ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath home on a corner lot close to schools in Odessa. Features original wood flooring, two large living areas, and oversized bedrooms. Newly remodeled primary bathroom. Abundant storage with multiple walk-in closets. Kitchen offers tons of cabinet space plus a wet bar. Large laundry room. Huge barn-style entertainment area perfect for gatherings, with separate his-and-her bathrooms behind the home.

Key facts

  • Oversized bedrooms
  • Abundant storage
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

ORIGINAL WOOD FLOORINGTWO LARGE LIVING AREASOVERSIZED BEDROOMSABUNDANT STORAGEMULTIPLE WALK-IN CLOSETSTONS OF CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.18%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,791
List price
$185,000
Delta
165.08%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
709 W 20th St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,084 (-12%) 24mo $44,900 $22 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.1%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-282
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$21,141
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79761

Home prices YoY
-31.4%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,223 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,683/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,503
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $674 -5% $621 +0% $569 +5% $517 +10% $464
Rent -10% $393 -5% $481 +0% $569 +5% $657 +10% $745
Rate -1.0pp $662 -0.5pp $616 base $569 +0.5pp $521 +1.0pp $472

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1506 N Alleghaney Ave Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 2400 $2,650 $1.10 22d 1 0.53mi
314 Santa Rita Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 2072 $1,875 $0.90 22d 1 0.78mi
237 Orchard Dr Odessa, TX 4.0 2.0 1768 $2,000 $1.13 14d 1 0.82mi
1800 W 23rd St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.5 1880 $2,650 $1.41 45d 1 1.15mi
1401 E 18th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1690 $2,000 $1.18 14d 1 1.34mi
406 San Jacinto St Odessa, TX 5.0 3.0 3308 $2,500 $0.76 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 442-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    pricestatusdays on market $185,000 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-05-15
    price $190,000 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath home on a corner lot close to schools in Odessa. Features original wood flooring, two large living areas, and oversized bedrooms. Newly remodeled primary bathroom. Abundant storage with multiple walk-in closets. Kitchen offers tons of cabinet space plus a wet bar. Large laundry room. Huge barn-style entertainment area perfect for gatherings, with separate his-and-her bathrooms behind the home.

  6. 2026-04-01
    price $250,000 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath home on a corner lot close to schools in Odessa. Features original wood flooring, two large living areas, and oversized bedrooms. Newly remodeled primary bathroom. Abundant storage with multiple walk-in closets. Kitchen offers tons of cabinet space plus a wet bar. Large laundry room. Huge barn-style entertainment area perfect for gatherings, with separate his-and-her bathrooms behind the home.

  7. 2026-03-02
    listed $290,000 Active 423-char remark
    Show marketing remark (423 chars)

    Spacious 4-bedroom, 3-bath home on a corner lot close to schools in Odessa. Features original wood flooring, two large living areas, and oversized bedrooms. Newly remodeled primary bathroom. Abundant storage with multiple walk-in closets. Kitchen offers tons of cabinet space plus a wet bar. Large laundry room. Huge barn-style entertainment area perfect for gatherings, with separate his-and-her bathrooms behind the home.

  8. 2025-08-23
    price $348,000
  9. 2003-02-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,683 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,386 · $282/mo
Expected delta
+$1,703/yr (+$142/mo · 101.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,679
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,683
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,134
− Management
−$2,134
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$4,058
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$974
After-tax cash flow
$5,853/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Odessa, TX
County
Ector County · 131,169 people
City population
131,169
Metro
Odessa, TX
Population (ZIP)
30,164
Household income
$68,228
Rent vs Own
41.7% rent · 58.3% own
Severe rent burden
1352.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% White 23% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 61%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.66%
Current HPI
254.9159
Rent YoY
▼ -0.66%
Metro
Odessa, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 ODMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $250,000 ODMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $290,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Price Changed $348,000 ODMLS
  • 2003-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,683 · -37.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…