Duplex
92 New York 37b · Massena, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Side-by-side duplex with each unit 2BD/1BA at discount due to work needed, 2 car garage. Assignment of contract.
Key facts
- 0.67 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1997
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $99k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $735 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $367/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 5.9% in Massena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#330 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, commute F.
- Massena Central School District (town): math 43% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #456 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J William Leary Junior High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #504 of 729 statewide, top 70%, 368 students, 61% FRL); Massena Senior High School (math 87% / reading 75%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 826 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.80%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,475
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -42.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Old Farm Cir | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,860 (+7%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $180 | 67 |
| 22 Churchill Ave | 1.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,589 (-8%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $160 | 51 |
| 9 Rosebrier Ave | 1.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,753 (+1%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $123 | 48 |
| 61 County Road 43 | 0.91mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (-2%) | 13mo | $159,650 | $94 | 46 |
| 17 Elgin Ave | 1.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,618 (-7%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $80 | 43 |
| 9 Elgin Ave | 1.08mi | 4/1.5 | 1,868 (+8%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $102 | 40 |
| 11 Churchill Ave | 1.07mi | 4/2.5 | 2,082 (+20%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $118 | 37 |
| 14 Nightengale Ave | 1.31mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,856 (+7%) | 13mo | $237,500 | $128 | 35 |
| 14 Ransom Ave | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,589 (-8%) | 20mo | $99,000 | $62 | 30 |
| 5 Sharon St | 0.97mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,136 (+23%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $84 | 27 |
| 43 Clarkson Ave | 1.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,325 (-24%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $113 | 21 |
| 6 Hospital Dr | 1.25mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-16%) | 14mo | $122,570 | $84 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $30,886
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $87,704
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13662
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,580/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $735
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,016 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,008 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,008 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,017 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $791 | -5% $763 | +0% $735 | +5% $707 | +10% $679 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $575 | -5% $655 | +0% $735 | +5% $814 | +10% $894 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $785 | -0.5pp $760 | base $735 | +0.5pp $709 | +1.0pp $683 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterSeptic tank
- Home design
- Duplex
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Lot of approximately 0.67 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms
- Each unit has 2 bedrooms (both units on 1st level)
- Bathrooms
- Each unit has 1 full bathroom (both on 1st level)
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heating
- Interior features
- Full basement
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-07-27days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $99,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $99,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $99,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $99,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $99,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-08pricedays on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $104,999 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $104,999 Active 17 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $104,999 Active 16 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $104,999 Active 15 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $104,999 Active 14 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $104,999 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $104,999 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $104,999 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $104,999 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $104,999 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-26pricedays on market $104,999 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $109,999 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $109,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-21remarks 112-char remark
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2026-06-21$109,999 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,580 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,580 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,204
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$3,580
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $7,830
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,879
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,937/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This side-by-side duplex requires moderate renovations to improve its exterior and interior condition, enhancing its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Repairs flagged
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
- Major Foundation — Signs of settling
- Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and peeling
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Modernizes spaces and improves functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massena Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618660
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,610
- Composite
- 38.75/100
- National rank
- #4123
- State rank
- #456 of 590 in NY
Livability — Massena
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #5449
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- St. Lawrence · 110,027 people
- City population
- 15,737
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,737
- Household income
- $56,987
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.77%
- Current HPI
- 243.4674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-07 Price Changed $99,000 Global MLS
- 2026-06-24 Price Changed $104,999 Global MLS
- 2026-06-18 Listed $109,999 Global MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,580 · -7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…