Duplex
3512 Gibson St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!
Key facts
- Gentilly duplex
- 3,781 sq ft lot
- Built 1970
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $600/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,776/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 277 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $149k implies a 684% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 277 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.43%
- DSCR
- 2.62
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,832
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -9.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $44,163
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $105,503
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70122
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 336
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,776 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $998/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $1,200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,284 | -5% $1,242 | +0% $1,200 | +5% $1,158 | +10% $1,116 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $981 | -5% $1,090 | +0% $1,200 | +5% $1,310 | +10% $1,419 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,275 | -0.5pp $1,238 | base $1,200 | +0.5pp $1,161 | +1.0pp $1,122 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,776 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,388 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,388 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,776 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3622 Buchanan St Unit 3622 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1656 Pleasure St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1664 Saint Denis St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1506 Treasure St Unit 1506 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3400 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1388 | $1,875 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1621 Caton St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $1,488 | $0.88 | 18d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3023 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2913 St Bernard Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4114 Duplessis St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2910 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3015 Castiglione St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2817 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4110 Saint Bernard Ave Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4110 St Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1821 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1823 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,450 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1816 Benefit St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4117 Roneagle Way Apt D New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $2,250 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2175 N Broad St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2130 N Broad St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1579 | $1,350 | $0.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2130 N Broad St Unit 1A New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2902 Aubry St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,350 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3420 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2826 Aubry St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 11d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1818 Paul Morphy St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2632 Oreilly St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2310 George Nick Connor Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1826 Moss St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,675 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2338 40 Annette St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,385 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3956 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 213 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1922 Industry St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 273 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,000 Active 260 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-03-08price $149,000 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!
-
2026-03-08price $149,000 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!
-
2025-09-09$159,000 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!
-
2025-09-09$159,000 Active 172-char remark
Show marketing remark (172 chars)
Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!
-
2020-07-10$139,900
-
2019-12-19price $139,900
-
2019-09-27price $144,900
-
2019-08-12$139,900
-
1997-10-31soldstatus $19,000
-
1996-09-12soldstatus $10,666
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$998
- − Insurance
- −$1,542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,665
- − Management
- −$2,665
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $12,760
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,062
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,337/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,253
- Household income
- $49,455
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2150.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.37%
- Current HPI
- 231.9921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+1297.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-09 Listed $159,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-09 Listed $159,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-07-10 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-12-19 Price Changed $139,900 GSREIN
- 2019-09-27 Price Changed $144,900 GSREIN
- 2019-08-12 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
- 1997-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1996-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,666 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.3%/yrLatest (2026): $998 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…