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3512 Gibson St Duplex
B Composite 72.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

3512 Gibson St · New Orleans, LA 70122
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 277 Days on market
Built 1970 3,781 sqft lot $115/sqft · 9% below area Est $164k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!

Key facts

  • Gentilly duplex
  • 3,781 sq ft lot
  • Built 1970

Tags

GENTILLY DUPLEX

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $600/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,776/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 277 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $149k implies a 684% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 277 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.49%
Cash-on-cash
36.43%
DSCR
2.62
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,832
List price
$149,000
Delta
-9.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$44,163
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$105,503
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70122

Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,776 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $998/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$1,200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,257
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,284 -5% $1,242 +0% $1,200 +5% $1,158 +10% $1,116
Rent -10% $981 -5% $1,090 +0% $1,200 +5% $1,310 +10% $1,419
Rate -1.0pp $1,275 -0.5pp $1,238 base $1,200 +0.5pp $1,161 +1.0pp $1,122

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,776

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3622 Buchanan St Unit 3622 New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 25d 1 0.29mi
1656 Pleasure St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1190 $1,350 $1.13 25d 1 0.29mi
1664 Saint Denis St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 25d 1 0.31mi
1506 Treasure St Unit 1506 New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.33mi
3400 Havana St New Orleans, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.38mi
3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1388 $1,875 $1.35 17d 1 0.38mi
1621 Caton St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 25d 1 0.40mi
3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1693 $1,488 $0.88 18d 1 0.40mi
3023 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,200 $2.29 16d 1 0.41mi
2913 St Bernard Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 25d 1 0.42mi
4114 Duplessis St New Orleans, LA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 25d 1 0.44mi
4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 1543 $2,300 $1.49 11d 1 0.44mi
2910 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,600 $1.49 4d 1 0.47mi
3015 Castiglione St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,500 $1.40 25d 1 0.47mi
2817 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,700 $1.67 21d 1 0.50mi
4110 Saint Bernard Ave Unit 1 New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,215 $1.22 25d 1 0.51mi
4110 St Bernard Ave New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,215 $1.22 22d 1 0.51mi
3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,350 $1.65 17d 1 0.52mi
1821 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 25d 1 0.52mi
1823 Rosiere St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,450 $1.04 25d 1 0.52mi
1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,900 $1.27 4d 1 0.53mi
1816 Benefit St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1148 $1,300 $1.13 17d 1 0.55mi
4117 Roneagle Way Apt D New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 21d 1 0.55mi
4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,250 $1.82 25d 1 0.58mi
2175 N Broad St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 17d 1 0.59mi
2130 N Broad St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1579 $1,350 $0.85 25d 1 0.64mi
2130 N Broad St Unit 1A New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 925 $1,500 $1.62 25d 1 0.64mi
2902 Aubry St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 890 $1,350 $1.52 25d 1 0.65mi
3420 Annette St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 4d 1 0.66mi
2826 Aubry St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 11d 1 0.67mi
1818 Paul Morphy St Unit B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1065 $1,800 $1.69 25d 1 0.68mi
2632 Oreilly St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.5 950 $1,450 $1.53 25d 1 0.72mi
2310 George Nick Connor Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 25d 1 0.75mi
1826 Moss St Unit A New Orleans, LA 1.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 21d 1 0.76mi
3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 25d 1 0.77mi
2338 40 Annette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,385 $1.20 21d 1 0.79mi
3956 Pauger St New Orleans, LA 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 25d 1 0.80mi
213 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 975 $1,500 $1.54 22d 1 0.80mi
1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 17d 1 0.82mi
1922 Industry St Unit B New Orleans, LA 2.0 2.0 963 $1,325 $1.38 3d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 277 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 274 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 273 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 272 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 271 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 269 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,000 Active 266 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 265 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 264 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 263 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,000 Active 260 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 259 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 258 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 257 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 256 DOM
  16. 2026-03-08
    price $149,000 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!

  17. 2026-03-08
    price $149,000 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!

  18. 2025-09-09
    listed $159,000 Active 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!

  19. 2025-09-09
    listed $159,000 Active 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    Calling all investors! This is a tremendous opportunity to own a Gentilly Duplex in a prime location. This diamond in the rough is waiting for you to make it shine bright!

  20. 2020-07-10
    listed $139,900
  21. 2019-12-19
    price $139,900
  22. 2019-09-27
    price $144,900
  23. 2019-08-12
    listed $139,900
  24. 1997-10-31
    soldstatus $19,000
  25. 1996-09-12
    soldstatus $10,666

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$998 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$998 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,312
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$998
− Insurance
−$1,542
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,665
− Management
−$2,665
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$12,760
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,062
After-tax cash flow
$11,337/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
35,253
Household income
$49,455
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
2150.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.37%
Current HPI
231.9921
Rent YoY
▼ -0.61%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1297.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-09 Listed $159,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-09-09 Listed $159,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2020-07-10 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2019-12-19 Price Changed $139,900 GSREIN
  • 2019-09-27 Price Changed $144,900 GSREIN
  • 2019-08-12 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 1997-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
  • 1996-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $10,666 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $998 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…