🏷️ Likely Rental
106 Humason Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 106 Humason, located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. This spacious home offers three bedrooms plus a generously sized bonus room upstairs, providing flexible living or workspace options. The exterior is low-maintenance and features newer windows, roof, and vinyl siding, along with a welcoming covered front porch. Inside, you’ll find large rooms, hardwood floors, and convenient first-floor laundry. New HWT '25. Currently rented well below market value at $750/mo. The seller owns multiple properties on the street and prefers to sell as a package, though individual sales will be considered. Additional properties available include 12, 97, 101, 106, and 136 Humason. Please refer to commercial listing B1655331 for full package details.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Bonus room upstairs
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,480/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.09%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,488
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -32.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Olcott Pl | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,430 (-6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $115 | 76 |
| 27 Adlon Pl | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+4%) | 5mo | $265,958 | $168 | 70 |
| 102 Freund St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $97 | 68 |
| 4 Villa Moraine Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+10%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $172 | 67 |
| 25 Peach Tree Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,502 (-2%) | 7mo | $162,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 105 Hoerner Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,367 (-11%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $66 | 57 |
| 67 Carol Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (-10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 62 Haller Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-9%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $89 | 50 |
| 54 Roma Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (-14%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $125 | 49 |
| 70 Eggert Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (-12%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $160 | 48 |
| 46 Wilkes Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,359 (-11%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $118 | 42 |
| 61 Gualbert Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (-15%) | 8mo | $149,900 | $115 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $35,710
- Equity at exit
- $41,694
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $94,325
- Equity at exit
- $60,256
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $516 | -5% $479 | +0% $443 | +5% $407 | +10% $371 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $385 | +0% $443 | +5% $502 | +10% $560 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $470 | base $443 | +0.5pp $416 | +1.0pp $388 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1690 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 96 Academy Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2247 | $1,400 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 110 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2098 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1773 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2935 Genesee St Unit Up Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2025-12-31$105,000 Active 769-char remark
Show marketing remark (769 chars)
Welcome to 106 Humason, located in the desirable Schiller Park neighborhood. This spacious home offers three bedrooms plus a generously sized bonus room upstairs, providing flexible living or workspace options. The exterior is low-maintenance and features newer windows, roof, and vinyl siding, along with a welcoming covered front porch. Inside, you’ll find large rooms, hardwood floors, and convenient first-floor laundry. New HWT '25. Currently rented well below market value at $750/mo. The seller owns multiple properties on the street and prefers to sell as a package, though individual sales will be considered. Additional properties available include 12, 97, 101, 106, and 136 Humason. Please refer to commercial listing B1655331 for full package details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,754
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,420
- − Management
- −$1,420
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,877
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$931
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,388/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-31 Listed $105,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $163 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…