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2403 Savior St
D- Composite 39.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,999

2403 Savior St · Raleigh, NC 27610
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,314 sqft · Townhouse public records · 83 Days on market
Built 2009 871 sqft lot $149/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price Improvement! 2025 HVAC! Seller willing to give $3-5k in closing cost!! Welcome home to 2403 Savior St, a 2-bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome located in the Providence Townes community. The main level offers an open, functional layout with dedicated dining space, and a kitchen designed for everyday ease. Upstairs, both bedrooms feature private bath access--ideal for flexibility, or guests. Whether you're a first-time buyer or investor, this property checks the boxes! Property is currently tenant occupied on 60 day by 60 day rental agreement. Showings require 24- hour notice and are by appointment only. Buyer to assume lease if tenant remains, or property will be delivered vacant if ten

Key facts

  • $149 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.02 acres (about 871 sq ft); Zoning: R-6
  • HOA & community: Community association (HRW Providence Townes / HRW); Monthly association fee; Association also charges a quarterly fee; Association covers grounds maintenance; Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking spaces in a parking lot; 2 open parking spaces (total 2)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; 2+ common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as townhouse
  • Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Community sidewalks; No waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Bathtub/shower combination; Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet; Laundry located on upper level; Indoor laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-93 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (7.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (15.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.7% in Raleigh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NC, #1,028 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Walnut Creek Elementary (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,028 of 1,410 statewide, top 73%, 497 students, 99% FRL); Carnage Middle (math 63% / reading 69%, grade A-, #26 of 475 statewide, top 5%, 844 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 30% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 594 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $84k; list at $225k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,009 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.80%
Cash-on-cash
-1.77%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-47,571
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-69,141
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27610

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
594
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,910 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,154/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$149
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$-93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,028
Max offer price $208,539
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $34 -5% $-29 +0% $-93 +5% $-157 +10% $-221
Rent -10% $-244 -5% $-169 +0% $-93 +5% $-18 +10% $58
Rate -1.0pp $20 -0.5pp $-36 base $-93 +0.5pp $-151 +1.0pp $-211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2411 Aurora Cove Ct Raleigh, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $1,594 $1.59 3d 12 0.39mi
2423 Small Branch Trl Raleigh, NC 3.0 3.0 1592 $2,450 $1.54 5d 1 0.41mi
2419 Small Branch Trl Raleigh, NC 3.0 3.0 1592 $2,525 $1.59 5d 1 0.41mi
2417 Small Branch Trl Raleigh, NC 3.0 3.0 1592 $2,450 $1.54 5d 1 0.41mi
2413 Small Branch Trl Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1592 $2,488 $1.56 16d 30 0.41mi
2147 Sunny Cove Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1710 $1,895 $1.11 25d 1 0.46mi
3243 Warm Springs Ln Raleigh, NC 1.0 1.0 1600 $650 $0.41 22d 1 0.48mi
3243 Warm Springs Ln Raleigh, NC 1.0 1.0 1575 $550 $0.35 25d 1 0.48mi
2321 Stoney Spring Dr Raleigh, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 879 $1,541 $1.75 3d 103 0.48mi
3509 Slippery Elm Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1853 $1,895 $1.02 25d 1 0.51mi
3512 Slippery Elm Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1710 $1,995 $1.17 25d 1 0.53mi
1423 Tamarino Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,895 $1.35 18d 1 0.60mi
737 Southgate Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1332 $1,845 $1.39 5d 1 0.61mi
3208 Mango Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1629 $1,750 $1.07 25d 1 0.67mi
3109 Ebony Ct Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1248 $1,799 $1.44 25d 1 0.71mi
1611 Royal Foxhound Ln Raleigh, NC 2.0–4.0 2.0 1214 $1,299 $1.07 3d 31 0.80mi
2806 Dillmark Ct Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,295 $1.20 21d 1 0.81mi
2012 Winston Diamond Ct Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1369 $1,830 $1.34 25d 1 0.83mi
2706 Big Oak St Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,450 $1.21 25d 1 0.88mi
1506 Creech Rd Garner, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 948 $1,366 $1.44 25d 1 0.92mi
2720 Midway Park Ct Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 21d 1 0.95mi
2409 Foxtrot Rd Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 25d 1 0.98mi
2292 Fox Ridge Manor Rd Raleigh, NC 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1124 $1,350 $1.20 13d 1 1.02mi
1622 Proctor Rd Raleigh, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0 829 $1,255 $1.51 4d 6 1.25mi
3408 Monsieur Ct Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1404 $1,850 $1.32 5d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$149 · $1,788/yr

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $224,999 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,999 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,999 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,999 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,999 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,999 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,999 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,999 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,999 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,999 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,999 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,999 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,999 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,999 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,999 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    price $229,999
  17. 2026-04-12
    price $234,999
  18. 2026-03-30
    listed $244,999 Active
  19. 2026-02-27
    historical
  20. 2025-11-12
    listed $249,000 Active
  21. 2025-10-31
    historical
  22. 2025-10-15
    price $249,500
  23. 2025-08-29
    price $249,999
  24. 2025-07-22
    listed $260,000 Active
  25. 2011-08-19
    historical
  26. 2009-12-08
    listed $99,340
  27. 2009-07-17
    soldstatus $84,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,154 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,154 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,921
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,154
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,834
− Management
−$1,834
− HOA
−$1,788
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$4,962
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,191
After-tax cash flow
$73/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wake County Schools
NCES district ID
3704720
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$67,509
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2010
State rank
#35 of 178 in NC

Livability — Raleigh

Score
83/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1028

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Raleigh, NC
County
Wake County · 1,216,256 people
City population
569,344
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
81,419
Household income
$67,932
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
3499.0

Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,293,152 people
By 2030
1,428,223 · +10.4%
By 2040
1,698,188 · +31.3%
By 2050
1,955,807 · +51.2%
By 2075
2,520,273 · +94.9%
By 2100
2,893,335 · +123.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 20% White 15% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wake

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.88%
Current HPI
237.704
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $229,999 TMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $234,999 TMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $244,999 TMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $249,000 TMLS
  • 2025-10-31 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $249,500 TMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Price Changed $249,999 TMLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $260,000 TMLS
  • 2011-08-19 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2009-12-08 Listed $99,340 TMLS
  • 2009-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,154 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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