474 Marlin Cir · Micco, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1992 Palm Harbor 28 x 56 on oversized double lot. Island kitchen with Jennaire counter top range and wall oven. Eat-in kitchen. Built-in lited hutch. French doors to family room. Mirrored closet doors in master suite. Master bath with garden tub, double vanity shower. Newer A/C and heat. New shingle roof. Well maintained. Double drive. Furniture available. Property being conveyed AS IS.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Double driveway
- Newer a/c system
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Pets allowed
- Exterior features: Side porch; Irregular lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($12/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#633 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 759 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $179k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.02%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-28,775
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-24,293
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32976
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,855 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$326 /mo · $3,916/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $52 | +0% $1 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-146 | -5% $-72 | +0% $1 | +5% $74 | +10% $148 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $47 | base $1 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-93 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Plover Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 629 W Marlin Cir Unit NA Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 830 Lychee Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7606 Cedar Bark Rd Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 909 Sequoia St Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $1,845 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 8520 US Highway 1 Unit D5 Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $1,250 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8520 US Highway 1 #10 Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 805 Beech Ct Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $1,995 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7419 Tourmaline Dr Unit Annual Grant-Valkaria, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1676 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 621 Hyacinth Cir Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7349 Tourmaline Dr Grant, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 702 Lark Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,775 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 904 Red Bud Rd Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 706 Hyacinth Cir Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7181 Blue Shore Rd Grant, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1207 Marigold Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-20historical
-
2026-03-09price $179,000
-
2025-10-20$189,000 Active
-
2016-08-16historical 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
This is it! Absolutely stunning. Ready for you to move right into. No furniture needed here as it is also available with a full price offer. Home sits on 2 irregular perimeter lots. Plenty of room for all of your entertaining needs. Plenty of parking also. Kitchen has a lovely built-in downdraft range top. Wide open floor plan. Come see this beauty before it is gone.
-
2016-08-16historical 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
This is it! Absolutely stunning. Ready for you to move right into. No furniture needed here as it is also available with a full price offer. Home sits on 2 irregular perimeter lots. Plenty of room for all of your entertaining needs. Plenty of parking also. Kitchen has a lovely built-in downdraft range top. Wide open floor plan. Come see this beauty before it is gone.
-
2016-06-10soldstatus $85,000
-
2012-11-08$79,500 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
This is it! Absolutely stunning. Ready for you to move right into. No furniture needed here as it is also available with a full price offer. Home sits on 2 irregular perimeter lots. Plenty of room for all of your entertaining needs. Plenty of parking also. Kitchen has a lovely built-in downdraft range top. Wide open floor plan. Come see this beauty before it is gone.
-
2005-12-02$169,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
1992 Palm Harbor 28 x 56 on oversized double lot. Island kitchen with Jennaire counter top range and wall oven. Eat-in kitchen. Built-in lited hutch. French doors to family room. Mirrored closet doors in master suite. Master bath with garden tub, double vanity shower. Newer A/C and heat. New shingle roof. Well maintained. Double drive. Furniture available. Property being conveyed AS IS.
-
1992-02-01soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,916 · $326/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,916 · $326/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$3,916
- − Insurance
- −$2,398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,781
- − Management
- −$1,781
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$2,845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $695/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Micco
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #633
- US rank
- #12408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Micco, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,237
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.57%
- Current HPI
- 321.5196
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+894.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — SCMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $179,000 SCMLS
- 2025-10-20 Listed $189,000 SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2016-08-16 Listing Removed — SCMLS
- 2016-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2012-11-08 Listed $79,500 SCMLS
- 2005-12-02 Listed $169,000 SCMLS
- 1992-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,916 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…