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375 Union Ave SE #152
B- Composite 65.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,996

375 Union Ave SE #152 · Renton, WA 98059
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,809 sqft · Manufactured · 10 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition $111/sqft · 18% above area Est $170k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the sought-after Sunnydale all-age community, offering fantastic amenities including a pool, clubhouse, basketball court, and playground. This beautifully updated home features 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an inviting open-concept layout and vaulted ceilings that create a bright and spacious feel throughout. The living room is warm and welcoming with a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The stunning kitchen has been fully updated with stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops, a sleek island, and a custom backsplash—perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The oversized primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious ensuite bathroom with custom tile work,

Key facts

  • Clubhouse
  • Basketball court
  • Pool

Tags

POOLCLUBHOUSEBASKETBALL COURTPLAYGROUNDOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTWOOD-BURNING FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 2.3% in Renton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#52 in WA, #949 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
  • Renton School District (urban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 291 in WA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 255 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($139k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $199,996

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
15.12%
Cash-on-cash
31.53%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,147
List price
$199,996
Delta
17.54%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
375 Union Ave SE #152 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,809 (0%) 0mo $235,000 $130 100
201 Union Ave SE #183 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,876 (+4%) 3mo $65,000 $35 77
201 Union Ave SE #197 0.22mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,040 (+13%) 7mo $125,000 $61 58
375 Union Ave SE #86 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-13%) 14mo $165,000 $105 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$51,780
Equity at exit
$29,820
10-year hold
IRR
29.5%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$128,720
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $55,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98059

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,612 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$759
Net cashflow
$1,472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $199,996
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,999
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2902 SE 11th Pl #1066 Renton, WA 4.0 3.0 1823 $3,299 $1.81 24d 1 0.79mi
15205 140th Way SE Renton, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1121 $3,665 $3.27 2d 10 0.89mi
1601 Olympia Ave SE Renton, WA 4.0 2.5 2230 $3,600 $1.61 44d 1 0.91mi
5027 NE 5th Pl Renton, WA 3.0 2.5 1287 $3,300 $2.56 24d 1 1.10mi
2227 SE 8th Pl Renton, WA 3.0 2.0 1560 $3,650 $2.34 4d 1 1.12mi
706 Bremerton Pl NE Renton, WA 4.0 2.5 1850 $3,600 $1.95 2d 1 1.15mi
2615 SE 16th St Renton, WA 4.0 3.0 1910 $3,100 $1.62 2d 1 1.17mi
4627 NE 7th Pl Renton, WA 4.0 2.5 1870 $3,595 $1.92 24d 1 1.18mi
3523 SE 18th St Renton, WA 4.0 2.5 2517 $4,500 $1.79 15d 1 1.22mi
850 Bremerton Ave NE Renton, WA 4.0 2.5 2010 $3,490 $1.74 44d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $199,996 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,347
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,000
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,468
− Management
−$3,468
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$15,391
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,694
After-tax cash flow
$13,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This updated manufactured home in Sunnydale offers a good condition with a fresh paint job and updated kitchen, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Renton School District
NCES district ID
5307230
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,354
Composite
47.13/100
National rank
#5108
State rank
#119 of 291 in WA

Livability — Renton

Score
83/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#949

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Renton, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
158,600
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
42,406
Household income
$138,654
Rent vs Own
23.4% rent · 76.6% own
Severe rent burden
908.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Asian 29% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
23% · China, Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Chinese 9% Vietnamese 6% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -920.66%
Current HPI
338.4495
Rent YoY
▲ 0.29%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $199,996 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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