375 Union Ave SE #152 · Renton, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,996
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the sought-after Sunnydale all-age community, offering fantastic amenities including a pool, clubhouse, basketball court, and playground. This beautifully updated home features 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an inviting open-concept layout and vaulted ceilings that create a bright and spacious feel throughout. The living room is warm and welcoming with a cozy wood-burning fireplace. The stunning kitchen has been fully updated with stainless steel appliances, quartz countertops, a sleek island, and a custom backsplash—perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The oversized primary suite offers a walk-in closet and a luxurious ensuite bathroom with custom tile work,
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Basketball court
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 2.3% in Renton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#52 in WA, #949 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
- Renton School District (urban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 291 in WA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 255 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($139k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.53%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,147
- List price
- $199,996
- Delta
- 17.54%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 375 Union Ave SE #152 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,809 (0%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $130 | 100 |
| 201 Union Ave SE #183 | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,876 (+4%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $35 | 77 |
| 201 Union Ave SE #197 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,040 (+13%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $61 | 58 |
| 375 Union Ave SE #86 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-13%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $105 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $51,780
- Equity at exit
- $29,820
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $128,720
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $55,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98059
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$759
- Net cashflow
- $1,472
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,999
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2902 SE 11th Pl #1066 Renton, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1823 | $3,299 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 15205 140th Way SE Renton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $3,665 | $3.27 | 2d | 10 | 0.89mi |
| 1601 Olympia Ave SE Renton, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2230 | $3,600 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5027 NE 5th Pl Renton, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1287 | $3,300 | $2.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2227 SE 8th Pl Renton, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,650 | $2.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 706 Bremerton Pl NE Renton, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $3,600 | $1.95 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2615 SE 16th St Renton, WA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $3,100 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4627 NE 7th Pl Renton, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1870 | $3,595 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3523 SE 18th St Renton, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2517 | $4,500 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 850 Bremerton Ave NE Renton, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2010 | $3,490 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-04-22$199,996 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,468
- − Management
- −$3,468
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $15,391
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,694
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This updated manufactured home in Sunnydale offers a good condition with a fresh paint job and updated kitchen, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Renton School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,354
- Composite
- 47.13/100
- National rank
- #5108
- State rank
- #119 of 291 in WA
Livability — Renton
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Renton, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 158,600
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,406
- Household income
- $138,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 908.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Asian 29% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · China, Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Chinese 9% Vietnamese 6% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -920.66%
- Current HPI
- 338.4495
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.29%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $199,996 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…