403 Seventh · Mena, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 103 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approx. lot dimensions 50 x 142 (source: tax records); Approx. acreage 0.16 (source: tax records)
- Financial info: Financing options: Conventional loan or cash
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electric (municipal/Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Frame exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Sloped lot with mountain view; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator stays
- Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; washer stays; Dryer connection (electric); dryer stays; Gas water heater; Window treatments; Walk-in closet(s); Built-ins; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in shower; Formica kitchen countertops
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer connection; washer stays; Dryer connection (electric); dryer stays
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
- Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.60%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 Ninth St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,915 (-4%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $52 | 76 |
| 511 Warner Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,038 (+3%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $29 | 68 |
| 209 Church Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,048 (+3%) | 12mo | $215,545 | $105 | 66 |
| 207 Polk St S | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,097 (+6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $100 | 52 |
| 512 Grandview Hts | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,856 (-6%) | 13mo | $167,000 | $90 | 50 |
| 908 S Seventh St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 2,272 (+14%) | 9mo | $177,000 | $78 | 50 |
| 1803 Sutherland Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,061 (+4%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $78 | 49 |
| 1210 Bert St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,816 (-8%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $72 | 49 |
| 1900 Church Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (-10%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 901 S Reine St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,749 (-12%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $80 | 42 |
| 1903 Smith Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,750 (-12%) | 13mo | $173,500 | $99 | 34 |
| 1610 Reeves Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,753 (-12%) | 16mo | $60,000 | $34 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $9,303
- Equity at exit
- $24,416
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $38,999
- Equity at exit
- $24,854
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71953
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $893/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $314 | +0% $284 | +5% $254 | +10% $225 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $189 | -5% $237 | +0% $284 | +5% $332 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $337 | -0.5pp $311 | base $284 | +0.5pp $257 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $105,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $105,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-03-06$105,000 New Listing
-
2013-01-31soldstatus $75,500 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.
-
2013-01-31soldstatus $76,000
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.
-
2013-01-17historical 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.
-
2010-10-27$81,000 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $893 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $893 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$893
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,806
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mena School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509750
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,941
- Composite
- 32.88/100
- National rank
- #5607
- State rank
- #70 of 238 in AR
Livability — Mena
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #12615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mena, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,065 people
- By 2030
- 18,369 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 17,156 · -10.0%
- By 2050
- 16,177 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 14,642 · -23.2%
- By 2100
- 13,020 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Current HPI
- 278.2854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+29.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $105,000 CARMLS
- 2013-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2013-01-31 Sold (MLS) $75,500 CARMLS
- 2013-01-17 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2010-10-27 Listed $81,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $893 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…