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403 Seventh
B Composite 73.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$105,000

403 Seventh · Mena, AR 71953
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1910 6,969 sqft lot Est $159k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910
  • Listed 103 days

Tags

LARGE COVERED FRONT PORCHCLASSIC ARCHITECTURAL DETAILS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approx. lot dimensions 50 x 142 (source: tax records); Approx. acreage 0.16 (source: tax records)
  • Financial info: Financing options: Conventional loan or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electric (municipal/Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Frame exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Outside storage area; Paved road access; Sloped lot with mountain view; Inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Microwave; Gas range; Refrigerator stays
  • Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Washer connection; washer stays; Dryer connection (electric); dryer stays; Gas water heater; Window treatments; Walk-in closet(s); Built-ins; Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in shower; Formica kitchen countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer connection; washer stays; Dryer connection (electric); dryer stays

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.1% in Mena — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#142 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities F.
  • Mena School District (rural): math 42% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #70 of 238 in AR (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.2%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.60%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 Ninth St 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,915 (-4%) 6mo $100,000 $52 76
511 Warner Ave 0.40mi 3/2.5 2,038 (+3%) 8mo $60,000 $29 68
209 Church Ave 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,048 (+3%) 12mo $215,545 $105 66
207 Polk St S 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,097 (+6%) 4mo $210,000 $100 52
512 Grandview Hts 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,856 (-6%) 13mo $167,000 $90 50
908 S Seventh St 0.41mi 3/2.0 2,272 (+14%) 9mo $177,000 $78 50
1803 Sutherland Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,061 (+4%) 10mo $159,900 $78 49
1210 Bert St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,816 (-8%) 8mo $130,000 $72 49
1900 Church Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-10%) 7mo $210,000 $118 45
901 S Reine St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,749 (-12%) 10mo $140,000 $80 42
1903 Smith Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,750 (-12%) 13mo $173,500 $99 34
1610 Reeves Ave 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,753 (-12%) 16mo $60,000 $34 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$9,303
Equity at exit
$24,416
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$38,999
Equity at exit
$24,854

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71953

Home prices YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $893/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $847
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $344 -5% $314 +0% $284 +5% $254 +10% $225
Rent -10% $189 -5% $237 +0% $284 +5% $332 +10% $379
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $311 base $284 +0.5pp $257 +1.0pp $229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $105,000 Active 104 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 101 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 98 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $105,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 93 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 88 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 87 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 86 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 85 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 84 DOM
  16. 2026-03-06
    listed $105,000 New Listing
  17. 2013-01-31
    soldstatus $75,500 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.

  18. 2013-01-31
    soldstatus $76,000
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.

  19. 2013-01-17
    historical 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.

  20. 2010-10-27
    listed $81,000 318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (318 chars)

    Just Charming. .. describes this well maintained 3 BR 2 BA in Mena. New roof, central air, floor covering and tilt windows (top and bottom tilt) just last year. Central Heat just a few years old. Extra insulation. Large closets with ample storage. Landscaped beautifully, Huge front porch, and a shop with electricity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$893 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$893 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,476
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$893
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$433
After-tax cash flow
$2,977/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mena School District
NCES district ID
0509750
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,941
Composite
32.88/100
National rank
#5607
State rank
#70 of 238 in AR

Livability — Mena

Score
65/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#12615

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mena, AR
Population (ZIP)
13,412

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,065 people
By 2030
18,369 · -3.7%
By 2040
17,156 · -10.0%
By 2050
16,177 · -15.1%
By 2075
14,642 · -23.2%
By 2100
13,020 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.5) · D 13.8% · R 84.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-24.7pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -70.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.5 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+66.4 2012: R+56.9 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.18%
Current HPI
278.2854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $105,000 CARMLS
  • 2013-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2013-01-31 Sold (MLS) $75,500 CARMLS
  • 2013-01-17 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2010-10-27 Listed $81,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $893 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…