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301 S Oak St
D Composite 41.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$175,000

301 S Oak St · Hendricks, MN 56136
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,543 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1949 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and well-updated home in the heart of Hendricks! Situated on a spacious corner lot just blocks from the school, hospital, and downtown, this property offers both convenience and comfortable living. The main level features a functional and inviting layout, including a bright & spacious living room, formal dining room, kitchen, main floor bedroom, and main floor 1/2 bathroom. You’ll also love the bright and sunny back porch, complete with main floor laundry and direct access to a brand-new concrete patio. .. perfect for relaxing evenings, entertaining guests, or keeping an eye on outdoor activities in the generous backyard. Upstairs, you’ll find two

Key facts

  • Finished bonus room
  • Updated kitchen
  • Bright back porch

Tags

CORNER LOTBRIGHT BACK PORCHBRAND NEW CONCRETE PATIOFINISHED BONUS ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with storage and garage door opener; Concrete driveway; Electric in garage; 1-car garage (approximately 14' x 20')
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; 200+ amp electrical service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main floor primary bedroom
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Rear patio and porch; Wood exterior; Corner lot; Storage shed; 86 x 140 lot dimensions; City street with paved frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (main floor primary bedroom; other bedrooms on upper level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on upper level; One half bathroom on main floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window; Main floor primary bedroom; Patio; Porch; Washer/dryer hookup; Water softener (owned); Partially finished basement with storage space; Separate/formal dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-180 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (18.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (32.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MN, #3,376 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, commute F.
  • Hendricks Public School District (rural): math 50% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #153 of 467 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hendricks Elementary (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #320 of 857 statewide, top 41%, 98 students, 50% FRL); Hendricks Senior High (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #6 of 471 statewide, top 2%, 47 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 34% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lincoln County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $124k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,730 (32.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.06%
Cash-on-cash
-4.40%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$47,666
Equity at exit
$119,194
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$147,259
Equity at exit
$224,560

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56136

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,187 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$-180

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,415
Max offer price $143,231
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-81 -5% $-130 +0% $-180 +5% $-229 +10% $-279
Rent -10% $-274 -5% $-227 +0% $-180 +5% $-133 +10% $-86
Rate -1.0pp $-92 -0.5pp $-135 base $-180 +0.5pp $-225 +1.0pp $-271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-25
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-10
    listed $175,000 Active
  4. 2024-06-14
    soldstatus $123,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$217/yr (+$18/mo · 14.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,248
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,526
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,140
− Management
−$1,140
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$5,327
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,278
After-tax cash flow
$-880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendricks Public School District
NCES district ID
2713680
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$45,562
Composite
52.23/100
National rank
#3466
State rank
#153 of 467 in MN

Livability — Hendricks

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3376

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hendricks, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,231

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,433 people
By 2030
5,215 · -4.0%
By 2040
4,828 · -11.1%
By 2050
4,445 · -18.2%
By 2075
3,678 · -32.3%
By 2100
2,762 · -49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 25% Romanian 6% Iranian 5%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.1% · R 67.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-38.6pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+38.0 2016: R+35.6 2012: R+5.3 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.82%
Current HPI
214.4647
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $175,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $123,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,526 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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