1103 River Rd · Troy, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity. Set on .89 acres across three separate buildable lots with dual access from River Road and Lansing Road, this 1,911-square-foot split-level is ideal for investors looking to add value and maximize returns. The split design, with a half floor up and down, provides an excellent footprint for a profitable renovation. A new furnace is installed and ready to be connected to forced hot air, giving investors a key mechanical already in place. Whether your strategy is fix-and-flip, long-term rental, or leveraging the additional lots for future development, this property offers rare flexibility and strong upside for those ready to execute their vision. SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Buildable lots
- Dual access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.5% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $160k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.45%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,460
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -39.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 3rd St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+5%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $180 | 68 |
| 311 Belgrade St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,724 (-10%) | 1mo | $208,575 | $121 | 68 |
| 1081 2nd Ave | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,766 (-8%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 6 Hopkins Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,778 (-7%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 380 Lansing Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-8%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $133 | 60 |
| 47 New Turnpike Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,984 (+4%) | 17mo | $293,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 29 Hudson St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,764 (-8%) | 3mo | $298,000 | $169 | 54 |
| 333 Marion Ave | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $126 | 51 |
| 15 Park Pl | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (+5%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $128 | 43 |
| 56 Middle St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,670 (-13%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $180 | 41 |
| 2 Steenburgh Ave | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (-5%) | 13mo | $365,000 | $201 | 38 |
| 13 6th St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,036 (+6%) | 19mo | $239,125 | $117 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $25,111
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $87,687
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,413 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $801
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $911 | -5% $856 | +0% $801 | +5% $745 | +10% $690 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $610 | -5% $705 | +0% $801 | +5% $896 | +10% $991 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $881 | -0.5pp $841 | base $801 | +0.5pp $759 | +1.0pp $717 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Parker Ln Unit 5 Waterford, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,711 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 100 Waters View Cir Cohoes, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1281 | $2,413 | $1.88 | 15d | 13 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-02-18$160,000 Active 706-char remark
Show marketing remark (706 chars)
Great investment opportunity. Set on .89 acres across three separate buildable lots with dual access from River Road and Lansing Road, this 1,911-square-foot split-level is ideal for investors looking to add value and maximize returns. The split design, with a half floor up and down, provides an excellent footprint for a profitable renovation. A new furnace is installed and ready to be connected to forced hot air, giving investors a key mechanical already in place. Whether your strategy is fix-and-flip, long-term rental, or leveraging the additional lots for future development, this property offers rare flexibility and strong upside for those ready to execute their vision. SOLD IN AS-IS CONDITION.
-
2001-01-29soldstatus $56,500 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
RANCH HOUSE WITH SPLIT RANCH IN BACK, USED TO BE A CRAFT SHOP HAS FRONTAGE RIGHT ON RIVER ROAD, THE POSSIBLITIES ARE ENDLESS AS COMMERCIAL OR APARTMENTS, 3,000 SQ.FT. 8 LOTS IN BACK FOR $7500 -- Good Condition
-
2000-12-15historical 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
RANCH HOUSE WITH SPLIT RANCH IN BACK, USED TO BE A CRAFT SHOP HAS FRONTAGE RIGHT ON RIVER ROAD, THE POSSIBLITIES ARE ENDLESS AS COMMERCIAL OR APARTMENTS, 3,000 SQ.FT. 8 LOTS IN BACK FOR $7500 -- Good Condition
-
2000-07-21$49,000 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
RANCH HOUSE WITH SPLIT RANCH IN BACK, USED TO BE A CRAFT SHOP HAS FRONTAGE RIGHT ON RIVER ROAD, THE POSSIBLITIES ARE ENDLESS AS COMMERCIAL OR APARTMENTS, 3,000 SQ.FT. 8 LOTS IN BACK FOR $7500 -- Good Condition
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,317
- − Management
- −$2,317
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $7,509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,807/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+226.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $160,000 Global MLS
- 2001-01-29 Sold (MLS) $56,500 Global MLS
- 2000-12-15 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2000-07-21 Listed $49,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $9,660 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…