373 Linden Ave · Southgate, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming Southgate property offering comfort, convenience, and a location close to shopping, dining, schools, and downtown Cincinnati. This home features a functional layout with inviting living spaces filled with natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space, while the bedrooms provide comfort and flexibility for everyday living, guests, or a home office setup. Enjoy outdoor space perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or gardening. Convenient access to major highways makes commuting simple while still enjoying the feel of a quiet neighborhood.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Outdoor space
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family house; One-and-a-half story
- Construction: Aluminum and wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Double-hung windows with wood frames; Shingle roof; Paved road frontage on a city street; Irregular lot shape
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes electric oven, electric range, dishwasher, refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Primary bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Basement: full basement; Electric oven, Electric range, Dishwasher, Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in Southgate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#45 in KY, #513 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Southgate Independent (suburban): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 173 in KY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 10 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.08%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,884
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2122 Joyce Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 944 (-1%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $247 | 89 |
| 2116 Joyce Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 944 (-1%) | 6mo | $226,000 | $239 | 81 |
| 2235 Joyce Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 923 (-4%) | 1mo | $243,000 | $263 | 80 |
| 8 Laycock Ln | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $175 | 78 |
| 2115 Joyce Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-2%) | 8mo | $198,000 | $212 | 77 |
| 377 Linden Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-6%) | 10mo | $183,000 | $203 | 76 |
| 103 Joyce Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 970 (+1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 225 Beech Rd | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 955 (-0%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $188 | 74 |
| 65 Parkview Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 990 (+3%) | 1mo | $182,500 | $184 | 58 |
| 2501 Alexandria Pike | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 2mo | $267,500 | $245 | 53 |
| 7 E Ridge Pl | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-13%) | 11mo | $167,500 | $201 | 50 |
| 28 Gaddis Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (+12%) | 6mo | $449,000 | $417 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-10,216
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $23,453
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41071
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $438/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $306 | +0% $255 | +5% $204 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $190 | +0% $255 | +5% $321 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $346 | -0.5pp $301 | base $255 | +0.5pp $208 | +1.0pp $161 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2335 Alexandria Pike Southgate, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 557 | $1,140 | $2.04 | 3d | 17 | 0.11mi |
| 3949 Vision CIR Southgate, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1132 | $2,515 | $2.22 | 2d | 10 | 0.39mi |
| 35 Gettysburg Square Rd Fort Thomas, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,630 | $2.04 | 3d | 29 | 0.73mi |
| 926 Ravine Cir Southgate, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $1,634 | $1.71 | 3d | 6 | 0.90mi |
| 40 Edwards Ct Fort Thomas, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $2,100 | $2.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1700 Aspen Pines Dr Wilder, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1420 | $2,365 | $1.67 | 2d | 14 | 1.09mi |
| 911 Putnam St #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 128 W 9th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1914 Eastern Ave Apt 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 344 E 13th St Unit 1 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 24 Woodland Hills Dr #11 Southgate, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,445 | $1.52 | 8d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 512 Wallace Ave Unit 512/18 Covington, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,299 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 637-char remark
-
2026-06-13$179,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $438 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,547 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,109/yr (+$92/mo · 253.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,898
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$438
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,592
- − Management
- −$1,592
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $66
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southgate Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105460
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,230
- Composite
- 40.75/100
- National rank
- #7579
- State rank
- #119 of 173 in KY
Livability — Southgate
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southgate, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,680
- Household income
- $59,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.38%
- Current HPI
- 244.9069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.64%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+157.4% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $179,900 NKMLS
- 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $86,100 Public Records
- 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $399,400 Public Records
- 2015-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-10 Listed $48,000 NKMLS
- 2015-12-10 Sold (MLS) $48,000 NKMLS
- 2015-09-18 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2015-09-04 Listed $51,000 NKMLS
- 2015-08-10 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2015-06-15 Listed $60,000 NKMLS
- 2013-12-06 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2013-06-06 Listed $116,900 NKMLS
- 2013-03-01 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2012-09-01 Listed $117,900 NKMLS
- 2012-08-31 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2012-03-12 Listed $118,900 NKMLS
- 2002-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-30 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2001-05-27 Listed $83,900 NKMLS
- 2000-03-15 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 1996-08-14 Listed $79,900 NKMLS
- 1994-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1994-11-25 Sold (MLS) $67,000 NKMLS
- 1994-07-16 Listed $69,900 NKMLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $438 · -3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…