221 Seawatch Way · Kure Beach, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,050,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to SeaWatch! This is a special neighborhood nestled in the center of Kure beach. The homes in this community are known for their bright cheerful colors. It's a five bedroom home that has been newly renovated. This home is truly turnkey. It includes all the furniture, which most has been recently purchased. Hardwoods and luxury vinyl are throughout. The first floor is an open floor concept with the kitchen, dining room and living room open for entertainment. The master suite is just that! This room has been completely redecorated and feels like a true oasis. Huge bedroom with a private balcony and swing. The master bathroom shower is huge and amazing! It has a rain head and shower head. Just off the master suite there is a laundry hook up if you would like to add a second laundry space to the home. The secondary bedrooms are a great size as well! There are three porches on this home, the front porch, back porch and lower deck with an outdoor shower. This home is only a five minute walk to the ocean and has private beach access with a tiki bar. There are tennis courts, a community pool and a playground. This home truly feels like you are on vacation year round!
Key facts
- 6,752 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: B-4; Roads are paved; frontage and road type noted as city street/state road (see remarks)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (approximately $1,500); Community pool; Sidewalks and street lights; Clubhouse; Playground; Tennis courts; Trails; Sport court(s); Management
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached 2-car garage; Off-street parking; On-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; 3 stories; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Slab and pier/pillar/post foundation; Built with other foundation components
- Exterior features: Outdoor shower; Balcony; Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Beach access; Irrigation equipment; Accessible full bath
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Kitchen island; Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Furnished; Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Laundry closet; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $1.05M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($151k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $1.05M).
- Recommended offer: $987k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.7% vs local median 2.1% in Kure Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#303 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Carolina Beach Elementary (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #249 of 1,410 statewide, top 20%, 431 students, 32% FRL); Charles P Murray Middle (math 59% / reading 59%, grade B, #54 of 475 statewide, top 12%, 882 students, 34% FRL); Eugene Ashley High (math 48% / reading 68%, grade C, #243 of 535 statewide, top 46%, 1,975 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $294k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($987k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $685k; list at $1.05M implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.38%
- DSCR
- 3.29
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $995,754
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Seawatch Way | 0.08mi | 4/4.0 | 2,260 (-9%) | 6mo | $1,075,000 | $476 | 76 |
| 465 Fort Fisher Blvd N | 0.18mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,600 (+5%) | 2mo | $1,057,777 | $407 | 72 |
| 425 Sandman Dr | 0.14mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,313 (-7%) | 2mo | $940,000 | $406 | 72 |
| 737 Cutter Ct | 0.26mi | 4/3.5 | 2,548 (+3%) | 12mo | $950,000 | $373 | 71 |
| 118 Clementree Ln | 0.25mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,473 (-0%) | 14mo | $918,000 | $371 | 67 |
| 1615 Bonito Ln | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 2,506 (+1%) | 2mo | $990,000 | $395 | 63 |
| 1725 Spot Ln | 0.52mi | 4/3.5 | 2,603 (+5%) | 3mo | $928,750 | $357 | 63 |
| 512 Shell Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 | 2,336 (-6%) | 9mo | $756,000 | $324 | 61 |
| 737 Fort Fisher Blvd N | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 | 2,176 (-12%) | 2mo | $880,000 | $404 | 60 |
| 1514 Mackerel Ln | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,490 (+0%) | 4mo | $1,000,000 | $402 | 57 |
| 118 Bluefish Ln | 0.30mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,809 (+13%) | 10mo | $845,000 | $301 | 48 |
| 205 S Sixth Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,230 (-10%) | 14mo | $925,000 | $415 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $631,377
- Equity at exit
- $156,558
- IRR
- 54.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.38×
- Total profit
- $1,581,378
- Equity at exit
- $90,785
Cash invested: $294,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28449
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $24,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,506
- Tax from tax record
- −$304 /mo · $3,644/yr
- Insurance
- −$438
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$5,040
- Net cashflow
- $12,587
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $262,500
- Closing costs
- $31,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1622 Swordfish Ln #1 Carolina Beach, NC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2476 | $24,000 | $9.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,050,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,050,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,050,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,050,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1,050,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,050,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,050,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,050,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,050,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,050,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $1,050,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,050,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,050,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,050,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1,050,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $1,050,000
-
2026-03-20$1,095,000 Active
-
2025-11-03status Active
-
2025-09-09status Pending
-
2025-09-09historical
-
2025-09-04price $1,125,000
-
2025-06-01status Active
-
2025-05-30historical
-
2025-03-03price $1,150,000
-
2025-01-01price $1,179,000
-
2024-11-14$1,199,000 Active
-
2021-02-12soldstatus $685,000 1189-char remark
Show marketing remark (1189 chars)
Welcome to SeaWatch! This is a special neighborhood nestled in the center of Kure beach. The homes in this community are known for their bright cheerful colors. It's a five bedroom home that has been newly renovated. This home is truly turnkey. It includes all the furniture, which most has been recently purchased. Hardwoods and luxury vinyl are throughout. The first floor is an open floor concept with the kitchen, dining room and living room open for entertainment. The master suite is just that! This room has been completely redecorated and feels like a true oasis. Huge bedroom with a private balcony and swing. The master bathroom shower is huge and amazing! It has a rain head and shower head. Just off the master suite there is a laundry hook up if you would like to add a second laundry space to the home. The secondary bedrooms are a great size as well! There are three porches on this home, the front porch, back porch and lower deck with an outdoor shower. This home is only a five minute walk to the ocean and has private beach access with a tiki bar. There are tennis courts, a community pool and a playground. This home truly feels like you are on vacation year round!
-
2021-02-12soldstatus $685,000
Show marketing remark (1189 chars)
Welcome to SeaWatch! This is a special neighborhood nestled in the center of Kure beach. The homes in this community are known for their bright cheerful colors. It's a five bedroom home that has been newly renovated. This home is truly turnkey. It includes all the furniture, which most has been recently purchased. Hardwoods and luxury vinyl are throughout. The first floor is an open floor concept with the kitchen, dining room and living room open for entertainment. The master suite is just that! This room has been completely redecorated and feels like a true oasis. Huge bedroom with a private balcony and swing. The master bathroom shower is huge and amazing! It has a rain head and shower head. Just off the master suite there is a laundry hook up if you would like to add a second laundry space to the home. The secondary bedrooms are a great size as well! There are three porches on this home, the front porch, back porch and lower deck with an outdoor shower. This home is only a five minute walk to the ocean and has private beach access with a tiki bar. There are tennis courts, a community pool and a playground. This home truly feels like you are on vacation year round!
-
2020-12-10$699,900 1189-char remark
Show marketing remark (1189 chars)
Welcome to SeaWatch! This is a special neighborhood nestled in the center of Kure beach. The homes in this community are known for their bright cheerful colors. It's a five bedroom home that has been newly renovated. This home is truly turnkey. It includes all the furniture, which most has been recently purchased. Hardwoods and luxury vinyl are throughout. The first floor is an open floor concept with the kitchen, dining room and living room open for entertainment. The master suite is just that! This room has been completely redecorated and feels like a true oasis. Huge bedroom with a private balcony and swing. The master bathroom shower is huge and amazing! It has a rain head and shower head. Just off the master suite there is a laundry hook up if you would like to add a second laundry space to the home. The secondary bedrooms are a great size as well! There are three porches on this home, the front porch, back porch and lower deck with an outdoor shower. This home is only a five minute walk to the ocean and has private beach access with a tiki bar. There are tennis courts, a community pool and a playground. This home truly feels like you are on vacation year round!
-
2018-06-01soldstatus $600,000
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2018-06-01soldstatus $600,000
-
2018-04-06$600,000
-
2016-08-26historical
-
2016-02-10$540,000
-
2015-06-10historical
-
2014-06-13$525,000
-
2005-12-17soldstatus $531,923
-
2004-01-24$513,000
-
2003-07-01soldstatus $135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,644 · $304/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,610 · $718/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,966/yr (+$414/mo · 136.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $288,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$58,816
- − Property taxes
- −$3,644
- − Insurance
- −$5,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$23,040
- − Management
- −$23,040
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$30,545
- Taxable income
- $142,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$34,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $116,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Kure Beach
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #303
- US rank
- #12563
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kure Beach, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,017
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.31%
- Current HPI
- 246.571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+677.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $1,050,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $1,095,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-09 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-09 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $1,125,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-06-01 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-05-30 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-03-03 Price Changed $1,150,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-01-01 Price Changed $1,179,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-11-14 Listed $1,199,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $685,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-12 Sold (MLS) $685,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-12-10 Listed $699,900 Hive MLS
- 2018-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $600,000 Hive MLS
- 2018-04-06 Listed $600,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-08-26 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2016-02-10 Listed $540,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-06-10 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2014-06-13 Listed $525,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-12-17 Sold (MLS) $531,923 Hive MLS
- 2004-01-24 Listed $513,000 Hive MLS
- 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,644 · -28.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…