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510 W Lexington Ave
B+ Composite 75.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

510 W Lexington Ave · Elkhart, IN 46516
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,558 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1928 4,356 sqft lot $42/sqft · 36% below area Est $102k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1928

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listed by Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Elkhart

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Rear parking access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area listed (1,558 sq ft)
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 129; Lot features: Other

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1); Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Beardsley Elementary School (math 9% / reading 8%, grade F, #939 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 457 students, 73% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL); Elkhart High School (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #285 of 369 statewide, top 78%, 3,325 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
19.26%
Cash-on-cash
46.33%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,682
List price
$65,000
Delta
-36.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
182 S Shore Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 1mo $257,000 $171 75
413 N Vine St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,564 (+0%) 0mo $220,000 $141 70
300 Union St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,589 (+2%) 2mo $60,000 $38 70
505 N Vine St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-0%) 2mo $205,000 $132 69
207 Myrtle St 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,676 (+8%) 1mo $250,000 $149 66
510 W Franklin St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,703 (+9%) 2mo $105,000 $62 66
1202 S Shore Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,492 (-4%) 5mo $130,000 $87 65
531 W Beardsley Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+2%) 3mo $125,000 $78 62
915 Fulton St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,418 (-9%) 2mo $90,000 $63 56
1118 Cedar St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-10%) 5mo $55,000 $39 47
501 N Ward St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,387 (-11%) 4mo $69,000 $50 44
807 Thomas St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,764 (+13%) 5mo $162,900 $92 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$30,766
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$80,200
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46516

Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,513 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,496/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$647

Break-even live

Break-even rent $694
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $684 -5% $666 +0% $647 +5% $629 +10% $610
Rent -10% $528 -5% $587 +0% $647 +5% $707 +10% $767
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $664 base $647 +0.5pp $630 +1.0pp $613

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
660 Stamp Dr Elkhart, IN 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 21d 1 0.19mi
721 N Michigan St Elkhart, IN 4.0 2.0 1952 $2,499 $1.28 21d 1 0.59mi
200 Jr. Achievement Dr Elkhart, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 946 $1,770 $1.87 21d 10 0.78mi
1568 W Franklin St Elkhart, IN 3.0 2.0 1486 $1,600 $1.08 21d 1 0.90mi
1023 Cone St Elkhart, IN 2.0 1.0 1112 $1,200 $1.08 45d 1 1.00mi
2301 W Lexington Ave Elkhart, IN 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1077 $1,460 $1.36 21d 6 1.38mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $65,000 Active 907-char remark
  19. 2024-10-15
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.

  20. 2024-10-01
    status Pending 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.

  21. 2024-08-21
    listed $50,000 Active 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.

  22. 2022-12-07
    soldstatus $32,500 Closed
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.

  23. 2022-12-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.

  24. 2022-11-17
    listed $35,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.

  25. 2021-04-29
    soldstatus $45,500
  26. 2020-11-30
    listed $49,000
  27. 2001-10-29
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,496 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,496 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,155
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,496
− Insurance
−$992
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,452
− Management
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,736
After-tax cash flow
$6,030/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elkhart Community Schools
NCES district ID
1803270
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8928
State rank
#271 of 301 in IN

Livability — Elkhart

Score
68/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#9852

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elkhart, IN
County
Elkhart County · 107,928 people
City population
74,260
Metro
Elkhart-Goshen, IN
Population (ZIP)
31,871
Household income
$56,492
Rent vs Own
37.3% rent · 62.7% own
Severe rent burden
995.0

Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
213,761 people
By 2030
218,103 · +2.0%
By 2040
225,381 · +5.4%
By 2050
229,447 · +7.3%
By 2075
232,856 · +8.9%
By 2100
214,088 · +0.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -233.42%
Current HPI
239.2508
Rent YoY
Metro
Elkhart-Goshen, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 IRMLS
  • 2024-10-01 Pending IRMLS
  • 2024-08-21 Listed $50,000 IRMLS
  • 2022-12-07 Sold (MLS) $32,500 IRMLS
  • 2022-12-01 Pending IRMLS
  • 2022-11-17 Listed $35,000 IRMLS
  • 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $45,500 IRMLS
  • 2020-11-30 Listed $49,000 IRMLS
  • 2001-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,496 · +217.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…