510 W Lexington Ave · Elkhart, IN
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1928
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listed by Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Elkhart
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Rear parking access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Above-grade finished area listed (1,558 sq ft)
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 33 x 129; Lot features: Other
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 8 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (1); Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Beardsley Elementary School (math 9% / reading 8%, grade F, #939 of 994 statewide, top 95%, 457 students, 73% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL); Elkhart High School (math 17% / reading 51%, grade F, #285 of 369 statewide, top 78%, 3,325 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.33%
- DSCR
- 3.06
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,682
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -36.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 S Shore Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-4%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $171 | 75 |
| 413 N Vine St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,564 (+0%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $141 | 70 |
| 300 Union St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,589 (+2%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $38 | 70 |
| 505 N Vine St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-0%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $132 | 69 |
| 207 Myrtle St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,676 (+8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $149 | 66 |
| 510 W Franklin St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,703 (+9%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $62 | 66 |
| 1202 S Shore Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,492 (-4%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $87 | 65 |
| 531 W Beardsley Ave | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (+2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $78 | 62 |
| 915 Fulton St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,418 (-9%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 1118 Cedar St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-10%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $39 | 47 |
| 501 N Ward St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,387 (-11%) | 4mo | $69,000 | $50 | 44 |
| 807 Thomas St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,764 (+13%) | 5mo | $162,900 | $92 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $30,766
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $80,200
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46516
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,513 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,496/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $647
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $684 | -5% $666 | +0% $647 | +5% $629 | +10% $610 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $528 | -5% $587 | +0% $647 | +5% $707 | +10% $767 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $680 | -0.5pp $664 | base $647 | +0.5pp $630 | +1.0pp $613 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660 Stamp Dr Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 721 N Michigan St Elkhart, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,499 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 Jr. Achievement Dr Elkhart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $1,770 | $1.87 | 21d | 10 | 0.78mi |
| 1568 W Franklin St Elkhart, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $1,600 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1023 Cone St Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2301 W Lexington Ave Elkhart, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1077 | $1,460 | $1.36 | 21d | 6 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$65,000 Active 907-char remark
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2024-10-15soldstatus $45,000 Closed 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.
-
2024-10-01status Pending 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.
-
2024-08-21$50,000 Active 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Fixer upper! This home has 4 bedrooms, 2 baths and a detached 2 car garage. CASH ONLY.
-
2022-12-07soldstatus $32,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.
-
2022-12-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.
-
2022-11-17$35,000 Active
Show marketing remark (126 chars)
Investor special! Great opportunity to own this large home with tons of potential. Schedule a showing today! As-is, cash only.
-
2021-04-29soldstatus $45,500
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2020-11-30$49,000
-
2001-10-29soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,496 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,496
- − Insurance
- −$992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $7,232
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,736
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8928
- State rank
- #271 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #9852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, IN
- County
- Elkhart County · 107,928 people
- City population
- 74,260
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,871
- Household income
- $56,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 995.0
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -233.42%
- Current HPI
- 239.2508
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+18.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 IRMLS
- 2024-10-01 Pending — IRMLS
- 2024-08-21 Listed $50,000 IRMLS
- 2022-12-07 Sold (MLS) $32,500 IRMLS
- 2022-12-01 Pending — IRMLS
- 2022-11-17 Listed $35,000 IRMLS
- 2021-04-29 Sold (MLS) $45,500 IRMLS
- 2020-11-30 Listed $49,000 IRMLS
- 2001-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,496 · +217.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…