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2618 Durango Ct
D Composite 42.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$233,900

2618 Durango Ct · Hamilton, NJ 08330
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 955 sqft · Townhouse · 36 Days on market
Built 1988 $245/sqft · at area comps Est $235k · at est. $412/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Desirable end unit in the highly sought after community of TimberGlen! Welcome to this bright and spacious 2 bed, 2 full bath loft style townhouse. Graced with soaring cathedral ceilings, a open floor layout, and your choice of a primary bedroom with walk in closet and full bath on the first or second floor. This home has abundant storage and a truly thoughtful layout. Located in a serene and wooded setting, this home with an enlarged covered patio is sure to please both inside and out. Some luxury amenities included are: deluxe swimming pool, walking trails, assigned parking, water, sewer, lawn care and snow removal. With close proximity to shopping, restaurants, AC expressway, and shore b

Key facts

  • $412 HOA
  • 801 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee (includes common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, management, pool(s), road maintenance, reserve funds, sewer, snow removal, trash, water, insurance, exterior building maintenance); Community amenities include common grounds, jogging/walking path, reserved/assigned parking, and swimming pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Large parking lot with assigned/reserved parking (about 801 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; No septic system; Natural gas hot water
  • Home design: End of row/townhouse; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Above-grade units/structures; End unit townhouse

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (90% forced air); Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Condominium ownership; Property manager on site; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $234k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (2.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $200,524 (14.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.23%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,379
List price
$233,900
Delta
-0.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2619 Boulder Ct 0.03mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 5mo $235,000 $246 94
2619 Durango Ct 0.03mi 2/1.0 955 (0%) 4mo $225,000 $236 91
2619 Durango Ct #2619 0.09mi 2/1.0 955 (0%) 4mo $225,000 $236 89
2603 Canyon Ct #2603 0.09mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 10mo $223,000 $234 88
2819 Canyon Ct #1001 0.06mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 14mo $211,150 $221 86
2618 Flagstaff Ct 0.12mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 11mo $200,000 $209 85
2618 Flagstaff Ct #2001 0.12mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 11mo $200,000 $209 85
2600 Durango Ct 0.03mi 2/2.0 955 (0%) 17mo $245,000 $257 84
2603 Canyon Ct 0.09mi 1/1.0 (-1) 955 (0%) 10mo $223,000 $234 79
2707 Canyon Ct #2707 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,055 (+10%) 17mo $250,000 $237 66
3108 Woodlands Dr #3108 0.73mi 2/1.0 908 (-5%) 8mo $180,000 $198 47
3107 Woodlands Ave #5 0.74mi 2/1.0 996 (+4%) 14mo $162,750 $163 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$112,985
Equity at exit
$210,716
10-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$344,847
Equity at exit
$454,416

Cash invested: $65,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08330

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,227
Tax est. 1.5%
$292 /mo · $3,508/yr
Insurance
$97
HOA
$412
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$-231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,568
Max offer price $200,524
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-69 -5% $-150 +0% $-231 +5% $-311 +10% $-392
Rent -10% $-410 -5% $-321 +0% $-231 +5% $-141 +10% $-51
Rate -1.0pp $-113 -0.5pp $-171 base $-231 +0.5pp $-291 +1.0pp $-353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,475
Closing costs
$7,017
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ 1.0 1.0 929 $1,800 $1.94 15d 1 0.83mi
3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1192 $2,810 $2.36 15d 18 1.05mi
6020 Delilah Rd Egg Harbor Township, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1009 $2,425 $2.40 15d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$412 · $4,944/yr
Likely covers
watersewerlandscapingsnow removalpoolparking

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $233,900 Active 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $233,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $233,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $233,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $233,900 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $233,900 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $233,900 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $233,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $233,900 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $233,900 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $233,900 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $233,900 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $233,900 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $233,900 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $233,900 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $233,900 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $233,900 Active 14 DOM
  18. 2026-05-17
    listed $233,900 Active 767-char remark
  19. 2026-05-14
    historical $233,900 767-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,308
− Mortgage interest
−$13,102
− Property taxes
−$3,508
− Insurance
−$1,170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,185
− Management
−$2,185
− HOA
−$4,944
− Depreciation
−$6,804
Taxable loss
−$6,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,582
After-tax cash flow
$-1,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton Township School District
NCES district ID
3406510
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$60,997
Composite
21.34/100
National rank
#8372
State rank
#401 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Hamilton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McKee City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
29,972
Household income
$77,167
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
1003.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.58%
Current HPI
308.5148
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $233,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $233,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…