2618 Durango Ct · Hamilton, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$233,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Desirable end unit in the highly sought after community of TimberGlen! Welcome to this bright and spacious 2 bed, 2 full bath loft style townhouse. Graced with soaring cathedral ceilings, a open floor layout, and your choice of a primary bedroom with walk in closet and full bath on the first or second floor. This home has abundant storage and a truly thoughtful layout. Located in a serene and wooded setting, this home with an enlarged covered patio is sure to please both inside and out. Some luxury amenities included are: deluxe swimming pool, walking trails, assigned parking, water, sewer, lawn care and snow removal. With close proximity to shopping, restaurants, AC expressway, and shore b
Key facts
- $412 HOA
- 801 parking spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee (includes common area maintenance, lawn maintenance, management, pool(s), road maintenance, reserve funds, sewer, snow removal, trash, water, insurance, exterior building maintenance); Community amenities include common grounds, jogging/walking path, reserved/assigned parking, and swimming pool
Exterior
- Parking: Large parking lot with assigned/reserved parking (about 801 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; No septic system; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: End of row/townhouse; Estimated year built
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Community pool; Above-grade units/structures; End unit townhouse
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; One bedroom on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (90% forced air); Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Condominium ownership; Property manager on site; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $234k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (14.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $201k (14.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamilton Township School District (suburban): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #401 of 472 in NJ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: George L. Hess Educational Complex (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #990 of 1,303 statewide, top 76%, 1,363 students, 53% FRL); William Davies Middle School (math 10% / reading 41%, grade F, #359 of 431 statewide, top 84%, 930 students, 51% FRL); Oakcrest High School (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #342 of 399 statewide, top 86%, 914 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.23%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,379
- List price
- $233,900
- Delta
- -0.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2619 Boulder Ct | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $246 | 94 |
| 2619 Durango Ct | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 955 (0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $236 | 91 |
| 2619 Durango Ct #2619 | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 955 (0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $236 | 89 |
| 2603 Canyon Ct #2603 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 10mo | $223,000 | $234 | 88 |
| 2819 Canyon Ct #1001 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 14mo | $211,150 | $221 | 86 |
| 2618 Flagstaff Ct | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $209 | 85 |
| 2618 Flagstaff Ct #2001 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 11mo | $200,000 | $209 | 85 |
| 2600 Durango Ct | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 955 (0%) | 17mo | $245,000 | $257 | 84 |
| 2603 Canyon Ct | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 955 (0%) | 10mo | $223,000 | $234 | 79 |
| 2707 Canyon Ct #2707 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,055 (+10%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $237 | 66 |
| 3108 Woodlands Dr #3108 | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 908 (-5%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $198 | 47 |
| 3107 Woodlands Ave #5 | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 996 (+4%) | 14mo | $162,750 | $163 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $112,985
- Equity at exit
- $210,716
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.27×
- Total profit
- $344,847
- Equity at exit
- $454,416
Cash invested: $65,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08330
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 244
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,276 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,227
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$292 /mo · $3,508/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$412
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $-231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-69 | -5% $-150 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-311 | +10% $-392 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-410 | -5% $-321 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-51 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-113 | -0.5pp $-171 | base $-231 | +0.5pp $-291 | +1.0pp $-353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,475
- Closing costs
- $7,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Hawthorn Ct Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 929 | $1,800 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3401 Montgomery Dr Mays Landing, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1192 | $2,810 | $2.36 | 15d | 18 | 1.05mi |
| 6020 Delilah Rd Egg Harbor Township, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $2,425 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $412 · $4,944/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerlandscapingsnow removalpoolparking
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $233,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $233,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $233,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $233,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $233,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $233,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $233,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $233,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $233,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $233,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $233,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $233,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $233,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $233,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $233,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $233,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $233,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-05-17$233,900 Active 767-char remark
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2026-05-14historical $233,900 767-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,102
- − Property taxes
- −$3,508
- − Insurance
- −$1,170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,185
- − Management
- −$2,185
- − HOA
- −$4,944
- − Depreciation
- −$6,804
- Taxable loss
- −$6,590
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3406510
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,997
- Composite
- 21.34/100
- National rank
- #8372
- State rank
- #401 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Hamilton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McKee City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,972
- Household income
- $77,167
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.5148
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $233,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-14 Coming Soon $233,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…