Maple Plan · Punta Gorda, FL 33955

$299,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,876 sqft · SingleFamily · 393 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.6/10.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to The Maple - Stylish and Spacious Living from Our Essential Series Introducing The Maple, a beautiful single-story home offering 1,876 square feet of modern living space with 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Designed to combine comfort and style, The Maple is the perfect choice for your next home. This thoughtfully crafted floor plan balances space and functionality with ease. Four bedrooms provide plenty of room for family, guests, or a home office, while the open-concept layout ensures smooth flow between the living room, dining area, and kitchen-ideal for both everyday life and entertaining. Make The Maple your new home and enjoy a lifestyle where comfort meets style. Contact Marond

Key facts

• 2 garage spots
• Listed 393 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 12191 Gasparilla Ave, Punta Gorda FL 33955; Status: Active; Last modified: 2026-05-22
• Financial info: List price $299,900

Exterior

• Parking: 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
• Home design: Single-family plan home
• Exterior features: Living area of 1,876

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Plan: Maple (new construction plan)

🏗️ New construction. The $299,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $303,912.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-323/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (12.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $262k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
• Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
• Market conditions: 1490 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 393 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $262,451 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 393 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.19%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.38%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $303,912
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
11828 Cloverly Ln	0.57mi	4/2.5	1,874 (-0%)	2mo	$289,000	$154	70
28595 Crossfield Ln	0.70mi	4/3.0	2,032 (+8%)	14mo	$330,000	$162	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-50,921
• Equity at exit: $45,314

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-46,386
• Equity at exit: $26,277

Cash invested: $85,095 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33955

• Home prices YoY: -24.5%
• Active inventory: 1490
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,625 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,594
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$380 /mo · $4,559/yr
• Insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$551
• Net cashflow: $-27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,659

Max offer price $300,019

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $183	-5% $78	+0% $-27	+5% $-132	+10% $-237
Rent	-10% $-234	-5% $-131	+0% $-27	+5% $77	+10% $180
Rate	-1.0pp $126	-0.5pp $50	base $-27	+0.5pp $-106	+1.0pp $-186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $75,978
• Closing costs: $9,117
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 6 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
12378 Paramount Dr Punta Gorda, FL	4.0	3.0	1836	$2,295	$1.25	23d	1	0.42mi
11827 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL	5.0	2.5	2088	$2,095	$1.00	23d	1	0.61mi
11812 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL	4.0	2.5	1875	$2,150	$1.15	23d	1	0.62mi
11795 Cloverly Ln Punta Gorda, FL	4.0	2.5	2028	$2,075	$1.02	23d	1	0.67mi
13263 Valrico Ter Punta Gorda, FL	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,500	$0.92	23d	1	1.18mi
27117 Treadmill Dr Punta Gorda, FL	5.0	3.0	2300	$3,500	$1.52	23d	1	1.29mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $299,900 Active 393 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $299,900 Active 390 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $299,900 Active 389 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $299,900 Active 388 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $299,900 Active 387 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $299,900 Active 385 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $299,900 Active 384 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $299,900 Active 382 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $299,900 Active 381 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,900 Active 380 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,900 Active 376 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 374 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 373 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 372 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $299,900 Active 371 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,494
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,024
• − Property taxes: −$4,559
• − Insurance: −$1,520
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,520
• − Management: −$2,520
• − Depreciation: −$8,841
• Taxable loss: −$5,488
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,317
• After-tax cash flow: $994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Charlotte
• NCES district ID: 1200240
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,864
• Composite: 45.62/100
• National rank: #2586
• State rank: #22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Punta Gorda

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #225
• US rank: #3567

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Charlotte County · 196,994 people
• City population: 68,831
• Metro: Punta Gorda, FL
• Population (ZIP): 12,399
• Household income: $76,943
• Rent vs Own: 9.5% rent · 90.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 226.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 198,646 people
• By 2030: 210,507 · +6.0%
• By 2040: 230,857 · +16.2%
• By 2050: 247,148 · +24.4%
• By 2075: 281,777 · +41.8%
• By 2100: 293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -78.71%
• Current HPI: 242.9043
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Punta Gorda, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B