227 St. Anthony St · Greenville, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 37.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice family home has real hardwood flooring. Large sunroom and den with fireplace. Kitchen is nice and has a eat in area. Home has a large shop in rear yard with electricity. This is very affordable on utilities. Why rent a home when you can buy this one! Call Misti Lewis to find out how to get financed today! 662-820-8678
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Eat in area
- Sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style residence
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Composition roof; Workshop on the property; Lot roughly 75 x 147.5
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Refrigerator provided; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/0.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.5% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#284 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenville Public Schools (town): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #126 of 130 in MS (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 37% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.03%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $95,418
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1642 Pete St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-4%) | 4mo | $159,900 | $94 | 68 |
| 1427 Genie Fairway | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (-10%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $92 | 63 |
| 536 Southland St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (-7%) | 15mo | $88,000 | $53 | 49 |
| 1465 Casavechia | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-3%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $44 | 48 |
| 1168 Burns St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,588 (-10%) | 14mo | $12,900 | $8 | 44 |
| 1323 Fairview | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,710 (-3%) | 20mo | $92,000 | $54 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $3,228
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $28,023
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38701
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$203 /mo · $2,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1462 S Colorado St Greenville, MS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,358 | $1.18 | 43d | 4 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,432 · $203/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,432 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 37% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,432
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,304
- − Management
- −$1,304
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$539
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2801620
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $26,432
- Composite
- 5.27/100
- National rank
- #10035
- State rank
- #126 of 130 in MS
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #284
- US rank
- #21778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,260
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,424 people
- By 2030
- 38,061 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 31,752 · -23.3%
- By 2050
- 26,394 · -36.3%
- By 2075
- 17,180 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 12,936 · -68.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 24% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.75%
- Current HPI
- 52.6126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $100,000 Greenville Area MLS
Property tax history
+66.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,432 · +18539.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…